Soleil Aurignac

Crew Rating

Career: 3.06 percentile of ICSA crews

Includes linked high school and college seasons.

-0.500.000.501.00U. Noritake (14 races): -0.17U. NoritakeK. Grupenhoff (5 races): +0.13K. GrupenhoffD. Rianno (21 races): +0.12Spring 2023: rating 1.03Spring 2023Immaculata La Salle High SchoolU. Noritake (6 races): -0.30U. NoritakeK. Grupenhoff (7 races): +0.23K. GrupenhoffFall 2023: rating 0.58Fall 2023Immaculata La Salle High SchoolU. Noritake (22 races): -1.00U. NoritakeI. Henrich (7 races): +0.07I. HenrichK. Grupenhoff (22 races): +0.02Spring 2024: rating 0.58Spring 2024Immaculata La Salle High SchoolD. Coates (12 races): -0.47D. CoatesK. Grupenhoff (26 races): +0.11K. GrupenhoffSpring 2025: rating 0.83Spring 2025Immaculata La Salle High SchoolC. Kinnear (6 races): -0.88C. KinnearS. Bridge (1 races): -0.19S. BridgeA. Samis (4 races): +0.16A. Matzky (3 races): +0.12Other skippers: -0.07Fall 2025: rating -0.00Fall 2025Rollins CollegeS. Bridge (17 races): +0.24S. BridgeJ. Scott (6 races): +0.07J. ScottM. Fleming (4 races): +0.04Spring 2026: rating 0.18Spring 2026Rollins College
▲ boats did better with this crew than with the skipper's usual crews▼ worseArrow length = size of the push, in rating points
Season Team Rating Range League
percentile
Team
percentile
On team Races Team page
Spring 2026 Rollins College 0.18 Rating 0.18; 90% range -2.2 to 2.6; team skipper average 1.88 31.44 8.33 6 of 6 29 Team page
Fall 2025 Rollins College -0.00 Rating -0.00; 90% range -2.5 to 2.5; team skipper average 1.81 21.30 6.25 8 of 8 23 Team page
Spring 2025 Immaculata La Salle High School 0.83 Rating 0.83; 90% range -1.7 to 3.3; team skipper average 2.44 39.36 8.33 6 of 6 38 Team page
Spring 2024 Immaculata La Salle High School 0.58 Rating 0.58; 90% range -1.9 to 3.0; team skipper average 2.54 33.19 8.33 6 of 6 51 Team page
Fall 2023 Immaculata La Salle High School 0.58 Rating 0.58; 90% range -1.9 to 3.1; team skipper average 2.51 30.44 6.25 8 of 8 13 Team page
Spring 2023 Immaculata La Salle High School 1.03 Rating 1.03; 90% range -1.4 to 3.4; team skipper average 2.45 39.01 7.14 7 of 7 40 Team page

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
0.12 unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.00
about what the fleet rating predicts
as crew 8–27 (23%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 20251—4–4
Spring 20241—2–4
Spring 20231—2–19

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 3 graded regattas (35 matches) the record is 8–27 against 15.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−7.2). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 7 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2025-04-26SAISA Baker Qualifiercrew1.521.044–44.6−0.480.181%
2024-04-13SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifiercrew2.170.092–43.8−2.082.099%
2023-04-15SAISA Baker Race Qualifiercrew1.85-0.142–196.9−2.004.7>99%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2025 Team page Season
SAISA SP's 3 2025 Crew A 6 5.0 —
SAISA SP's 1 Crew A 10 7.1 —
SAISA South Points #5 Varsity. Crew A 4 3.5 —
SAISA South Points 2 Crew B 9 3.1 —
SAISA Mallory Qualifier Crew A 6 9.5 —
SAISA Baker Qualifier Crew TR 24 50% —
2025 South Points No. 4 Crew A 3 8.7 —
Fall 2024 Team page Season
South Points ACC Qualifier Crew A 6 5.2 —
2024 ISSA Keelboat National Invitational Keelboat Crew A 10 7.8 —
Spring 2024 Team page Season
SP 6 (SAISA) Crew B 5 5.4 —
South Points #7 Crew B 5 2.6 —
SAISA SP's #4 Crew A 14 9.6 —
SAISA South Points #5 Crew B 6 2.7 —
SAISA Mallory Qualifier (District Champs) Crew A, B 14 10.2 —
SAISA Girls Champs - Rock the Boat Regatta Crew A 7 3.0 —
SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifier Crew TR 6 33% —
Fall 2023 Team page Season
South Points #3 Crew B 4 3.2 —
SAISA South Points 2 Varsity Crew B 3 2.0 —
SAISA South Points 1 2023-24 Crew A 6 10.0 —
Spring 2023 Team page Season
SP's #4 St Pete/USF Crew B 13 4.3 —
South Points #7 Vero Beach Varsity Crew B 6 6.0 —
SAISA SP #6 - Varsity Crew B 8 3.4 —
SAISA SP #5 Junior Varsity Crew A 5 1.8 —
SAISA South Points 1 2022-23 Crew A 2 3.0 —
SAISA Mallory Qualifier Crew A 6 10.2 —
SAISA Baker Race Qualifier Crew TR 18 6% —
Fall 2022 Team page Season
South Points #3 JV Crew A 4 2.0 —
SAISA South Points #2 JV Crew A 5 2.6 —
Spring 2022 Team page Season
SP 6 JV Crew A 6 3.8 —
South Points 7 JV Crew A, B 7 2.3 —
SAISA South Points SP#5 Varsity Crew B 2 5.5 —

Linked Profiles

League Name School Year
ICSA Soleil Aurignac Rollins CollegeRollins College '29

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →

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