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MASSA Girls Fall Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 42 27 69
2 Severn School Severn School Admirals 32 41 73
3 MAST Academy MAST Academy Mast Academy 48 38 86
4 Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 38 66 104
5 The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 60 65 125
6 Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 71 72 143
7 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 48 112 160
8 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 78 95 173
9 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 129 58 187
10 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 94 108 202
11 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 102 103 205
12 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 116 102 218
13 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 122 96 218
14 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 108 113 221
15 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 144 100 244
16 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 128 151 279
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 2 9 4 1 4 8 1 32 Annie Sitzmann '26 [1-10]
Charlotte Macdonald '26 [1-3, 5-9]
Annabelle Ulak '26 [4, 10]
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 3 5 6 4 2 3 4 2 5 4 38 Audrey Zimmerman '27
Mia Ronen '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 7 4 3 1 5 2 5 7 1 7 42 Madeline Janzen '25
Chloe Shurr '25
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 8 2 2 3 7 5 6 5 7 3 48 Maddie Murphy '25
Emma Horton '25
MAST Academy MAST Academy Mast Academy 9 13 7 6 1 1 2 3 4 2 48 Minx Anthony '26
Andrea Bolz '27
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 2 10 4 7 4 13 7 6 2 5 60 Arancha Rivero-Ansed '27
Nora Beaver '27
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 4 14 8 5 6 6 3 9 6 10 71 Melanie Lahrkamp '27
Annabella Milano '25
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 12 14 8 3 7 9 1 9 9 78 Grace Penque '25
Elodie Hellmuth '27
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 5 7 5 16 8 9 13 15 10 6 94 Eliana Mopper '26 [1-4, 9-10]
Mady Mcgee '27 [5-8]
Addie Lesley '26 [1-3]
Juliana Libby '28 [4-8]
Amanda Wong '25 [9-10]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 12 16 10 9 10 8 12 11 3 11 102 Emily Priest '25 [1-10]
Lenox Wakefield '27 [1-8]
Madeline Ballard '25 [9-10]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 14 8 13 13 11 10 10 8 13 8 108 Annabelle Arcuri '27 [1-8]
Scarlett Colman '26 [9-10]
Anna Hnatt '28 [1-8]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 11 3 9 12 14 14 16 12 12 13 116 Olivia Burdette '25
Eleanor Wright '26
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 13 9 12 15 12 12 11 10 16 12 122 Amelia Scuorzo '28
Sophia Behar '25
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 15 6 15 11 13 11 15 13 15 14 128 Cara Lynch '27
Bridget Sweeney '27
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 10 15 11 10 15 16 8 14 14 16 129 Ann Martino '26
Maggie Mcinerney '25
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 16 11 16 14 16 15 14 16 11 15 144 Laura Koszeghy '26
Lia Nafe '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 BKD 5 6 1 2 5 1 1 2 27 Adelaide Matzky '25
Malia Deane '25
MAST Academy MAST Academy Mast Academy 2 1 1 8 2 9 2 4 3 6 38 Julia Gil '26
Maryna Downey '27
Severn School Severn School Admirals 10 2 3 1 10 4 4 2 2 3 41 Natalie Gaver '28 [1-10]
Ana Fishback '27 [1-4, 9-10]
Maura Mcpartlin '25 [5-8]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 4 7 11 2 5 5 6 3 5 10 58 Mary Hayes Cobbum '27
Emily Julian '28
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 6 3 6 5 9 11 1 5 4 15 65 Emily Gaillard '25
Gisele Brandao '27
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 3 8 10 11 8 3 8 6 8 1 66 Emma Walters '26
Isabell Thill '25
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 5 4 2 9 7 12 9 8 9 7 72 Alice Rikkers '26
Madeleine Waddington '28
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 9 13 14 15 6 8 7 13 6 4 95 Brynn Penque '27
Elena Carranza '26
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 8 5 12 3 13 10 14 9 13 9 96 Nicole Small '27
Keira Mooar '27
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 7 6 4 7 12 14 11 14 11 14 100 Ana Bradley '26
Alexsandra Stakhurska '28
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 12 10 16 14 14 1 3 7 14 11 102 Carlisle Janney '28
Elizabeth Lennert '25
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 11 14 9 16 4 13 10 11 7 8 103 Lillian Rippel '25 [1-10]
Madeline Ballard '25 [1-4]
Annika Fox '27 [5-10]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 13 9 7 4 15 15 15 15 10 5 108 Margaret Poston '28 [1-4, 9-10]
Vera Hartz '26 [5-8]
Amanda Wong '25 [1-4]
Emma Tartiere-Martinez '28 [5-8]
Addie Lesley '26 [9-10]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 14 12 8 12 11 6 12 12 12 13 112 Anna Lenox '28
Corrine Todd '28
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 16 11 13 13 3 7 13 10 15 12 113 Julianna Brooksbank '28 [1-10]
Scarlett Colman '26 [1-4]
Grace Torpey '26 [5-10]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 15 15 15 10 16 16 16 16 16 16 151 Samantha Wagner '28
Divyanshi Rath '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes1111111111
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers2222222222
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars3333333333
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses4444444444
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins5555555555
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity6666666666
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers7777777777
MAST AcademyMAST Academy Mast Academy8888888888
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores9999999999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs10101010101010101010
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks11111111111111111111
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers12121212121212121212
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets13131313131313131313
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals14141414141414141414
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers15151515151515151515
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears16161616161616161616

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes1111111111
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers2222222222
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars3333333333
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses4444444444
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins5555555555
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity6666666666
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers7777777777
MAST AcademyMAST Academy Mast Academy8888888888
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores9999999999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs10101010101010101010
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks11111111111111111111
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers12121212121212121212
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets13131313131313131313
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals14141414141414141414
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers15151515151515151515
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears16161616161616161616
School / Team SkipperCrew
Antilles School Antilles School Audrey Zimmerman '27 Mia Ronen '25
Hurricanes Emma Walters '26 Isabell Thill '25
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Ann Martino '26 Maggie Mcinerney '25
Cavaliers Mary Hayes Cobbum '27 Emily Julian '28
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cara Lynch '27 Bridget Sweeney '27
Cougars Samantha Wagner '28 Divyanshi Rath '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Madeline Janzen '25 Chloe Shurr '25
Seahorses Adelaide Matzky '25 Malia Deane '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Annabelle Arcuri '27 [1-8]
Scarlett Colman '26 [9-10]		 Anna Hnatt '28 [1-8]
Griffins Julianna Brooksbank '28 [1-10] Scarlett Colman '26 [1-4]
Grace Torpey '26 [5-10]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Olivia Burdette '25 Eleanor Wright '26
Vikings Varsity Carlisle Janney '28 Elizabeth Lennert '25
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Laura Koszeghy '26 Lia Nafe '25
Ramblers Ana Bradley '26 Alexsandra Stakhurska '28
MAST Academy MAST Academy Minx Anthony '26 Andrea Bolz '27
Mast Academy Julia Gil '26 Maryna Downey '27
Maury High School Maury High School Emily Priest '25 [1-10] Lenox Wakefield '27 [1-8]
Madeline Ballard '25 [9-10]
Commodores Lillian Rippel '25 [1-10] Madeline Ballard '25 [1-4]
Annika Fox '27 [5-10]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Eliana Mopper '26 [1-4, 9-10]
Mady Mcgee '27 [5-8]		 Addie Lesley '26 [1-3]
Juliana Libby '28 [4-8]
Amanda Wong '25 [9-10]
Bulldogs Margaret Poston '28 [1-4, 9-10]
Vera Hartz '26 [5-8]		 Amanda Wong '25 [1-4]
Emma Tartiere-Martinez '28 [5-8]
Addie Lesley '26 [9-10]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Maddie Murphy '25 Emma Horton '25
Oaks Anna Lenox '28 Corrine Todd '28
Ranney School Ranney School Amelia Scuorzo '28 Sophia Behar '25
Panthers Nicole Small '27 Keira Mooar '27
Rye High School Rye High School Melanie Lahrkamp '27 Annabella Milano '25
Garnets Alice Rikkers '26 Madeleine Waddington '28
Severn School Severn School Annie Sitzmann '26 [1-10] Charlotte Macdonald '26 [1-3, 5-9]
Annabelle Ulak '26 [4, 10]
Admirals Natalie Gaver '28 [1-10] Ana Fishback '27 [1-4, 9-10]
Maura Mcpartlin '25 [5-8]
Summit High School Summit High School Grace Penque '25 Elodie Hellmuth '27
Hilltoppers Brynn Penque '27 Elena Carranza '26
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Arancha Rivero-Ansed '27 Nora Beaver '27
Bears Emily Gaillard '25 Gisele Brandao '27

Conditions — 11/09/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 37%  ·  Pressure 1028.3 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.9 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From NE (43°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover23% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity37% Pressure1028.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn · S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Georgetown University: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.16 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgetown University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Georgetown University: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →