SAISA South Points 1 2023-24

HostHistoric Virginia Key Beach Park
Date09/30/2023
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	19	15	34
2	Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	20	36	56
3	Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	35	42	77
4	St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	22	58	80
5	Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	51	29	80
6	Palmer Trinity School	Falcons	66	28	94
7	Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	60	43	103
8	Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA	32	72	104
9	Antilles School	Hurricanes	56	51	107
10	H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	70	42	112
11	Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	67	64	131
12	Riverview High School	Varsity	59	94	153
13	Pine Crest School	Panthers	87	66	153
14	Martin County High School	Tigers	78	76	154
15	MAST Academy	Mast Academy	66	94	160
16	VIMSIA	Varsity	88	80	168
17	South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	92	94	186
18	Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	87	104	191
19	Sarasota High School	Sailors	104	96	200
20	Calvary Christian Academy	Calvary Christian Ac	110	100	210
21	Westminster Christian School	Warriors	132	110	242

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	3	1	1	1	3	10	19	Cody Roe '25 Danielle Lynch Smith '26
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	6	2	2	7	1	2	20	William Kulas '24 Elizabeth Wire '24
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	1	7	6	2	2	4	22	Dorothy Mendelblatt '24 Adam Mendelblatt '26
Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA	7	8	5	5	6	1	32	Tyler Lamm '24 Vaughan Grove '25
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	8	3	3	14	4	3	35	Ian Fox '24 [1-2, 5-6] Griggs Diemar '25 [3-4] Evelyn Yu '24 [1-2, 5-6] Violet Martin '24 [3-4]
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	4	11	4	6	9	17	51	Kate Danielson '24 Ainsley Braun '25
Antilles School	Hurricanes	2	14	7	12	14	7	56	Audrey Zimmerman '27 Andreas Lucas '25
Riverview High School	Varsity	17	10	10	9	5	8	59	Raphael Ducrey '28 Nicholas Papazian '24
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	12	12	15	4	8	9	60	Umi Noritake '24 Soleil Aurignac '25
MAST Academy	Mast Academy	5	6	DNS	3	10	20	66	Ash Raval '24 Carlos Beckmann '25
Palmer Trinity School	Falcons	18	4	11	11	7	15	66	Brayden Benesch '24 Taylor Shivbaran '26
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	13	9	12	17	11	5	67	Audrey Russler '26 Paulina Freyre '25
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	9	13	9	8	17	14	70	Ian Richardson '25 Ava Cohen '25
Martin County High School	Tigers	16	5	8	19	19	11	78	Kyle Weiksnar '25 David Wedde '27
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	11	17	14	13	16	16	87	Dante Garcia '24 Alexandra Jones '24
Pine Crest School	Panthers	19	15	18	10	13	12	87	Connor Mertz '25 Trenton Groome '26
VIMSIA	Varsity	10	16	16	15	12	19	88	Mariana Brunt '26 Ellis Wisehart '26
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	14	19	17	18	18	6	92	Brady Koren '24 Angel Black '24
Sarasota High School	Sailors	15	18	DNS	16	15	18	104	Millie French '25 Jade Cambell '26
Calvary Christian Academy	Calvary Christian Ac	DNS	20	13	DNF	20	13	110	Emmett Debs '26 Austin Norman '26
Westminster Christian School	Warriors	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	132	Castan Conley '27 David Gleason '24

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	3	2	5	1	1	3	15	Kj Hill '25 Isabel Viega '28
Palmer Trinity School	Falcons	5	7	1	6	4	5	28	Kyla Benesch '27 Reece Weber '24
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	4	5	6	5	5	4	29	Rosie Simpson '25 Ellen Hommeyer '26
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	1	1	4	16	13	1	36	Grant Schmidt '24 Genevieve Schmidt '26
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	7	4	10	2	3	16	42	Ava Mc Aliley '26 [1-2, 5-6] Garrett Fox '26 [3-4] Lucas Lippy '25 [1-2, 5-6] Manolo Campos '25 [3-4]
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	9	8	8	4	7	6	42	Tom Seibold '25 Lydia Woolson '24
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	2	6	2	8	6	19	43	Keith Grupenhoff '25 Nathalie Caudron '25
Antilles School	Hurricanes	11	3	17	10	2	8	51	Emma Walters '26 Greg Degraff '24
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	8	9	3	3	OCS	13	58	Gloria Privis '26 Avery Hunter '25
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	15	13	13	12	9	2	64	Isabella Storm '26 Addison Grinan '24
Pine Crest School	Panthers	17	10	12	7	11	9	66	Jake Taubman '25 Aurora Christiansen '26
Unregistered-SEISA	SEISA	6	11	9	13	OCS	11	72	Andrew Lamm '26 Noah Rabiei '25
Martin County High School	Tigers	12	12	16	11	15	10	76	Grady Stahl '26 Mia Stahl '27
VIMSIA	Varsity	13	17	7	9	17	17	80	Zia Zucker '26 Amelie Zucker '24
MAST Academy	Mast Academy	10	16	15	19	16	18	94	Martin Barrera '24 [1-5] Fernando (Alex) Figueroa '24 [6] Fernando (Alex) Figueroa '24 [1-5] Martin Barrera '24 [6]
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	14	20	14	DNS	10	14	94	Jakub Barski '23 Claire Rawlings '28
Riverview High School	Varsity	16	18	11	20	OCS	7	94	Byron Smith '29 Jonah Sroka '24
Sarasota High School	Sailors	19	19	21	14	8	15	96	Samantha Jones '25 Coco Claypool '28
Calvary Christian Academy	Calvary Christian Ac	21	21	19	15	12	12	100	Sophia Debs '24 Sofia Ladino '24
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	18	14	18	18	14	OCS	104	Millie Mccormick '25 [1-2, 5-6] Benjamin Pasquier '25 [3-4] Diogo Cruz '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Westminster Christian School	Warriors	20	15	20	17	18	20	110	Castan Conley '27 David Gleason '24

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Antilles School Hurricanes	1	1	1	1	1	1
Calvary Christian Academy Calvary Christian Ac	2	2	2	2	2	2
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School	3	3	3	3	3	3
Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders	4	4	4	4	4	4
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	5	5	5	5	5	5
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	6	6	6	6	6	6
Martin County High School Tigers	7	7	7	7	7	7
MAST Academy Mast Academy	8	8	8	8	8	8
Palmer Trinity School Falcons	10	10	10	10	10	10
VIMSIA Varsity	20	20	20	20	20	20
Pine Crest School Panthers	11	11	11	11	11	11
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	12	12	12	12	12	12
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	13	13	13	13	13	13
Riverview High School Varsity	14	14	14	14	14	14
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	19	19	19	19	19	19
Sarasota High School Sailors	15	15	15	15	15	15
Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers	16	16	16	16	16	16
South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS	17	17	17	17	17	17
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	18	18	18	18	18	18
Unregistered-SEISA SEISA	9	9	9	9	9	9
Westminster Christian School Warriors	21	21	21	21	21	21

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Antilles School Hurricanes	1	1	1	1	1	1
Calvary Christian Academy Calvary Christian Ac	2	2	2	2	2	2
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School	3	3	3	3	3	3
Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders	4	4	4	4	4	4
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	5	5	5	5	5	5
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	6	6	6	6	6	6
Martin County High School Tigers	7	7	7	7	7	7
MAST Academy Mast Academy	8	8	8	8	8	8
Palmer Trinity School Falcons	10	10	10	10	10	10
VIMSIA Varsity	20	20	20	20	20	20
Pine Crest School Panthers	11	11	11	11	11	11
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	12	12	12	12	12	12
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	13	13	13	13	13	13
Riverview High School Varsity	14	14	14	14	14	14
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	19	19	19	19	19	19
Sarasota High School Sailors	15	15	15	15	15	15
Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers	16	16	16	16	16	16
South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS	17	17	17	17	17	17
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	18	18	18	18	18	18
Unregistered-SEISA SEISA	9	9	9	9	9	9
Westminster Christian School Warriors	21	21	21	21	21	21

