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Chicago Regatta - Tier 3

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 14 14
2 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 21 21
3 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 3 23 23
4 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 4 30 30
5 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 1 39 39
6 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 5 50 50
7 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 2 53 53
8 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 6 53 53
9 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 7 57 57
10 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 8 73 73
11 Grizzlies Grizzlies Grizzlies 78 78
12 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 9 80 80
13 St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 2 81 81
14 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 10 85 85
15 St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 1 106 106
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 2 3 2 2 1 1 3 14 Caroline Mcclain '24
Will Broseman '22
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 4 1 7 3 2 2 2 21 George Barton '22
Lucy Elvart '24
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 3 3 6 3 1 5 4 1 23 Calvin Lutton '22
Emil Body-Goldberg '23
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 4 6 5 1 4 4 3 7 30 Izzy Rietz '22
Ann Tokoyoda '24
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 1 1 10 4 5 7 7 5 39 Oliver Gray '25
Oscar Wolniak '25
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 5 9 4 5 10 8 10 4 50 Evan O'Connor '23
James O'Toole '23
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 2 5 2 6 8 9 13 10 53 Emery Sularz '25
Kira Mahoney '25
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 6 8 9 11 7 3 6 9 53 Casey Bertocchi '22
Tara Hecht '24
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 7 11 8 8 13 6 5 6 57 Santiago Benes '24
Nate Zweig '22
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 8 14 7 9 11 12 12 8 73 Elise Brandt '25
Ava Pankauskas '24
Grizzlies Grizzlies Grizzlies 12 12 10 9 11 8 DNF 78
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 9 7 14 12 12 14 9 12 80 Kate Dischner '24
Lillian Lipford '24
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 2 13 11 14 6 13 11 13 81 Christopher Sawicz '24
Niklas Swanson '24
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 10 10 13 13 14 10 14 11 85 Katja Siebrits '24
Caden Greco '24
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 1 15 15 15 15 15 15 DNF 106 Sd Nimeri '22
John Asoka '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans 17777777
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans 26666666
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 115151515151515
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 1014141414141414
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 28888888
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 312121212121212
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 417171717171717
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 518181818181818
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 610101010101010
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 720202020202020
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 811111111111111
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 919191919191919
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 19999999
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 216161616161616
GrizzliesGrizzlies Grizzlies13131313131313

Conditions — 09/11/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1012.3 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.8 kn
avg  ·  max 14.7 kn
Gusts to 22.9 kn
From SW (220°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover18% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1012.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.36 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →