Antilles School '22
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.12 | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 15–6 (71%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 | 1 | — | 4–4 |
| Spring 2021 | 1 | — | 11–2 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (21 matches) the record is 15–6 against 14.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.9). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-07 | SAISA Baker Team Racing District Championships | crew | 2.51 | 2.22 | 4–4 | 4.3 | −0.29 | 0.1 | 75% |
| 2021-05-22 | 2021 ISSA Baker Team Race National Championship | crew | 2.85 | 3.71 | 11–2 | 9.8 | +0.86 | 0.6 | 32% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA South Points SP#5 Varsity | Crew | A | 1 | 6.0 | — |
| SAISA Baker Team Racing District Championships | Crew | TR | 8 | 50% | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| College of Charleston Invitational | Crew | B | 3 | 5.0 | — |
| Spring 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| 2021 ISSA Baker Team Race National Championship | Crew | TR | 14 | 86% | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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