Caper Classic

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 2 30 MRP 37 MRP 67 MRP
2 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 21 48 69
3 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 3 31 40 71
4 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 36 39 75
5 Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 1 47 MRP 33 MRP 80 MRP
6 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 3 62 30 92
7 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 1 59 MRP 40 MRP 99 MRP
8 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 44 66 110
9 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 46 67 113
10 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 2 77 MRP 43 MRP 120 MRP
11 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Cheverus/Greely 70 MRP 52 MRP 122 MRP
12 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 2 43 MRP 84 MRP 127 MRP
13 Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 67 MRP 62 MRP 129 MRP
14 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 1 59 MRP 77 MRP 136 MRP
15 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 3 88 MRP 62 MRP 150 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 5 7 2 6 1 21 Eva Ermlich '22
Jack Taylor '23
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 2 1 3 3 1 2 30 MRP Aurora Raber '24
Ben Wintersteen '23
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 3 7 10 5 5 4 31 Sage Evans '25
James Baldwin '24
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 9 4 6 7 10 36 Tess Straw '24
Jack Mccormick '24
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 2 2 1 7 10 3 43 MRP No Show
No Show
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 8 9 11 8 8 44 Posie Cabaniss '23
Gregg O'Rourke '22
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 4 15 9 9 9 46 Eoin Murphy '22 [1-5]
Molly Frothingham '24 [1-2]
Cora Johnson '23 [3-5]
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 1 14 2 1 3 7 47 MRP Sam Rooks '22
Ryleigh Raber '22
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 1 6 8 8 2 15 59 MRP No Show
No Show
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 1 11 6 4 12 6 59 MRP No Show
No Show
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 3 10 13 13 13 13 62 Aoife Mahoney '23
Valyn Mogensen '22
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 3 5 14 14 11 67 MRP No Show
No Show
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Cheverus/Greely 13 11 10 11 5 70 MRP No Show
No Show
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 2 15 12 12 4 14 77 MRP No Show
No Show
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 3 12 14 15 15 12 88 MRP No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 3 6 11 2 9 2 30 Ella Duncan '22
Talia Olins '25
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 1 4 2 1 5 1 33 MRP Ben Wintersteen '23
Jack Carlson '23
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 2 1 1 4 6 5 37 MRP James Leavitt '22
Ian Doherty '25
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 11 6 13 2 7 39 Luc Francis '24
Trevor Oakley '24
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 1 2 4 3 7 4 40 MRP No Show
No Show
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 3 9 9 8 8 6 40 Story Straw '25
Sidney Allen '24
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 2 3 3 5 4 8 43 MRP No Show
No Show
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 10 5 6 14 13 48 Charlie Spencer '23
Frankie Sparrow '23
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Cheverus/Greely 5 7 14 3 3 52 MRP No Show
No Show
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 7 8 7 10 10 62 MRP No Show
No Show
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 3 8 13 11 1 9 62 MRP No Show
No Show
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 12 15 10 15 14 66 Eli Evans '23
Nick Petruccelli '23
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 13 14 12 13 15 67 Ben Mallory '25
Andrew Deniz '25
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 1 14 12 9 11 11 77 MRP No Show
No Show
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 2 15 10 15 12 12 84 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 111335
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 222446
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 333558
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 144669
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 2558810
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Fishwagons669911
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 188101012
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 299111113
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 31010121214
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Cheverus/Greely141416162
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 11111131315
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 21212141416
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 3131315151
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 11515113
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 21616224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 122444
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 233555
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 344666
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 155888
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 266999
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Fishwagons88101010
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 199111111
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 21010121212
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 31111131313
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Cheverus/Greely1515111
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 11212141414
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 21313151515
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 31414161616
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 11616222
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 211333

Conditions — 09/25/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1016.3 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.4 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From E (85°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover62% Sunshine9.2 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1016.3 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cape Elizabeth: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cape Elizabeth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Cape Elizabeth, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →