2021 Anteater - SILVER

HostNewport Harbor
Date11/13/2021
TypeDistrict Champ Qualifier
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Mater Dei High School	MONARCHS	16	7	23
2	Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Pacific Palisades Ch	27	15	42
3	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	30	49	79
4	Stevenson School	Pirates 2	37	53	90
5	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs 1	28	79	107
6	Parker	Parker	38	71	109
7	St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	83	27	110
8	The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	65	49	114
9	Mira Costa High School	Mustangs 2	74	43	117
10	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	64	55	119
11	Ernest J. McBride	Wolfpack	41	83	124
12	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	35	97	132
13	Vikings	Vikings	50 MRP	84 MRP	134 MRP
14	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	78	58	136
15	Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins	108	36	144
16	Design Tech High School	d.tech	73	74	147
17	San Domenico High School	Panthers	73	74	147
18	San Pedro High School	Pirates	106	47	153
19	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	69	96	165
20	Loyola High School (CA)	Cubs	71	105	176
21	Coronado Islanders	Nado	68	109	177
22	Stevenson School	Pirates 1	101	84	185
23	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	111	77	188
24	Miramonte High School	Matadors	125	102	227
25	Piedmont High School	Varsity	119	113	232
26	Falcons 2	Falcons 2	131 MRP	130 MRP	261 MRP
27	Falcons 1	Falcons 1	140 MRP	140 MRP	280 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Mater Dei High School	MONARCHS	6	2	2	5	1	16	Walter Mcfarland '25 Hampton Tester '25
Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Pacific Palisades Ch	4	16	3	2	2	27	Wills Stratton '25 Oliver '27
Mira Costa High School	Mustangs 1	8	1	1	11	7	28	Jack Bradley '23 Emma Bradley '25
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	2	4	8	12	4	30	Cody Lamoreux '23 Kearney Spillane '24
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	1	8	11	3	12	35	Cameron Farmer '25 Jp Panebianco '26
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	3	3	12	13	6	37	Ryan Marquess '22 Stevie Thomsen '23
Parker	Parker	7	7	5	8	11	38	Charlotte Plant '24 Fenja Bahrenburg '25
Ernest J. McBride	Wolfpack	11	10	4	6	10	41	Tristan Feves '22 Siri Chang '26
Vikings	Vikings	5	12	9	1	3	50 MRP
Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	19	25	6	9	5	64	Alex Markworth '25 [1-5] Adam Hawks '25 [1-2] Elliot Getz '25 [3-5]
The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	20	11	13	7	14	65	Julien Prefot '22 Theo Li '25
Coronado Islanders	Nado	17	14	16	4	17	68	Jay Sullivan '23 Ryan Dermody '24
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	15	5	17	17	15	69	Jack Phibbs '23 [1-5] Alyssa Barkus '22 [1-2, 5] Jason Lester '24 [3-4]
Loyola High School (CA)	Cubs	16	13	14	19	9	71	Carsten Zieger '24 [1-5] Kenneth Funsten '22 [1-2] Oliver Genovese '24 [3-5]
Design Tech High School	d.tech	10	18	10	16	19	73	Max Mcreynolds '23 Nathan Friedman '23
San Domenico High School	Panthers	12	9	20	24	8	73	Evie Littler '24 [1-5] Nina Polyakova '23 [1-2, 5] Filipe Engelhardt '22 [3-4]
Mira Costa High School	Mustangs 2	23	6	22	10	13	74	Gabe Hasen '26 Ronan Curnyn '25
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	14	24	7	15	18	78	Sebastian Green '22 Natalie Tonkovich '24
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	9	15	23	14	22	83	Beckett Shinn '25 [1-5] Audrey Whitney '22 [1-2, 5] Will Devine '22 [3-4]
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	22	22	15	21	21	101	Luc Dupreez '23 Quinn Karm '23
San Pedro High School	Pirates	18	20	DNF	20	20	106	Gwen Hildebrand '25 Nicholas Parsnik '26
Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins	DSQ	17	19	18	26	108	Tanner Jolly '24 No Show
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	13	19	DNF	27	24	111	Victoria Edwards '23 [1-2, 5] Julia Middelton '23 [3-4] Thalia Altschul '22 [1-2, 5]
Piedmont High School	Varsity	21	21	DNF	26	23	119	Conor Kim '23 Alex Zalewski '23
Miramonte High School	Matadors	24	23	DNF	25	25	125	Austin Teodorovic '24 Diego Tornel-Spada '26
Falcons 2	Falcons 2	25	27	21	22	16	131 MRP
Falcons 1	Falcons 1	26	26	18	23	27	140 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Mater Dei High School	MONARCHS	1	1	1	2	2	7	Tate Oyler '25 Morgan Williams '22
Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Pacific Palisades Ch	3	2	6	3	1	15	Katelyn Chang '27 Catalina Brody '24
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	5	6	3	7	6	27	Marina Priskich '25 [1-5] Brooke Hiller '25 [1-4] Will Devine '22 [5]
Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins	2	3	2	1	OCS	36	Scott Pearl '24 Chloe Pearl '24
Mira Costa High School	Mustangs 2	13	5	12	8	5	43	Lili Brennan '25 Ruby Wright '24
San Pedro High School	Pirates	7	18	8	4	10	47	Iisac Sharp '23 Walker Anger '23
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	8	17	7	14	3	49	Amanda Yolles '22 Maya Urfer '25
The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	12	8	15	5	9	49	Alexander Kasolas '22 [1-2, 5] Charlie Kontrabecki '23 [3-4] Tristan De Halleux '25 [1-2, 5]
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	4	4	14	15	16	53	Ryder Weston '23 Lilah Parker '22
Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer	14	12	5	20	4	55	Jonah Molina '25 [1-5] Eve Brogan '25 [1-4] Paulette Perez '23 [5]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	9	10	18	13	8	58	Cristina Jackson '22 [1-2, 5] Gregory Kosmowski '22 [3-4] Hayden Walheim '23 [1-2, 5]
Parker	Parker	20	9	4	21	17	71	Niko Beros '25 Samantha Katz '24
San Domenico High School	Panthers	6	13	26	22	7	74	Anton Gavrilov '23 [1-2, 5] Owen Chan '23 [3-4] Dashiell Fairborn '22 [1-2] Dylan Song '25 [3-5]
Design Tech High School	d.tech	10	20	9	17	18	74	Melanie Magnani '23 [1-5] Simone Karlon '23 [1-2] Emily Hong '24 [3-5]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	21	14	19	11	12	77	Andrew Andrzejek '22 [1-5] Lelio Maurillo '25 [1-2, 5] Coral Buono '24 [3-4]
Mira Costa High School	Mustangs 1	11	7	22	19	20	79	Kieran Lyons '22 Dawson Wong '23
Ernest J. McBride	Wolfpack	15	24	11	9	24	83	Rylan Hollmeier '25 Isaac Sweeney '22
Vikings	Vikings	16	16	13	6	13	84 MRP
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	18	15	21	16	14	84	Abbie Zhang '24 Sadie Marinerstein '24
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	22	11	20	18	25	96	Ian Somerville '22 [1-2, 5] Julias Glasgow '24 [3-4] Annika Burns '23 [1-2, 5]
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	DNF	21	23	10	15	97	Sean Choo '23 Ray Choo '25
Miramonte High School	Matadors	DNF	26	10	12	26	102	Devin Stuffmann '26 Marco Parramon '26
Loyola High School (CA)	Cubs	DNF	25	16	25	11	105	Connor Fagan '22 [1-5] Phillip Quigley '23 [1-2] Kenneth Funsten '22 [3-5]
Coronado Islanders	Nado	17	23	24	23	22	109	Daniel Alekseyeva '24 [1-5] James Bates '24 [1-2] Wyatt Riebe '24 [3-5]
Piedmont High School	Varsity	24	27	17	24	21	113	Mark Hsia '24 [1-4] Jacob Hsia '22 [5] Jacob Hsia '22 [1-4] Sara Govert '22 [5]
Falcons 2	Falcons 2	19	19	27	26	19	130 MRP
Falcons 1	Falcons 1	23	22	25	27	23	140 MRP

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.210+0.21

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	35	35	37	37	39
Coronado Islanders Nado	36	36	38	38	40
Design Tech High School d.tech	37	37	39	39	41
Ernest J. McBride Wolfpack	38	38	40	40	42
Parker Parker	49	49	51	51	53
The International School of San Francisco Jaguars	39	39	41	41	43
Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins	40	40	42	42	44
Loyola High School (CA) Cubs	41	41	43	43	45
Mater Dei High School MONARCHS	42	42	44	44	46
Mira Costa High School Mustangs 1	43	43	45	45	47
Mira Costa High School Mustangs 2	44	44	46	46	48
Miramonte High School Matadors	45	45	47	47	49
Mission Bay High School Buccaneer	46	46	48	48	50
Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Ch	47	47	49	49	51
Piedmont High School Varsity	50	50	52	52	54
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	48	48	50	50	52
San Domenico High School Panthers	51	51	53	53	55
San Pedro High School Pirates	52	52	54	54	56
Vikings Vikings	53	53	55	55	57
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats	54	54	56	56	58
Stevenson School Pirates 1	55	55	57	57	59
Stevenson School Pirates 2	56	56	58	58	60
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	57	57	59	59	61
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	58	58	60	60	35
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	59	59	61	61	36
Falcons 1 Falcons 1	60	60	35	35	37
Falcons 2 Falcons 2	61	61	36	36	38

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	36	36	38	38	40
Coronado Islanders Nado	37	37	39	39	41
Design Tech High School d.tech	38	38	40	40	42
Ernest J. McBride Wolfpack	39	39	41	41	43
Parker Parker	50	50	52	52	54
The International School of San Francisco Jaguars	40	40	42	42	44
Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins	41	41	43	43	45
Loyola High School (CA) Cubs	42	42	44	44	46
Mater Dei High School MONARCHS	43	43	45	45	47
Mira Costa High School Mustangs 1	44	44	46	46	48
Mira Costa High School Mustangs 2	45	45	47	47	49
Miramonte High School Matadors	46	46	48	48	50
Mission Bay High School Buccaneer	47	47	49	49	51
Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Ch	48	48	50	50	52
Piedmont High School Varsity	51	51	53	53	55
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	49	49	51	51	53
San Domenico High School Panthers	52	52	54	54	56
San Pedro High School Pirates	53	53	55	55	57
Vikings Vikings	54	54	56	56	58
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats	55	55	57	57	59
Stevenson School Pirates 1	56	56	58	58	60
Stevenson School Pirates 2	57	57	59	59	61
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	58	58	60	60	35
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	59	59	61	61	36
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	60	60	35	35	37
Falcons 1 Falcons 1	61	61	36	36	38
Falcons 2 Falcons 2	35	35	37	37	39

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Sebastian Green '22	Natalie Tonkovich '24
Cubs	Cristina Jackson '22 [1-2, 5] Gregory Kosmowski '22 [3-4]	Hayden Walheim '23 [1-2, 5]
Coronado Islanders	Jay Sullivan '23	Ryan Dermody '24
Nado	Daniel Alekseyeva '24 [1-5]	James Bates '24 [1-2] Wyatt Riebe '24 [3-5]
Design Tech High School	Max Mcreynolds '23	Nathan Friedman '23
d.tech	Melanie Magnani '23 [1-5]	Simone Karlon '23 [1-2] Emily Hong '24 [3-5]
Ernest J. McBride	Tristan Feves '22	Siri Chang '26
Wolfpack	Rylan Hollmeier '25	Isaac Sweeney '22
Long Beach Wilson High School	Tanner Jolly '24	No Show
Bruins	Scott Pearl '24	Chloe Pearl '24
Loyola High School (CA)	Carsten Zieger '24 [1-5]	Kenneth Funsten '22 [1-2] Oliver Genovese '24 [3-5]
Cubs	Connor Fagan '22 [1-5]	Phillip Quigley '23 [1-2] Kenneth Funsten '22 [3-5]
Mater Dei High School	Walter Mcfarland '25	Hampton Tester '25
MONARCHS	Tate Oyler '25	Morgan Williams '22
Mira Costa High School	Jack Bradley '23	Emma Bradley '25
Mustangs 1	Kieran Lyons '22	Dawson Wong '23
Mira Costa High School	Gabe Hasen '26	Ronan Curnyn '25
Mustangs 2	Lili Brennan '25	Ruby Wright '24
Miramonte High School	Austin Teodorovic '24	Diego Tornel-Spada '26
Matadors	Devin Stuffmann '26	Marco Parramon '26
Mission Bay High School	Alex Markworth '25 [1-5]	Adam Hawks '25 [1-2] Elliot Getz '25 [3-5]
Buccaneer	Jonah Molina '25 [1-5]	Eve Brogan '25 [1-4] Paulette Perez '23 [5]
Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Wills Stratton '25	Oliver '27
Pacific Palisades Ch	Katelyn Chang '27	Catalina Brody '24
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Cameron Farmer '25	Jp Panebianco '26
Panthers	Sean Choo '23	Ray Choo '25
Parker	Charlotte Plant '24	Fenja Bahrenburg '25
Parker	Niko Beros '25	Samantha Katz '24
Piedmont High School	Conor Kim '23	Alex Zalewski '23
Varsity	Mark Hsia '24 [1-4] Jacob Hsia '22 [5]	Jacob Hsia '22 [1-4] Sara Govert '22 [5]
San Domenico High School	Evie Littler '24 [1-5]	Nina Polyakova '23 [1-2, 5] Filipe Engelhardt '22 [3-4]
Panthers	Anton Gavrilov '23 [1-2, 5] Owen Chan '23 [3-4]	Dashiell Fairborn '22 [1-2] Dylan Song '25 [3-5]
San Pedro High School	Gwen Hildebrand '25	Nicholas Parsnik '26
Pirates	Iisac Sharp '23	Walker Anger '23
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Beckett Shinn '25 [1-5]	Audrey Whitney '22 [1-2, 5] Will Devine '22 [3-4]
Wildcats	Marina Priskich '25 [1-5]	Brooke Hiller '25 [1-4] Will Devine '22 [5]
Stevenson School	Luc Dupreez '23	Quinn Karm '23
Pirates 1	Abbie Zhang '24	Sadie Marinerstein '24
Stevenson School	Ryan Marquess '22	Stevie Thomsen '23
Pirates 2	Ryder Weston '23	Lilah Parker '22
Tamalpais High School	Jack Phibbs '23 [1-5]	Alyssa Barkus '22 [1-2, 5] Jason Lester '24 [3-4]
Red Tailed Hawks	Ian Somerville '22 [1-2, 5] Julias Glasgow '24 [3-4]	Annika Burns '23 [1-2, 5]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Cody Lamoreux '23	Kearney Spillane '24
Breakers 1	Amanda Yolles '22	Maya Urfer '25
The Bay School of San Francisco	Victoria Edwards '23 [1-2, 5] Julia Middelton '23 [3-4]	Thalia Altschul '22 [1-2, 5]
Breakers 2	Andrew Andrzejek '22 [1-5]	Lelio Maurillo '25 [1-2, 5] Coral Buono '24 [3-4]
The International School of San Francisco	Julien Prefot '22	Theo Li '25
Jaguars	Alexander Kasolas '22 [1-2, 5] Charlie Kontrabecki '23 [3-4]	Tristan De Halleux '25 [1-2, 5]

Conditions — 11/13/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky

Humidity 39% · Pressure 1017.0 hPa

Temperature

72°F

↑ 78°F ↓ 61°F

Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

3.9 kn

avg · max 5.7 kn

Gusts to 12.2 kn

From SW (223°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity39% Pressure1017.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn · W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Newport Harbor: a typical day (+0.00)

Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.

Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07

Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.32 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Newport Harbor by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Newport Harbor, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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