2021 Sea Otter SILVER

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Ch 67 21 88
2 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 37 78 115
3 Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons 98 18 116
4 Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Dons 38 91 129
5 The Urban School The Urban School Blues 33 103 136
6 Loyola High School (CA) Loyola High School (CA) Varsity 83 55 138
7 Vikings Vikings Vikings 65 MRP 84 MRP 149 MRP
8 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 105 51 156
9 Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 1 69 114 183
10 Redwood Redwood Giants 114 92 206
11 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 120 87 207
12 SF University High School SF University High School Red Devils 131 88 219
13 San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 104 118 222
14 Carmel High School Carmel High School Padres 102 130 232
15 Pacific Collegiate School Pacific Collegiate School Varsity 123 113 236
16 Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 40 199 239
17 St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 161 82 243
18 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 117 128 245
19 The International School of San Francisco The International School of San Francisco Jaguars 120 125 245
20 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 1 173 107 280
21 Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 2 146 135 281
22 Ernest J. McBride Ernest J. McBride Wolfpack 136 163 299
23 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 129 175 304
24 Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Varsity 129 184 313
25 Carlmont Carlmont The Scots 189 132 321
26 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 193 173 366
27 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 2 201 170 371
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
The Urban School The Urban School Blues 9 8 2 2 3 2 3 4 33 Tucker Lamoreux '23
Stella Reynaga '24
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 4 2 10 6 2 1 2 10 37 Cody Lamoreux '23 [1-8]
Julia Middelton '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Kearney Spillane '24 [3-6]
Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Dons 2 4 7 8 1 4 9 3 38 Brendan Connelly '23
Kaivo Kadai '25
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 1 7 1 1 12 8 8 2 40 Sebastian Green '22
Hayden Walheim '23
Vikings Vikings Vikings 6 3 3 5 10 16 1 1 65 MRP
Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Ch 7 17 6 4 13 7 5 8 67 Catalina Brody '24
Katelyn Chang '27
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 1 3 1 16 13 5 5 15 11 69 Jack Bradley '23
Emma Bradley '25
Loyola High School (CA) Loyola High School (CA) Varsity 23 13 11 7 8 10 6 5 83 Carsten Zieger '24
Kenneth Funsten '22
Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons 13 9 4 9 17 18 13 15 98 Preston Woodworth '23
Jessica Green '25
Carmel High School Carmel High School Padres 20 6 19 3 6 11 23 14 102 Dante Fiala '22
Andrew Tschanz '25
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 25 16 13 14 7 9 4 16 104 Evie Littler '24 [1-8]
Rafael Sanchez '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Dashiell Fairborn '22 [3-4]
Nina Polyakova '23 [5-6]
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 5 5 9 11 DSQ 19 10 18 105 Walter Mcfarland '25
Elizabeth Struve '24
Redwood Redwood Giants 17 19 8 DNF RDG RDG 7 7 114 Hannah Sellers '22
Katherine Norris '22
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 8 10 21 20 21 13 18 6 117 Ryder Weston '23 [1-8]
Harry Marquess '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Alden Sherrill '24 [5-6]
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 10 15 22 19 11 15 19 9 120 Omar Alami '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Annika Burns '23 [3-4]
Annika Burns '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Lukas Plotts '23 [3-6]
The International School of San Francisco The International School of San Francisco Jaguars 14 12 14 23 4 3 25 25 120 Julien Prefot '22 [1-6]
Eleanor Meyer '23 [7-8]
Rikhard Vatuen '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Eleanor Meyer '23 [3-4]
Pacific Collegiate School Pacific Collegiate School Varsity 18 11 5 15 19 21 11 23 123 Malcolm Phillips '26 [1-7]
Garrett Koontz '26 [8]
Jack Silvey '25 [1-6]
Garrett Koontz '26 [7]
Malcolm Phillips '26 [8]
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Varsity 15 18 17 17 9 12 21 20 129 Dominic Lin '25
Alex Wullschleger '26
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 22 20 24 10 16 6 14 17 129 Caspar Lenz Anderson '24
Emma Yashinsky '23
SF University High School SF University High School Red Devils 11 22 23 12 15 14 12 22 131 Arthur Serra '23
Tristan De Halleux '25
Ernest J. McBride Ernest J. McBride Wolfpack 12 14 18 18 18 17 20 19 136 Tristan Feves '22
Rylan Hollmeier '25
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 2 19 21 12 DNF 14 23 17 12 146 Lili Brennan '25