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Antilles School	Audrey Zimmerman '27	Andreas Lucas '25
Hurricanes	Emma Walters '26	Greg Degraff '24
Calvary Christian Academy	Emmett Debs '26	Austin Norman '26
Calvary Christian Ac	Sophia Debs '24	Sofia Ladino '24
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Audrey Russler '26	Paulina Freyre '25
Carrollton School	Isabella Storm '26	Addison Grinan '24
Gulliver Preparatory School	Dante Garcia '24	Alexandra Jones '24
Raiders	Millie Mccormick '25 [1-2, 5-6] Benjamin Pasquier '25 [3-4]	Diogo Cruz '25 [1-2, 5-6]
H. B. Plant High School	Ian Richardson '25	Ava Cohen '25
Panthers	Tom Seibold '25	Lydia Woolson '24
Immaculata La Salle High School	Umi Noritake '24	Soleil Aurignac '25
Royal Lions	Keith Grupenhoff '25	Nathalie Caudron '25
Jensen Beach High School	William Kulas '24	Elizabeth Wire '24
Falcons	Grant Schmidt '24	Genevieve Schmidt '26
MAST Academy	Ash Raval '24	Carlos Beckmann '25
Mast Academy	Martin Barrera '24 [1-5] Fernando (Alex) Figueroa '24 [6]	Fernando (Alex) Figueroa '24 [1-5] Martin Barrera '24 [6]
Martin County High School	Kyle Weiksnar '25	David Wedde '27
Tigers	Grady Stahl '26	Mia Stahl '27
Palmer Trinity School	Brayden Benesch '24	Taylor Shivbaran '26
Falcons	Kyla Benesch '27	Reece Weber '24
Pine Crest School	Connor Mertz '25	Trenton Groome '26
Panthers	Jake Taubman '25	Aurora Christiansen '26
Ransom Everglades School	Ian Fox '24 [1-2, 5-6] Griggs Diemar '25 [3-4]	Evelyn Yu '24 [1-2, 5-6] Violet Martin '24 [3-4]
Raiders	Ava Mc Aliley '26 [1-2, 5-6] Garrett Fox '26 [3-4]	Lucas Lippy '25 [1-2, 5-6] Manolo Campos '25 [3-4]
Riverview High School	Raphael Ducrey '28	Nicholas Papazian '24
Varsity	Byron Smith '29	Jonah Sroka '24
Sarasota High School	Millie French '25	Jade Cambell '26
Sailors	Samantha Jones '25	Coco Claypool '28
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Kate Danielson '24	Ainsley Braun '25
Chargers	Rosie Simpson '25	Ellen Hommeyer '26
South Fork High School	Brady Koren '24	Angel Black '24
SF BULLDOGS	Jakub Barski '23	Claire Rawlings '28
St. Petersburg High School	Dorothy Mendelblatt '24	Adam Mendelblatt '26
Green Devils	Gloria Privis '26	Avery Hunter '25
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Cody Roe '25	Danielle Lynch Smith '26
Raiders	Kj Hill '25	Isabel Viega '28
Unregistered-SEISA	Tyler Lamm '24	Vaughan Grove '25
SEISA	Andrew Lamm '26	Noah Rabiei '25
VIMSIA	Mariana Brunt '26	Ellis Wisehart '26
Varsity	Zia Zucker '26	Amelie Zucker '24
Westminster Christian School	Castan Conley '27	David Gleason '24
Warriors	Castan Conley '27	David Gleason '24

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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SAISA South Points 1 2023-24

Division A

Division B

From the notes