The Stony Brook School '25
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 92.37 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.115 rating points from 35 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →Includes linked high school and college seasons.
| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | Roger Williams University | 4.55 | 96.19 | 88.46 | 2 of 13 | 20 | Team page | |
| Spring 2025 | The Stony Brook School | 2.53 | 72.26 | 91.67 | 1 of 6 | 15 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.23 (fleet 1.90) | 126 of 231 | +0.06 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 35–26 (57%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 3 | 26–16 | — |
| Fall 2024 | 2 | 9–10 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (61 matches) the record is 35–26 against 29.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+5.2). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-17 | National Invitational Tournament | skipper | 1.70 | 2.42 | 12–6 | 9.7 | +0.71 | 0.9 | 19% |
| 2025-04-26 | MASSA Baker Qualifier | skipper | 1.65 | 3.08 | 10–8 | 7.0 | +1.43 | 2.5 | 6% |
| 2025-04-12 | NYISA-SE Team Race League Qualifiers | skipper | 1.58 | 1.28 | 4–2 | 4.3 | −0.30 | 0.0 | 78% |
| 2024-10-12 | MASSA Team Race Championship | skipper | 1.48 | 1.66 | 5–9 | 4.7 | +0.18 | 0.0 | 54% |
| 2024-09-28 | NYISA-SE Fall Team Race Championship 2024 | skipper | 1.44 | 1.03 | 4–1 | 4.2 | −0.41 | 0.1 | 83% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| NYISA-SE ice breaker | Skipper | A | 8 | 2.5 | 1.71 |
| NYISA-SE Girls Fleet Championship Spring 2025 | Crew | A | 2 | 2.5 | — |
| NYISA-SE Team Race League Qualifiers | Skipper | TR | 6 | 67% | — |
| National Invitational Tournament | Skipper | TR | 14 | 57% | — |
| MASSA Fleet Championship and Mallory Qualifier | Crew | A | 3 | 5.3 | — |
| MASSA Baker Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 18 | 56% | — |
| MASSA 2025 Girls Championship | Skipper | A | 15 | 4.3 | 1.97 |
| NYISA-SE LYC Spring Invite | Skipper | A | 6 | 1.8 | 3.02 |
| 2025 Phebe Corckran King Memorial Trophy | Skipper | A | 2 | 13.0 | 0.48 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| NYISA-SE Warm up Regatta | Skipper | A | 9 | 2.8 | 1.69 |
| NYISA-SE Fall Team Race Championship 2024 | Skipper | TR | 5 | 80% | — |
| NYISA-SE Fleet League Championship Fall 2024 | Skipper | B | 6 | 1.5 | 2.00 |
| MASSA Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 14 | 36% | — |
| MASSA Girls Fall Invitational | Skipper | B | 10 | 6.5 | 1.46 |
| Atlantic Coast Championship | Skipper | B | 3 | 11.3 | 1.56 |
| 2025 Rose Bowl Regatta - HS GOLD | Skipper | B | 6 | 23.2 | 0.67 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Emily Gaillard |  Roger Williams University |
'29 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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