Ruby Wright '24
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 24 26 15 16 23 24 RDG 13 161 Beckett Shinn '25 [1-8]
Miles White '25 [1-6]
Audrey Whitney '22 [7-8]
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 1 16 25 20 DNF 22 22 16 24 173 Melanie Magnani '23 [1-8]
Perry Mchale '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Emily Hong '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Carlmont Carlmont The Scots 21 23 25 DNF 20 20 26 26 189 Anna Stolyarova '25
Ella Duarte '22
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 26 24 26 22 25 25 24 21 193 Austin Teodorovic '24
Diego Tornel-Spada '26
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 2 27 27 27 21 24 26 22 27 201 Aleksandar Abrams '23 [1-8]
John Nix '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Claire Malykin '23 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons 2 1 3 4 4 1 2 1 18 Alex Lech '24
Nick Lech '26
Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Ch 4 2 2 1 5 4 1 2 21 Wills Stratton '25
Oliver '27
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 5 4 1 5 1 2 DSQ 5 51 Tate Oyler '25 [1-8]
Morgan Williams '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Brady Kennedy '25 [3-4]
Hampton Tester '25 [5-6]
Loyola High School (CA) Loyola High School (CA) Varsity 6 3 5 7 2 17 11 4 55 Ted Sherman '23
William Roberts '24
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 14 13 13 11 6 8 7 6 78 Amanda Yolles '22
Maya Urfer '25
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 1 12 8 15 20 6 9 11 82 Marina Priskich '25 [1-8]
Audrey Whitney '22 [1-4]
Sam Wu '22 [5-8]
Vikings Vikings Vikings 11 6 4 3 7 RDG 12 13 84 MRP
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 12 15 10 17 9 7 8 9 87 Ian Somerville '22 [1-8]
Alyssa Barkus '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Jason Lester '24 [3-4]
Charles Winstead '24 [5-6]
SF University High School SF University High School Red Devils 8 9 7 13 10 9 17 15 88 Alice Newmeyer '25
Andrew James '25
Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Dons 9 8 9 18 13 12 6 16 91 Molly Connelly '26 [1-8]
Reid Sojka '26 [1-4]
Liam Hearn '24 [5-8]
Redwood Redwood Giants 7 14 14 12 11 15 5 14 92 Reid Willens '22
Elsa Hasbrook '23
The Urban School The Urban School Blues 17 11 12 6 8 11 13 25 103 Isabelle Lawson '23 [1-8]
Zach Gordon '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Oliver Yeaman '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 1 3 17 6 2 22 25 14 18 107 Max Mcreynolds '23
Nathan Friedman '23
Pacific Collegiate School Pacific Collegiate School Varsity 19 20 18 20 15 3 10 8 113 Amanda Turner '23 [1-5]
Spencer Koontz '24 [6-8]
Garrett Koontz '26 [1-4]
Spencer Koontz '24 [5]
Amanda Turner '23 [6-8]
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 1 23 25 RDG 10 16 19 4 3 114 Kieran Lyons '22
Dawson Wong '23
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 20 10 22 24 3 13 16 10 118 Anton Gavrilov '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Owen Chan '23 [5-6]
Dylan Song '25 [1-2, 7-8]
Filipe Engelhardt '22 [3-6]
The International School of San Francisco The International School of San Francisco Jaguars 13 18 17 16 17 14 18 12 125 Alexander Kasolas '22 [1-2, 5-8]
Charlie Kontrabecki '23 [3-4]
Brady Moore '23 [1-6]
Charlie Kontrabecki '23 [7-8]
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 10 21 21 21 12 5 19 19 128 Chris Walter '23 [1-4]
Max Mccormick '24 [5-6]
Luc Dupreez '23 [7-8]
Sadie Marinerstein '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Quinn Karm '23 [3-4]
Eland Macleod '25 [5-6]
Carmel High School Carmel High School Padres 18 19 15 8 14 16 20 20 130 Dante Fiala '22
Andrew Tschanz '25
Carlmont Carlmont The Scots 21 23 11 9 19 24 3 22 132 Tyler Robinson '27
Ward Brouwer '24
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 2 16 5 23 25 24 20 15 7 135 Gabe Hasen '26
Parker Johnson '24
Ernest J. McBride Ernest J. McBride Wolfpack 26 16 16 14 21 18 RAF 24 163 Isaac Sweeney '22
Liam Williams '22
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 2 24 22 19 22 18 21 23 21 170 Benjamin Herman '24 [1-8]
Linnea Furlan '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Will Kizer '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 15 7 24 26 25 26 24 26 173 Devin Stuffmann '26 [1-8]
Marco Parramon '26 [1-7]
Giulia Delling '26 [8]
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 27 27 DNS 19 26 10 21 17 175 Cayden Bauer '22 [1-2, 5-8]
Victoria Edwards '23 [3-4]
Victoria Edwards '23 [1-2]
Ella Andrzejek '25 [3-8]
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Varsity 22 24 20 23 23 23 22 27 184 Ameera Hoodbhoy '23
Sharanya Nemane '24
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 25 26 26 RDG 27 22 25 23 199 Audrey Roomian '23
Natalie Tonkovich '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.230+0.23
