Antilles School '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.78 (fleet 2.84) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.02 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 10–7 (59%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 10–7 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (17 matches) the record is 10–7 against 9.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifier | skipper | 2.06 | 2.19 | 10–7 | 9.7 | +0.12 | 0.0 | 54% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA SP #5 Varsity | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.7 | 3.18 |
| SAISA North Points #6 - Varsity | Skipper | B | 2 | 2.5 | 3.18 |
| SAISA Doublehanded Championship/Mallory Qualifier | Skipper | B | 9 | 6.2 | 2.59 |
| SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 17 | 59% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA South Points #1 2025-26 | Skipper | B | 6 | 7.8 | 2.13 |
| MASSA Fall Girls Invitational Champs Red Div | Skipper | A | 4 | 2.0 | 4.21 |
| MASSA Fall Girls Invitational Champ Gold Div. | Skipper | A | 7 | 4.9 | 2.62 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| 2025 South Points No. 4 | Skipper | B | 5 | 5.0 | 2.52 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| MASSA Girls Fall Invitational | Skipper | A | 10 | 3.8 | 3.36 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA South Points 1 2023-24 | Skipper | A | 6 | 9.3 | 0.95 |
| Alfond Invitational | Skipper | A | 2 | 7.5 | -0.18 |
| 2024 Rose Bowl Regatta - GOLD | Skipper | A | 7 | 30.0 | -0.52 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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