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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 MAST Academy MAST Academy Mast Academy 54 51 105
2 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 55 77 132
3 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 80 57 137
4 Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 75 67 142
5 Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 109 41 150
6 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 81 81 162
7 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 52 111 163
8 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 103 68 171
9 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 76 97 173
10 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 95 96 191
11 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 97 114 211
12 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 146 111 257
13 Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Falcons 111 158 269
14 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 152 176 328
15 Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 172 158 330
16 Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 188 186 374
17 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 194 187 381
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 4 1 1 1 7 3 2 6 12 2 5 8 52 Connor Mertz '25 [1-12]
Aurora Christiansen '26 [1-6]
Truman Clark Jimenez '27 [7-12]
MAST Academy MAST Academy Mast Academy 5 2 11 5 2 1 3 5 2 5 11 2 54 Davide Bazzoni '26 [1-6]
Minx Anthony '26 [7-12]
Theodore Mccormick '26 [1-6]
Andrea Bolz '27 [7-12]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 1 4 4 2 10 2 1 13 13 3 1 1 55 Cody Roe '25 [1-12]
Ana Lynch Smith '25 [1-5]
Isabel Viega '28 [6-8]
Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [9-12]
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 10 3 6 6 4 7 8 7 3 6 10 5 75 Robert Richards '25 [1-12]
Rena Yu '27 [1-2, 5-12]
Mia Ronen '25 [3-4]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 6 13 3 8 6 12 6 2 1 7 9 3 76 Connor Karr '28
Danika Torres '27
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 8 13 3 5 5 4 3 5 9 13 10 80 Ava Mc Aliley '26 [1-6, 10-12]
Max Wolfensberger '26 [7-9]
Manolo Campos '25 [1-6, 10-12]
Kayra Serpenguzel '25 [7-9]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 8 6 2 10 12 4 5 9 4 11 6 4 81 Keith Grupenhoff '25 [1-4, 7-8, 11-12]
David Mateo Coates '27 [5-6, 9-10]
Soleil Aurignac '25 [1-10]
Alejandro Escudero '27 [11-12]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 3 14 5 4 1 9 13 15 11 10 4 6 95 Gloria Privis '26 [1-12]
Adam Mendelblatt '26 [1-8, 10]
Sophia Fuller '25 [9, 11-12]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 9 5 9 11 3 10 9 10 10 8 2 11 97 Ian Richardson '25
Ava Cohen '25
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 7 15 7 9 9 16 7 12 6 1 7 7 103 Andrew Lamm '26 [1-12]
Mia Lago '26 [1-2, 7-12]
Noah Rabiei '25 [3-6]
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 15 12 10 15 13 8 12 1 7 4 3 9 109 Elizabeth Xydas '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Isabella Storm '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Alexandra Kolaya '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Falcons 11 9 12 7 11 6 10 4 9 12 8 12 111 Kyla Benesch '27
Carter Roachell '27
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 12 10 8 12 14 11 11 14 14 15 12 13 146 Ainsley Braun '25
Ellen Hommeyer '26
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 13 7 15 13 16 13 15 8 8 14 14 16 152 Genevieve Schmidt '26 [1-5, 7-12]
William Walker '28 [6]
Ellie Lovatt '28 [1-4, 6-12]
William Walker '28 [5]
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 17 11 14 16 8 15 14 16 17 13 16 15 172 James Mccauley '26 [1-6]
Camper Dales '26 [7-12]
Nick Klien '26 [1-6]
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 16 16 16 14 15 14 17 17 16 16 17 14 188 Mason Fuller '26
Nick Londal '26
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 14 DNS DNS 17 DNS DNS 16 11 15 17 15 17 194 Savannah Kautz '25
Claire Rawlings '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 3 6 7 1 1 2 8 4 1 2 5 1 41 Audrey Russler '26
Paulina Freyre '25
MAST Academy MAST Academy Mast Academy 1 1 1 2 4 5 2 9 10 5 2 9 51 Carlos Beckmann '25 [1-7]
Oliver Holt '26 [8-12]
Julia Gil '26 [1-7]
Maryna Downey '27 [8-12]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 4 8 3 3 5 1 7 6 8 7 1 4 57 Sebastian Van De Kreeke '25 [1-6, 9-10]
Sander Block '28 [7-8, 11-12]
Sofia Rhone '26 [1-6, 9-10]
Amelia Lazarus '25 [7-8, 11-12]
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 2 10 5 6 3 14 1 2 7 8 7 2 67 Alejo Diblasi '25
Halina Diehl '26
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 9 7 9 7 8 8 3 1 2 1 8 5 68 Miles Cundey '28 [1-12]
Lilly Pollock '28 [1-2, 7-12]
Vaughn Grove '26 [3-6]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 5 4 12 4 7 7 5 5 5 6 11 6 77 Kj Hill '25 [1-5, 9-12]
Mariano Viega '25 [6-8]
Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [1-6]
Ana Lynch Smith '25 [7-12]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 12 3 2 12 11 3 6 8 9 3 9 3 81 Isabella Henrich '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Beck Brill '27 [5-6, 9-12]
Nathalie Caudron '25 [1-4, 7-8]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 11 5 11 11 12 6 4 3 6 11 6 10 96 Ryder Ellis '27 [1-4]
John Hartney '28 [5-11]
Reid Mendelblatt '26 [12]
Sophia Fuller '25 [1-4]
Reid Mendelblatt '26 [5-11]
Jad Abedrabbo '26 [12]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 6 2 10 8 10 11 11 7 12 9 4 7 97 Alfonso Lanseros '27 [1-4, 9-12]
Afonso Cruz '26 [5-8]
Maxi Seuss '26 [1-4, 9-12]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 8 12 8 5 2 10 10 10 11 12 10 13 111 Josh O'Connor '26 [1-12]
Anastasia Davis '26 [1-8]
Arden Katcha '26 [9-12]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 17 17 4 9 6 4 9 11 3 10 13 8 111 Miles Julien '27 [1-12]
Jake Taubman '25 [1-8]
Aurora Christiansen '26 [9-12]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 16 11 6 10 14 9 12 13 4 4 3 12 114 Cabel Clark '28 [1-2, 6-7, 9-12]
Jessica Martello '27 [3-5, 8]
Violet Jonas '27 [1-2, 6-7, 9-12]
Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Falcons 7 9 14 14 13 15 15 15 13 15 12 16 158 Taylor Shivbaran '26 [1-8]
Matteo Iannelli '26 [9-12]
Jackson Voell '26 [1-2, 11-12]
Kane Matheson '26 [3-4]
Matteo Iannelli '26 [5-8]
Nicole Rincon '29 [9-10]
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 15 14 13 13 9 12 13 12 15 16 15 11 158 Layla Tippett '27 [1-2, 9-11]
Gabriella Pina '27 [3-8, 12]
Natasha Benson '27 [1-2, 9-11]
Ben Kuzmik '27 [3-8, 12]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 10 15 15 17 15 13 16 14 17 14 16 14 176 Delaney Romeyk '26 [1-4, 8-12]
Ellie Freeman '26 [5-7]
Anastasia Zaripova '28 [1-4, 8-12]
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 13 16 17 15 16 16 14 17 14 17 14 17 186 Henry Cook '26
Darius Zafar '26
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 14 13 16 16 17 17 17 16 16 13 17 15 187 Jonathan Bratt '26
Belle Falero '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes111111111111
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School222222222222
Community School of NaplesCommunity School of Naples Varsity333333333333
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders444444444444
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions666666666666
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons777777777777
MAST AcademyMAST Academy Mast Academy888888888888
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves999999999999
Palmer Trinity SchoolPalmer Trinity School Falcons101010101010101010101010
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers111111111111111111111111
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers555555555555
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders121212121212121212121212
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders161616161616161616161616
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers131313131313131313131313
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS141414141414141414141414
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils151515151515151515151515
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Indians171717171717171717171717

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes111111111111
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School222222222222
Community School of NaplesCommunity School of Naples Varsity333333333333
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders444444444444
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions666666666666
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons777777777777
MAST AcademyMAST Academy Mast Academy888888888888
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves999999999999
Palmer Trinity SchoolPalmer Trinity School Falcons101010101010101010101010
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers111111111111111111111111
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers555555555555
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders121212121212121212121212
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders161616161616161616161616
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers131313131313131313131313
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS141414141414141414141414
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils151515151515151515151515
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Indians171717171717171717171717
School / Team SkipperCrew
Antilles School Antilles School Robert Richards '25 [1-12] Rena Yu '27 [1-2, 5-12]
Mia Ronen '25 [3-4]
Hurricanes Alejo Diblasi '25 Halina Diehl '26
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Elizabeth Xydas '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Isabella Storm '26 [3-4, 7-8]		 Alexandra Kolaya '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Carrollton School Audrey Russler '26 Paulina Freyre '25
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Mason Fuller '26 Nick Londal '26
Varsity Henry Cook '26 Darius Zafar '26
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Connor Karr '28 Danika Torres '27
Raiders Alfonso Lanseros '27 [1-4, 9-12]
Afonso Cruz '26 [5-8]		 Maxi Seuss '26 [1-4, 9-12]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Ian Richardson '25 Ava Cohen '25
Panthers Cabel Clark '28 [1-2, 6-7, 9-12]
Jessica Martello '27 [3-5, 8]		 Violet Jonas '27 [1-2, 6-7, 9-12]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Keith Grupenhoff '25 [1-4, 7-8, 11-12]
David Mateo Coates '27 [5-6, 9-10]		 Soleil Aurignac '25 [1-10]
Alejandro Escudero '27 [11-12]
Royal Lions Isabella Henrich '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Beck Brill '27 [5-6, 9-12]		 Nathalie Caudron '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Genevieve Schmidt '26 [1-5, 7-12]
William Walker '28 [6]		 Ellie Lovatt '28 [1-4, 6-12]
William Walker '28 [5]
Falcons Delaney Romeyk '26 [1-4, 8-12]
Ellie Freeman '26 [5-7]		 Anastasia Zaripova '28 [1-4, 8-12]
MAST Academy MAST Academy Davide Bazzoni '26 [1-6]
Minx Anthony '26 [7-12]		 Theodore Mccormick '26 [1-6]
Andrea Bolz '27 [7-12]
Mast Academy Carlos Beckmann '25 [1-7]
Oliver Holt '26 [8-12]		 Julia Gil '26 [1-7]
Maryna Downey '27 [8-12]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Andrew Lamm '26 [1-12] Mia Lago '26 [1-2, 7-12]
Noah Rabiei '25 [3-6]
ThunderWolves Miles Cundey '28 [1-12] Lilly Pollock '28 [1-2, 7-12]
Vaughn Grove '26 [3-6]
Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Kyla Benesch '27 Carter Roachell '27
Falcons Taylor Shivbaran '26 [1-8]
Matteo Iannelli '26 [9-12]		 Jackson Voell '26 [1-2, 11-12]
Kane Matheson '26 [3-4]
Matteo Iannelli '26 [5-8]
Nicole Rincon '29 [9-10]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Connor Mertz '25 [1-12] Aurora Christiansen '26 [1-6]
Truman Clark Jimenez '27 [7-12]
Panthers Miles Julien '27 [1-12] Jake Taubman '25 [1-8]
Aurora Christiansen '26 [9-12]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Ava Mc Aliley '26 [1-6, 10-12]
Max Wolfensberger '26 [7-9]		 Manolo Campos '25 [1-6, 10-12]
Kayra Serpenguzel '25 [7-9]
Raiders Sebastian Van De Kreeke '25 [1-6, 9-10]
Sander Block '28 [7-8, 11-12]		 Sofia Rhone '26 [1-6, 9-10]
Amelia Lazarus '25 [7-8, 11-12]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Ainsley Braun '25 Ellen Hommeyer '26
Chargers Josh O'Connor '26 [1-12] Anastasia Davis '26 [1-8]
Arden Katcha '26 [9-12]
South Fork High School South Fork High School Savannah Kautz '25 Claire Rawlings '28
SF BULLDOGS Jonathan Bratt '26 Belle Falero '26
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Gloria Privis '26 [1-12] Adam Mendelblatt '26 [1-8, 10]
Sophia Fuller '25 [9, 11-12]
Green Devils Ryder Ellis '27 [1-4]
John Hartney '28 [5-11]
Reid Mendelblatt '26 [12]		 Sophia Fuller '25 [1-4]
Reid Mendelblatt '26 [5-11]
Jad Abedrabbo '26 [12]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Cody Roe '25 [1-12] Ana Lynch Smith '25 [1-5]
Isabel Viega '28 [6-8]
Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [9-12]
Raiders Kj Hill '25 [1-5, 9-12]
Mariano Viega '25 [6-8]		 Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [1-6]
Ana Lynch Smith '25 [7-12]
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) James Mccauley '26 [1-6]
Camper Dales '26 [7-12]		 Nick Klien '26 [1-6]
Indians Layla Tippett '27 [1-2, 9-11]
Gabriella Pina '27 [3-8, 12]		 Natasha Benson '27 [1-2, 9-11]
Ben Kuzmik '27 [3-8, 12]

Conditions — 01/25/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1029.8 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From NE (36°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover18% Sunshine9.6 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1029.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Shorecrest Prep/St. Petersburg: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.44 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Shorecrest Prep/St. Petersburg by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Shorecrest Prep/St. Petersburg, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →