2025 South Points No. 4

HostH. B. Plant
Date03/01/2025
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	16	19	35
2	MAST Academy	Makos	20	22	42
3	Antilles School	Hurricanes	30	25	55
4	Oxbridge Academy	ThunderWolves	26	30	56
5	St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	30	28	58
6	Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	42	16	58
7	Pine Crest School	Panthers	25	35	60
8	Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	31	34	65
9	St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	43	27	70
10	Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	34	55	89
11	H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	63	40	103
12	Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	56	59	115
13	Palmer Trinity School	Falcons	54	76	130
14	Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	62	76	138
15	South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	78	67	145
16	Westminster Christian School	Warriors	78	76	154
17	Community School of Naples	Varsity	81	86	167
18	Venice High School (FL)	Indians	86	84	170

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	1	10	1	2	2	16	Griggs Diemar '25 Amelia Lazarus '25
MAST Academy	Makos	2	11	3	1	3	20	Davide Bazzoni '26 [1-2, 5] Minx Anthony '26 [3-4] Theodore Mccormick '26 [1-2, 5] Andrea Bolz '27 [3-4]
Pine Crest School	Panthers	5	2	6	6	6	25	Connor Mertz '25 [1-5] Aurora Christiansen '26 [1-2, 5] Jake Taubman '25 [3-4]
Oxbridge Academy	ThunderWolves	8	3	8	3	4	26	Andrew Lamm '26 Lilly Pollock '28
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	6	1	7	9	7	30	John Hartney '28 Adam Mendelblatt '26
Antilles School	Hurricanes	9	6	2	4	9	30	Alejo Diblasi '25 Dominika Skoda '27
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	10	5	5	10	1	31	Audrey Russler '26 Alexandra Kolaya '27
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	7	4	4	8	11	34	Connor Karr '28 Danika Torres '27
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	12	9	9	7	5	42	Keith Grupenhoff '25 [1-2, 5] Beck Brill '27 [3-4] Soleil Aurignac '25 [1-2, 5]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	3	12	10	5	13	43	Cody Roe '25 [1-4] Cole Fanchi '26 [5] Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [1-2] Marin Redmond '28 [3-5]
Palmer Trinity School	Falcons	4	17	12	11	10	54	Kyla Benesch '27 Carter Roachell '27
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	11	7	13	13	12	56	Josh O'Connor '26 [1-5] Alli Kollman '28 [1-2] Anastasia Davis '26 [3-5]
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	13	8	15	12	14	62	Genevieve Schmidt '26 Arabella Fenniman '26
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	14	15	11	15	8	63	Ava Cohen '25 [1-4] Ian Richardson '25 [5] Violet Jonas '27 [1-2, 5] Colin Anderson '26 [3-4]
Westminster Christian School	Warriors	15	13	16	16	18	78	Castan Conley '27 [1-5] Victoria Estrada '27 [1-2, 5] Daniel Couto '27 [3-4]
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	17	16	14	14	17	78	Savannah Kautz '25 Luke Prohaska '27
Community School of Naples	Varsity	16	14	18	17	16	81	Mason Fuller '26 [1-5] Toby Kopency '26 [1-2] Darius Zafar '26 [3-4] Nick Londal '26 [5]
Venice High School (FL)	Indians	18	18	17	18	15	86	Camper Dales '26 [1-5] Tessa Regan '28 [1-2] Ayden Dismus '26 [3-4] Halle Robertson '26 [5]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	9	1	3	2	1	16	Isabella Henrich '26 [1-2] David Mateo Coates '27 [3-5] Nathalie Caudron '25 [1-2]
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	2	3	1	9	4	19	Sebastian Van De Kreeke '25 [1-2] Ava Mc Aliley '26 [3-5] Elisa De Becker '28 [1-2] Leyla Amjad '26 [3-5]
MAST Academy	Makos	3	2	8	4	5	22	Carlos Beckmann '25 [1-2] Oliver Holt '26 [3-5] Julia Gil '26 [1-2] Maryna Downey '27 [3-5]
Antilles School	Hurricanes	8	6	2	1	8	25	Audrey Zimmerman '27 Benjamin Thill '25
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	4	4	7	3	9	27	Mariano Viega '25 [1-5] Isabel Viega '28 [1-2] Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [3-5]
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	6	9	4	7	2	28	Gloria Privis '26 [1-5] Parker Connell '28 [1-2] Sophia Fuller '25 [3-5]
Oxbridge Academy	ThunderWolves	1	11	9	6	3	30	Miles Cundey '28 Noah Rabiei '25
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	7	5	6	10	6	34	Isabella Storm '26 Martina Santos '26
Pine Crest School	Panthers	10	8	5	5	7	35	Miles Julien '27 [1-5] Trenton Groome '26 [1-2] Truman Clark Jimenez '27 [3-5]
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	5	7	10	8	10	40	Jessica Martello '27 Shea Mcgraw '27
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	12	10	11	11	11	55	Gustavo Alonso '25 Maxi Seuss '26
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	11	12	12	12	12	59	Ainsley Braun '25 [1-5] Ellen Hommeyer '26 [1-2] Frances Humphreys '27 [3-5]
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	13	15	13	13	13	67	Jonathan Bratt '26 Claire Rawlings '26
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	14	14	15	17	16	76	Delaney Romeyk '26 Anastasia Zaripova '26
Palmer Trinity School	Falcons	15	13	16	15	17	76	Taylor Shivbaran '26 [1-2] Matteo Iannelli '26 [3-5] Marielle Lopez Negrete '26 [1-2] Jackson Voell '26 [3-5]
Westminster Christian School	Warriors	17	17	14	14	14	76	Penelope Martinez '28 Ava Andrade '26
Venice High School (FL)	Indians	18	18	17	16	15	84	Layla Tippett '27 [1-2] James Mccauley '26 [3-5] Natasha Benson '27 [1-2] Nick Klien '26 [3-5]
Community School of Naples	Varsity	16	16	18	18	18	86	Henry Cook '26 [1-5] Nick Londal '26 [1-2] Toby Kopency '26 [3-5]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.250+0.25

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Antilles School Hurricanes	1	1	1	1	1
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School	2	2	2	2	2
Community School of Naples Varsity	3	3	3	3	3
Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders	4	4	4	4	4
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	6	6	6	6	6
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	7	7	7	7	7
MAST Academy Makos	8	8	8	8	8
Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves	9	9	9	9	9
Palmer Trinity School Falcons	10	10	10	10	10
Pine Crest School Panthers	11	11	11	11	11
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	5	5	5	5	5
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	12	12	12	12	12
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	16	16	16	16	16
Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers	13	13	13	13	13
South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS	14	14	14	14	14
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	15	15	15	15	15
Venice High School (FL) Indians	17	17	17	17	17
Westminster Christian School Warriors	18	18	18	18	18

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Antilles School	Alejo Diblasi '25	Dominika Skoda '27
Hurricanes	Audrey Zimmerman '27	Benjamin Thill '25
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Audrey Russler '26	Alexandra Kolaya '27
Carrollton School	Isabella Storm '26	Martina Santos '26
Community School of Naples	Mason Fuller '26 [1-5]	Toby Kopency '26 [1-2] Darius Zafar '26 [3-4] Nick Londal '26 [5]
Varsity	Henry Cook '26 [1-5]	Nick Londal '26 [1-2] Toby Kopency '26 [3-5]
Gulliver Preparatory School	Connor Karr '28	Danika Torres '27
Raiders	Gustavo Alonso '25	Maxi Seuss '26
H. B. Plant High School	Ava Cohen '25 [1-4] Ian Richardson '25 [5]	Violet Jonas '27 [1-2, 5] Colin Anderson '26 [3-4]
Panthers	Jessica Martello '27	Shea Mcgraw '27
Immaculata La Salle High School	Keith Grupenhoff '25 [1-2, 5] Beck Brill '27 [3-4]	Soleil Aurignac '25 [1-2, 5]
Royal Lions	Isabella Henrich '26 [1-2] David Mateo Coates '27 [3-5]	Nathalie Caudron '25 [1-2]
Jensen Beach High School	Genevieve Schmidt '26	Arabella Fenniman '26
Falcons	Delaney Romeyk '26	Anastasia Zaripova '26
MAST Academy	Davide Bazzoni '26 [1-2, 5] Minx Anthony '26 [3-4]	Theodore Mccormick '26 [1-2, 5] Andrea Bolz '27 [3-4]
Makos	Carlos Beckmann '25 [1-2] Oliver Holt '26 [3-5]	Julia Gil '26 [1-2] Maryna Downey '27 [3-5]
Oxbridge Academy	Andrew Lamm '26	Lilly Pollock '28
ThunderWolves	Miles Cundey '28	Noah Rabiei '25
Palmer Trinity School	Kyla Benesch '27	Carter Roachell '27
Falcons	Taylor Shivbaran '26 [1-2] Matteo Iannelli '26 [3-5]	Marielle Lopez Negrete '26 [1-2] Jackson Voell '26 [3-5]
Pine Crest School	Connor Mertz '25 [1-5]	Aurora Christiansen '26 [1-2, 5] Jake Taubman '25 [3-4]
Panthers	Miles Julien '27 [1-5]	Trenton Groome '26 [1-2] Truman Clark Jimenez '27 [3-5]
Ransom Everglades School	Griggs Diemar '25	Amelia Lazarus '25
Raiders	Sebastian Van De Kreeke '25 [1-2] Ava Mc Aliley '26 [3-5]	Elisa De Becker '28 [1-2] Leyla Amjad '26 [3-5]
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Josh O'Connor '26 [1-5]	Alli Kollman '28 [1-2] Anastasia Davis '26 [3-5]
Chargers	Ainsley Braun '25 [1-5]	Ellen Hommeyer '26 [1-2] Frances Humphreys '27 [3-5]
South Fork High School	Savannah Kautz '25	Luke Prohaska '27
SF BULLDOGS	Jonathan Bratt '26	Claire Rawlings '26
St. Petersburg High School	John Hartney '28	Adam Mendelblatt '26
Green Devils	Gloria Privis '26 [1-5]	Parker Connell '28 [1-2] Sophia Fuller '25 [3-5]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Cody Roe '25 [1-4] Cole Fanchi '26 [5]	Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [1-2] Marin Redmond '28 [3-5]
Raiders	Mariano Viega '25 [1-5]	Isabel Viega '28 [1-2] Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [3-5]
Venice High School (FL)	Camper Dales '26 [1-5]	Tessa Regan '28 [1-2] Ayden Dismus '26 [3-4] Halle Robertson '26 [5]
Indians	Layla Tippett '27 [1-2] James Mccauley '26 [3-5]	Natasha Benson '27 [1-2] Nick Klien '26 [3-5]
Westminster Christian School	Castan Conley '27 [1-5]	Victoria Estrada '27 [1-2, 5] Daniel Couto '27 [3-4]
Warriors	Penelope Martinez '28	Ava Andrade '26

Conditions — 03/01/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear

Humidity 65% · Pressure 1016.4 hPa

Temperature

66°F

↑ 72°F ↓ 55°F

Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

3.4 kn

avg · max 4.6 kn

Gusts to 13.0 kn

From NW (323°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1016.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 7 kn (scorer’s report)

In this breeze at H. B. Plant: a favourites’ day (+0.09)

Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.

Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.08

Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at H. B. Plant by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at H. B. Plant, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu