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SAISA South Points SP#5 Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 20 25 45
2 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 35 31 66
3 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 48 30 78
4 Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 56 26 82
5 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 53 39 92
6 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 43 50 93
7 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 41 55 96
8 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 54 54 108
9 The Pine School The Pine School Knights 64 54 118
10 Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Panthers 76 55 131
11 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 76 73 149
12 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 30 122 152
13 Naples High School Naples High School Golden Eagles 91 77 168
14 Falcons Falcons Falcons 84 103 187
15 Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 104 86 190
16 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 116 87 203
17 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 95 118 213
18 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 111 113 224
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1 8 2 5 1 2 1 20 Mitchell Callahan '22
Caroline Caudron '23
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 3 1 5 4 6 7 4 30 Enzo Menditto '22
Joshua Pike '22
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 14 3 1 11 1 3 35 Stephan Baker '22 [1-2, 7]
Jackson Mcaliley '23 [3-4]
Griggs Diemar '25 [5-6]
Livia Herman '22 [1-4, 7]
Boris Bialer '22 [5-6]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 5 3 9 6 9 4 5 41 Jack Redmond '22 [1-7]
Sophia St. Romain '22 [1-2, 6-7]
Ava Meshel '24 [3-5]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 12 5 1 8 7 8 2 43 Cort Snyder '23
Dante Garcia '24
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 11 10 4 2 8 6 7 48 Sidney Moyer '23
Dorothy Mendelblatt '24
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 9 12 7 9 3 5 8 53 Ethan Danielson '22
Rosie Simpson '25
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 6 6 6 13 2 10 11 54 Reid Nelson '23
Elliot Francola '23
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 4 2 10 11 14 9 6 56 Caroline Sibilly '22 [1-4, 7]
Winn Majette '23 [5-6]
Katherine Majette '23 [1-4]
Caitlin Briggs '23 [5-6]
Jj Knowles '22 [7]
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 10 13 14 10 5 3 9 64 Peter Foley '22
Michael Blotnick '23
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 7 4 15 16 12 12 10 76 William Kulas '24
Kaitlin Eaton '23
Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Panthers 16 7 11 14 4 11 13 76 Milo Miller '23
Miles Timmon '23
Falcons Falcons Falcons 13 16 8 3 15 13 16 84
Naples High School Naples High School Golden Eagles 8 9 13 15 18 16 12 91 Lauren Connell '22 [1-4, 7]
Maia Musial '22 [5-6]
Maia Musial '22 [1-4]
Conner Bricco '22 [5-6]
Keilan Keith '22 [7]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 15 17 12 7 10 17 17 95 Stevan Weiss '23
Kyle Weiksnar '25
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 14 11 17 17 16 15 14 104 Bo Dwyer '22
Sutton Bohannon '24
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 18 15 16 12 17 18 15 111 Jake Julien '24
Rachel Becker '23
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 17 18 18 18 13 14 18 116 Rylan Morris '24 [1-7]
Lexi Trimble '24 [1-4]
Sophie Suereth '22 [5-7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 6 5 1 2 3 3 5 25 Umi Noritake '24 [1-7]
Soleil Aurignac '25 [1-2]
Holland Ramos '23 [3-7]
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes RDG 2 6 3 4 5 2 26 Andy Yu '23 [1-4]
Ava Hurwitz '23 [5-7]
Megan Cassidy '22 [1-4]
Alexis Young '23 [5-7]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 1 1 4 6 9 2 7 30 Bella Shakespeare '23
Zach '23
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 4 7 8 1 8 1 31 Olivia Drulard '23 [1-2]
Ian Fox '24 [3-4]
Emery Diemar '24 [5-7]
Eva Gonzalez '22 [1-7]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 4 8 9 1 6 1 10 39 Kate Danielson '24
Bella Testa '23
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 12 10 3 5 7 10 3 50 Leo Seuss '23
Jack Whitehouse '24
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 3 11 8 12 5 11 4 54 Ian Richardson '25
Ava Cohen '25
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 11 7 10 4 2 6 14 54 Audrey Foley '24
Tanner Spurlin '23
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 8 6 5 9 8 13 6 55 Cody Roe '25 [1-4, 7]
Kevin Gosselin '23 [5-6]
Kj Hill '25 [1-4]
Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [5-7]
Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Panthers 10 3 12 7 11 4 8 55 Lola Khol '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Dawson Khol '23 [3-4, 7]
Ariana Schwarts '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Elyssa Franklin '22 [3-4, 7]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 7 13 2 11 13 14 13 73 Grant Schmidt '24
Sophia Pacheco '26
Naples High School Naples High School Golden Eagles 13 9 13 14 10 7 11 77 Carson Page '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Kamila Murray '30 [3-4]
Conner Bricco '22 [1-2]
Keilan Keith '22 [3-4]
Kamila Murray '30 [5-7]
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 14 14 11 10 12 9 16 86 Ryan Terski '22
Ashton Broadwater '24
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 9 12 15 13 14 12 12 87 Daphne Dalton '24
Savannah Kautz '25
Falcons Falcons Falcons 16 16 14 15 16 17 9 103
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 15 17 16 16 18 16 15 113 Thomas Yevoli '23
Daniel Wilentz '23
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 17 15 DNF DNF 15 15 18 118 Heidi Weiksnar '23 [1-2, 5-6]
David Wedde '27 [3-4, 7]
Valen Cuevas '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 18 18 17 17 17 18 17 122 Mariana Sierra '23
Austin Jones '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes1111111
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave16161616161616
Good Hope County Day SchoolGood Hope County Day School Panthers3333333
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders15151515151515
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions6666666
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons7777777
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers8888888
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Golden Eagles9999999
FalconsFalcons Falcons17171717171717
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers12121212121212
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers5555555
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders13131313131313
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders2222222
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers14141414141414
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS11111111111111
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils4444444
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights10101010101010
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors19191919191919

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes1111111
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave16161616161616
Good Hope County Day SchoolGood Hope County Day School Panthers3333333
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders15151515151515
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions6666666
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons7777777
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers8888888
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Golden Eagles9999999
FalconsFalcons Falcons17171717171717
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers12121212121212
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers5555555
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders13131313131313
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders2222222
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers14141414141414
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS11111111111111
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils4444444
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights10101010101010
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors19191919191919
School / Team SkipperCrew
Antilles School Antilles School Caroline Sibilly '22 [1-4, 7]
Winn Majette '23 [5-6]		 Katherine Majette '23 [1-4]
Caitlin Briggs '23 [5-6]
Jj Knowles '22 [7]
Hurricanes Andy Yu '23 [1-4]
Ava Hurwitz '23 [5-7]		 Megan Cassidy '22 [1-4]
Alexis Young '23 [5-7]
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Bo Dwyer '22 Sutton Bohannon '24
Green Wave Ryan Terski '22 Ashton Broadwater '24
Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Milo Miller '23 Miles Timmon '23
Panthers Lola Khol '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Dawson Khol '23 [3-4, 7]		 Ariana Schwarts '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Elyssa Franklin '22 [3-4, 7]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Cort Snyder '23 Dante Garcia '24
Raiders Leo Seuss '23 Jack Whitehouse '24
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Reid Nelson '23 Elliot Francola '23
Panthers Ian Richardson '25 Ava Cohen '25
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Mitchell Callahan '22 Caroline Caudron '23
Royal Lions Umi Noritake '24 [1-7] Soleil Aurignac '25 [1-2]
Holland Ramos '23 [3-7]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School William Kulas '24 Kaitlin Eaton '23
Falcons Grant Schmidt '24 Sophia Pacheco '26
Martin County High School Martin County High School Stevan Weiss '23 Kyle Weiksnar '25
Tigers Heidi Weiksnar '23 [1-2, 5-6]
David Wedde '27 [3-4, 7]		 Valen Cuevas '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Naples High School Naples High School Lauren Connell '22 [1-4, 7]
Maia Musial '22 [5-6]		 Maia Musial '22 [1-4]
Conner Bricco '22 [5-6]
Keilan Keith '22 [7]
Golden Eagles Carson Page '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Kamila Murray '30 [3-4]		 Conner Bricco '22 [1-2]
Keilan Keith '22 [3-4]
Kamila Murray '30 [5-7]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Jake Julien '24 Rachel Becker '23
Panthers Thomas Yevoli '23 Daniel Wilentz '23
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Stephan Baker '22 [1-2, 7]
Jackson Mcaliley '23 [3-4]
Griggs Diemar '25 [5-6]		 Livia Herman '22 [1-4, 7]
Boris Bialer '22 [5-6]
Raiders Olivia Drulard '23 [1-2]
Ian Fox '24 [3-4]
Emery Diemar '24 [5-7]		 Eva Gonzalez '22 [1-7]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Ethan Danielson '22 Rosie Simpson '25
Chargers Kate Danielson '24 Bella Testa '23
South Fork High School South Fork High School Rylan Morris '24 [1-7] Lexi Trimble '24 [1-4]
Sophie Suereth '22 [5-7]
SF BULLDOGS Daphne Dalton '24 Savannah Kautz '25
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Sidney Moyer '23 Dorothy Mendelblatt '24
Green Devils Bella Shakespeare '23 Zach '23
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Jack Redmond '22 [1-7] Sophia St. Romain '22 [1-2, 6-7]
Ava Meshel '24 [3-5]
Raiders Cody Roe '25 [1-4, 7]
Kevin Gosselin '23 [5-6]		 Kj Hill '25 [1-4]
Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [5-7]
The Pine School The Pine School Peter Foley '22 Michael Blotnick '23
Knights Audrey Foley '24 Tanner Spurlin '23
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Enzo Menditto '22 Joshua Pike '22
Warriors Mariana Sierra '23 Austin Jones '22

Conditions — 02/26/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1023.3 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From E (93°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1023.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ransom Everglades: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ransom Everglades by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 14 labelled days at Ransom Everglades, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →