Oxbridge Academy '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.12 (fleet 3.32) | 31 of 231 | +0.07 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 32–7 (82%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 32–7 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (39 matches) the record is 32–7 against 27.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+4.3). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 8 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | ISSA Team Race Championship for the Baker Trophy | skipper | 2.41 | 2.19 | 12–7 | 12.6 | −0.22 | 0.1 | 73% |
| 2026-05-02 | 2026 NESSA Team Racing Champs (Presidents Trophy) | skipper | 1.85 | 4.85 | 20–0 | 15.0 | ≥+3.00 | 7.8 | <1% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Season | |||||
| SAISA SP's 3 2025 | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.5 | 3.15 |
| SAISA SP's 1 | Skipper | B | 12 | 5.7 | 2.59 |
| SAISA South Points #5 Varsity. | Skipper | B | 10 | 4.8 | 2.66 |
| SAISA South Points 2 | Skipper | B | 9 | 5.3 | 2.69 |
| SAISA Mallory Qualifier | Skipper | B | 13 | 9.0 | 1.45 |
| 2025 South Points No. 4 | Skipper | B | 5 | 6.0 | 2.31 |
| Fall 2024 Season | |||||
| South Points ACC Qualifier | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.5 | 2.97 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Miles Cundey |  St. George's School |
'28 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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