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Acalanes High SchoolAcalanes High School Dons6464626259595757
CarlmontCarlmont The Scots6363616158585656
Carmel High SchoolCarmel High School Padres6262595957575555
Convent and Stuart Hall High SchoolsConvent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs6161585856565454
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School d.tech 15959575755555353
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School d.tech 25858565654545252
Ernest J. McBrideErnest J. McBride Wolfpack5757555553535151
The International School of San FranciscoThe International School of San Francisco Jaguars5656545452525050
Loyola High School (CA)Loyola High School (CA) Varsity5555535351514949
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School MONARCHS5454525250504848
Menlo-AthertonMenlo-Atherton Varsity5353515149494747
Mira Costa High SchoolMira Costa High School Mustangs 15252484848484646
Mira Costa High SchoolMira Costa High School Mustangs 25151474747474545
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors5050505046464444
Pacific Collegiate SchoolPacific Collegiate School Varsity4949494945454343
Pacific Palisades Charter High SchoolPacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Ch4848464644444242
RedwoodRedwood Giants4747454543434141
San Domenico High SchoolSan Domenico High School Panthers4646444442424040
VikingsVikings Vikings4444424240403838
Sato Academy of Mathematics and ScienceSato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons4343414139393737
SF University High SchoolSF University High School Red Devils4545434341413939
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats4242404038386464
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates4141393937376363
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks4040383864646262
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 13939373763636161
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 23838646462625959
The Urban SchoolThe Urban School Blues3737636361615858

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Acalanes High SchoolAcalanes High School Dons6363616158585656
CarlmontCarlmont The Scots6262595957575555
Carmel High SchoolCarmel High School Padres6161585856565454
Convent and Stuart Hall High SchoolsConvent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs5959575755555353
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School d.tech 15858565654545252
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School d.tech 25757555553535151
Ernest J. McBrideErnest J. McBride Wolfpack5656545452525050
The International School of San FranciscoThe International School of San Francisco Jaguars5555535351514949
Loyola High School (CA)Loyola High School (CA) Varsity5454525250504848
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School MONARCHS5353515149494747
Menlo-AthertonMenlo-Atherton Varsity5252505048484646
Mira Costa High SchoolMira Costa High School Mustangs 15050494947474545
Mira Costa High SchoolMira Costa High School Mustangs 24949484846464444
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors5151474745454343
Pacific Collegiate SchoolPacific Collegiate School Varsity4848464644444242
Pacific Palisades Charter High SchoolPacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Ch4747454543434141
RedwoodRedwood Giants4646444442424040
San Domenico High SchoolSan Domenico High School Panthers4545434341413939
VikingsVikings Vikings4343414139393737
Sato Academy of Mathematics and ScienceSato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons4242404038386464
SF University High SchoolSF University High School Red Devils4444424240403838
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats4141393937376363
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates4040383864646262
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks3939373763636161
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 13838646462625959
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 23737636361615858
The Urban SchoolThe Urban School Blues6464626259595757
School / Team SkipperCrew
Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Brendan Connelly '23 Kaivo Kadai '25
Dons Molly Connelly '26 [1-8] Reid Sojka '26 [1-4]
Liam Hearn '24 [5-8]
Carlmont Carlmont Anna Stolyarova '25 Ella Duarte '22
The Scots Tyler Robinson '27 Ward Brouwer '24
Carmel High School Carmel High School Dante Fiala '22 Andrew Tschanz '25
Padres Dante Fiala '22 Andrew Tschanz '25
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Sebastian Green '22 Hayden Walheim '23
Cubs Audrey Roomian '23 Natalie Tonkovich '24
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Melanie Magnani '23 [1-8] Perry Mchale '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Emily Hong '24 [3-4, 7-8]
d.tech 1 Max Mcreynolds '23 Nathan Friedman '23
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Aleksandar Abrams '23 [1-8] John Nix '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Claire Malykin '23 [3-4, 7-8]
