College of Charleston Invitational

HostC
Date11/06/2021
TypePromotional
BoatCFJ & Z420s
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	5	10	15
2	Clear Falls High School	Knights 1	10	8	18
3	St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	16	8	24
4	Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	11	17	28
5	Antilles School	Hurricanes	15	15	30
6	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	27	13	40
7	Bishop Kenny High School - FL	Bishop Kenny	22	23	45
8	Greenwich High School	Cardinals	28	21	49
9	Good Hope County Day School	Panthers	28	23	51
10	Clear Falls High School	Knights 2	28	27	55
11	John T. Hoggard High School	Vikings Varsity	24	35	59
12	Wando	Warriors	25	40	65
13	Lucy Beckham High School	Beckham Bengals one	39	35	74
14	Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	38	44	82

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	TOT	Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	2	2	1	5	Mitchell Callahan '22 Jadin Gonzalez '24
Clear Falls High School	Knights 1	7	1	2	10	Hamilton Barclay '23 Kailey Warrior '24
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	4	3	4	11	Jackson Mcaliley '23 Livia Herman '22
Antilles School	Hurricanes	1	9	5	15	Caroline Sibilly '22 Katherine Majette '23
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	3	10	3	16	Jack Redmond '22 Kevin Gosselin '23
Bishop Kenny High School - FL	Bishop Kenny	8	7	7	22	Bridget Monahan '22 Davis Mclauchlin '24
John T. Hoggard High School	Vikings Varsity	5	13	6	24	Ben Usher '23 Andrew Simpson '23
Wando	Warriors	11	5	9	25	Zack Carvajal '22 Carter Durst '22
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	6	6	RAF	27	Ryan Ehnot '22 Connor Feury '22
Good Hope County Day School	Panthers	9	11	8	28	Milo Miller '23 Elyssa Franklin '22
Clear Falls High School	Knights 2	10	8	10	28	Ava Anderson '23 Tanner Ward '23
Greenwich High School	Cardinals	13	4	11	28	Elle Sykes '23 Andrew Dyment '22
Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	14	12	12	38	Lawton Harper '24 Gabriel Medlin '22
Lucy Beckham High School	Beckham Bengals one	12	14	13	39	Nathan Pine '26 Addy Fisher '23

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	TOT	Sailors
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	3	2	3	8	Laura Hamilton '23 Kaitlyn Hamilton '22
Clear Falls High School	Knights 1	4	3	1	8	Kelly Bates '22 Benjamin Dunphey '22
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	2	1	7	10	Umi Noritake '24 Holland Ramos '23
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	6	5	2	13	Colin Guerrera '22 Nicholas Cunha '23
Antilles School	Hurricanes	1	4	10	15	Winn Majette '23 Jj Knowles '22
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	5	8	4	17	Olivia Drulard '23 Eva Gonzalez '22
Greenwich High School	Cardinals	10	6	5	21	Gray Tella '22 Jordi Helme '23
Bishop Kenny High School - FL	Bishop Kenny	7	10	6	23	Charlie Lawrence '22 Alex Patangan '23
Good Hope County Day School	Panthers	8	7	8	23	Ariana Schwarts '23 Miles Timmon '23
Clear Falls High School	Knights 2	9	9	9	27	Piotr Smieja '22 Madison Holm '22
John T. Hoggard High School	Vikings Varsity	11	12	12	35	Francis (Mac) Humphrey '22 Emmy Teer '25
Lucy Beckham High School	Beckham Bengals one	13	11	11	35	James Pine '26 Anthony Lattanzio '23
Wando	Warriors	12	13	DNF	40	Langdon Wallace '23 Jack Delamater '22
Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	14	DNF	DNS	44	Jack Houseal '23 Ty Osmond '23

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.140+0.14

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A
Academic Magnet High School Raptors A	1	1	1
Antilles School Hurricanes	2	2	2
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny	3	3	3
Christian Brothers Academy Colts	4	4	4
Clear Falls High School Knights 1	5	5	5
Clear Falls High School Knights 2	6	6	6
Good Hope County Day School Panthers	7	7	7
Greenwich High School Cardinals	15	15	15
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	9	9	9
John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity	10	10	10
Lucy Beckham High School Beckham Bengals one	11	11	11
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	12	12	12
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	13	13	13
Wando Warriors	14	14	14

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B
Academic Magnet High School Raptors A	1	1	1
Antilles School Hurricanes	2	2	2
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny	3	3	3
Christian Brothers Academy Colts	4	4	4
Clear Falls High School Knights 1	5	5	5
Clear Falls High School Knights 2	6	6	6
Good Hope County Day School Panthers	7	7	7
Greenwich High School Cardinals	15	15	15
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	9	9	9
John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity	10	10	10
Lucy Beckham High School Beckham Bengals one	11	11	11
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	12	12	12
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	13	13	13
Wando Warriors	14	14	14

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Academic Magnet High School	Lawton Harper '24	Gabriel Medlin '22
Raptors A	Jack Houseal '23	Ty Osmond '23
Antilles School	Caroline Sibilly '22	Katherine Majette '23
Hurricanes	Winn Majette '23	Jj Knowles '22
Bishop Kenny High School - FL	Bridget Monahan '22	Davis Mclauchlin '24
Bishop Kenny	Charlie Lawrence '22	Alex Patangan '23
Christian Brothers Academy	Ryan Ehnot '22	Connor Feury '22
Colts	Colin Guerrera '22	Nicholas Cunha '23
Clear Falls High School	Hamilton Barclay '23	Kailey Warrior '24
Knights 1	Kelly Bates '22	Benjamin Dunphey '22
Clear Falls High School	Ava Anderson '23	Tanner Ward '23
Knights 2	Piotr Smieja '22	Madison Holm '22
Good Hope County Day School	Milo Miller '23	Elyssa Franklin '22
Panthers	Ariana Schwarts '23	Miles Timmon '23
Greenwich High School	Elle Sykes '23	Andrew Dyment '22
Cardinals	Gray Tella '22	Jordi Helme '23
Immaculata La Salle High School	Mitchell Callahan '22	Jadin Gonzalez '24
Royal Lions	Umi Noritake '24	Holland Ramos '23
John T. Hoggard High School	Ben Usher '23	Andrew Simpson '23
Vikings Varsity	Francis (Mac) Humphrey '22	Emmy Teer '25
Lucy Beckham High School	Nathan Pine '26	Addy Fisher '23
Beckham Bengals one	James Pine '26	Anthony Lattanzio '23
Ransom Everglades School	Jackson Mcaliley '23	Livia Herman '22
Raiders	Olivia Drulard '23	Eva Gonzalez '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Jack Redmond '22	Kevin Gosselin '23
Raiders	Laura Hamilton '23	Kaitlyn Hamilton '22
Wando	Zack Carvajal '22	Carter Durst '22
Warriors	Langdon Wallace '23	Jack Delamater '22

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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College of Charleston Invitational

Division A

Division B

From the notes