MAST Academy '25
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 (fleet 2.69) | 67 of 231 | +0.09 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 25–23 (52%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 19–17 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 6–6 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (48 matches) the record is 25–23 against 19.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+5.2). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-16 | ISSA Baker Team Race Championship | skipper | 2.23 | 2.52 | 6–9 | 5.3 | +0.28 | 0.1 | 45% |
| 2025-04-26 | SAISA Baker Qualifier | skipper | 2.19 | 2.71 | 13–8 | 11.1 | +0.52 | 0.6 | 26% |
| 2024-04-13 | SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifier | skipper | 1.83 | 3.27 | 6–6 | 3.4 | +1.45 | 2.2 | 7% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA SP's 1 | Skipper | B | 7 | 2.3 | 4.35 |
| SAISA South Points 2 | Skipper | B | 5 | 9.6 | 1.06 |
| SAISA Mallory Qualifier | Skipper | B | 7 | 5.1 | 2.37 |
| SAISA Baker Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 24 | 67% | — |
| ISSA Baker Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 17 | 47% | — |
| 2025 South Points No. 4 | Skipper | B | 2 | 2.5 | 3.92 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| South Points ACC Qualifier | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.5 | 1.85 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| SP 6 (SAISA) | Skipper | A | 5 | 4.6 | 2.24 |
| South Points #7 | Skipper | A | 2 | 10.5 | -0.81 |
| SAISA SP's #4 | Skipper | A | 13 | 7.8 | 0.91 |
| SAISA South Points #5 | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.3 | 1.15 |
| SAISA Mallory Qualifier (District Champs) | Skipper | A | 8 | 7.1 | 1.55 |
| SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 12 | 50% | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA South Points 1 2023-24 | Crew | A | 5 | 8.8 | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Carlos Beckmann |  University of Central Florida |
'29 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
To have this profile removed, email quinnbrighton2005@gmail.com.