d.tech 2 Benjamin Herman '24 [1-8] Linnea Furlan '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Will Kizer '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Ernest J. McBride Ernest J. McBride Tristan Feves '22 Rylan Hollmeier '25
Wolfpack Isaac Sweeney '22 Liam Williams '22
Loyola High School (CA) Loyola High School (CA) Carsten Zieger '24 Kenneth Funsten '22
Varsity Ted Sherman '23 William Roberts '24
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Walter Mcfarland '25 Elizabeth Struve '24
MONARCHS Tate Oyler '25 [1-8] Morgan Williams '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Brady Kennedy '25 [3-4]
Hampton Tester '25 [5-6]
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Dominic Lin '25 Alex Wullschleger '26
Varsity Ameera Hoodbhoy '23 Sharanya Nemane '24
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Jack Bradley '23 Emma Bradley '25
Mustangs 1 Kieran Lyons '22 Dawson Wong '23
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Lili Brennan '25 Ruby Wright '24
Mustangs 2 Gabe Hasen '26 Parker Johnson '24
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Austin Teodorovic '24 Diego Tornel-Spada '26
Matadors Devin Stuffmann '26 [1-8] Marco Parramon '26 [1-7]
Giulia Delling '26 [8]
Pacific Collegiate School Pacific Collegiate School Malcolm Phillips '26 [1-7]
Garrett Koontz '26 [8]
Jack Silvey '25 [1-6]
Garrett Koontz '26 [7]
Malcolm Phillips '26 [8]
Varsity Amanda Turner '23 [1-5]
Spencer Koontz '24 [6-8]
Garrett Koontz '26 [1-4]
Spencer Koontz '24 [5]
Amanda Turner '23 [6-8]
Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Charter High School Catalina Brody '24 Katelyn Chang '27
Pacific Palisades Ch Wills Stratton '25 Oliver '27
Redwood Redwood Hannah Sellers '22 Katherine Norris '22
Giants Reid Willens '22 Elsa Hasbrook '23
SF University High School SF University High School Arthur Serra '23 Tristan De Halleux '25
Red Devils Alice Newmeyer '25 Andrew James '25
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Evie Littler '24 [1-8] Rafael Sanchez '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Dashiell Fairborn '22 [3-4]
Nina Polyakova '23 [5-6]
Panthers Anton Gavrilov '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Owen Chan '23 [5-6]
Dylan Song '25 [1-2, 7-8]
Filipe Engelhardt '22 [3-6]
Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Preston Woodworth '23 Jessica Green '25
Dragons Alex Lech '24 Nick Lech '26
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Beckett Shinn '25 [1-8] Miles White '25 [1-6]
Audrey Whitney '22 [7-8]
Wildcats Marina Priskich '25 [1-8] Audrey Whitney '22 [1-4]
Sam Wu '22 [5-8]
Stevenson School Stevenson School Ryder Weston '23 [1-8] Harry Marquess '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Alden Sherrill '24 [5-6]
Pirates Chris Walter '23 [1-4]
Max Mccormick '24 [5-6]
Luc Dupreez '23 [7-8]
Sadie Marinerstein '24 [1-2, 7-8]
Quinn Karm '23 [3-4]
Eland Macleod '25 [5-6]
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Omar Alami '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Annika Burns '23 [3-4]
Annika Burns '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Lukas Plotts '23 [3-6]
Red Tailed Hawks Ian Somerville '22 [1-8] Alyssa Barkus '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Jason Lester '24 [3-4]
Charles Winstead '24 [5-6]
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Cody Lamoreux '23 [1-8] Julia Middelton '23 [1-2, 7-8]
Kearney Spillane '24 [3-6]
Breakers 1 Amanda Yolles '22 Maya Urfer '25
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Caspar Lenz Anderson '24 Emma Yashinsky '23
Breakers 2 Cayden Bauer '22 [1-2, 5-8]
Victoria Edwards '23 [3-4]
Victoria Edwards '23 [1-2]
Ella Andrzejek '25 [3-8]
The International School of San Francisco The International School of San Francisco Julien Prefot '22 [1-6]
Eleanor Meyer '23 [7-8]
Rikhard Vatuen '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Eleanor Meyer '23 [3-4]
Jaguars Alexander Kasolas '22 [1-2, 5-8]
Charlie Kontrabecki '23 [3-4]
Brady Moore '23 [1-6]
Charlie Kontrabecki '23 [7-8]
The Urban School The Urban School Tucker Lamoreux '23 Stella Reynaga '24
Blues Isabelle Lawson '23 [1-8] Zach Gordon '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Oliver Yeaman '24 [3-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 10/09/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1021.2 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 23.3 kn
From N (354°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover16% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1021.2 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn · NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Monterey Peninsula YC: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Monterey Peninsula YC by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Monterey Peninsula YC: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →