SAISA SP's 3 2025

HostRansom Everglades
Date02/01/2025
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	15	22	37
2	MAST Academy	Mast Academy	21	24	45
3	Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	30	24	54
4	Oxbridge Academy	ThunderWolves	42	27	69
5	Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	45	26	71
6	Antilles School	Hurricanes	52	31	83
7	H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	59	28	87
8	St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	33	58	91
9	Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	54	51	105
10	Palmer Trinity School	Falcons	35	87	122
11	Pine Crest School	Panthers	48	76	124
12	St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	86	51	137
13	VIMSIA	Volts	70	79	149
14	Westminster Christian School	Warriors	89	62	151
15	Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	62	90	152
16	Good Hope County Day School	Panthers	89	95	184
17	Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	97	90	187
18	South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	103	103	206

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	1	1	1	1	7	4	15	Griggs Diemar '25 Amelia Lazarus '25
MAST Academy	Mast Academy	4	3	4	6	1	3	21	Davide Bazzoni '26 [1-2, 5-6] Minx Anthony '26 [3-4] Theodore Mccormick '26 [1-2, 5-6] Andrea Bolz '27 [3-4]
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	2	2	7	10	2	7	30	Keith Grupenhoff '25 Soleil Aurignac '25
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	11	7	2	3	8	2	33	Cole Fanchi '26 [1-2] Cody Roe '25 [3-6] Ana Lynch Smith '25 [1-2]
Palmer Trinity School	Falcons	10	11	5	2	6	1	35	Kyla Benesch '27 Carter Roachell '27
Oxbridge Academy	ThunderWolves	5	6	9	8	5	9	42	Andrew Lamm '26 Lilly Pollock '28
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	9	5	12	4	9	6	45	Audrey Russler '26 Paulina Freyre '25
Pine Crest School	Panthers	6	4	8	12	10	8	48	Connor Mertz '25 Aurora Christiansen '26
Antilles School	Hurricanes	3	12	6	7	OCS	5	52	Tanner Krygsveld '25 Mia Ronen '25
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	7	OCS	3	9	3	13	54	Connor Karr '28 Danika Torres '27
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	12	9	10	13	4	11	59	Ava Cohen '25 Violet Jonas '27
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	8	10	13	5	12	14	62	Genevieve Schmidt '26 [1-4] Ellie Lovatt '28 [5-6] Ellie Freeman '26 [1-4] Genevieve Osborn '26 [5-6]
VIMSIA	Volts	13	8	11	15	13	10	70	Mariana Brunt '26 Mcrae Williams '27
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	16	13	15	11	OCS	12	86	Gloria Privis '26 [1-6] Adam Mendelblatt '26 [1-4] Sophia Fuller '25 [5-6]
Westminster Christian School	Warriors	14	16	14	16	14	15	89	Castan Conley '27 Daniel Couto '27
Good Hope County Day School	Panthers	17	14	17	14	11	16	89	Ian Ainger '27 Eduardo Hermida '28
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	15	17	16	17	15	17	97	Ainsley Braun '25 [1-6] Alli Kollman '28 [1-2] Ellen Hommeyer '26 [3-4] Frances Humphreys '27 [5-6]
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	18	15	18	18	16	18	103	Claire Rawlings '26 Luke Prohaska '27

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders	1	4	3	4	7	3	22	Sebastian Van De Kreeke '25 Sofia Rhone '26
MAST Academy	Mast Academy	4	3	9	1	6	1	24	Oliver Holt '26 [1-6] Maryna Downey '27 [1-2, 5-6] Julia Gil '26 [3-4]
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	8	2	2	3	5	4	24	Isabella Henrich '26 [1-2, 5-6] Beck Brill '27 [3-4] Nathalie Caudron '25 [1-2, 5-6] Lucia Martinez Moore '25 [3-4]
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	3	10	1	6	4	2	26	Elizabeth Xydas '28 Alexandra Kolaya '27
Oxbridge Academy	ThunderWolves	5	8	4	2	1	7	27	Miles Cundey '28 [1-6] Noah Rabiei '25 [1-4] Vaughn Grove '26 [5-6]
H. B. Plant High School	Panthers	2	5	6	7	2	6	28	Cabel Clark '28 Shea Mcgraw '27
Antilles School	Hurricanes	6	1	7	5	3	9	31	Robert Richards '25 Rena Yu '27
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	7	6	12	8	10	8	51	Afonso Cruz '26 Maxi Seuss '26
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	10	7	5	10	9	10	51	John Hartney '28 Parker Connell '28
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	9	9	8	9	11	12	58	Mariano Viega '25 [1-2, 5-6] Kj Hill '25 [3-4] Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Westminster Christian School	Warriors	11	13	14	11	8	5	62	Peter Gleason '28 Victoria Estrada '27
Pine Crest School	Panthers	12	12	11	16	14	11	76	Miles Julien '27 [1-6] Truman Clark Jimenez '27 [1-4] Mia Gordon '27 [5-6]
VIMSIA	Volts	13	14	10	17	12	13	79	Zia Zucker '26 [1-2] Rush Sudziarski '28 [3-6] Amrii Jones '26 [1-2] Ellis Wisehart '26 [3-6]
Palmer Trinity School	Falcons	14	11	18	14	15	15	87	Taylor Shivbaran '26 [1-6] Marielle Lopez Negrete '26 [1-4] Jackson Voell '26 [5-6]
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Chargers	15	18	15	BKD	13	14	90	Josh O'Connor '26 [1-6] Anastasia Davis '26 [1-2] Arden Katcha '26 [3-6]
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	17	15	13	12	16	17	90	Delaney Romeyk '26 [1-4] William Walker '28 [5-6] Anastasia Zaripova '26 [1-4]
Good Hope County Day School	Panthers	16	16	17	13	17	16	95	Aj Mauro '28 William Simon '28
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	18	17	16	15	DNF	18	103	Jonathan Bratt '26 Belle Falero '26

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Antilles School Hurricanes	15	15	15	15	15	15
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School	25	25	25	25	25	25
Good Hope County Day School Panthers	16	16	16	16	16	16
Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders	22	22	22	22	22	22
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	28	28	28	28	28	28
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	13	13	13	13	13	13
MAST Academy Mast Academy	17	17	17	17	17	17
Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves	24	24	24	24	24	24
Palmer Trinity School Falcons	27	27	27	27	27	27
VIMSIA Volts	19	19	19	19	19	19
Pine Crest School Panthers	21	21	21	21	21	21
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	26	26	26	26	26	26
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	30	30	30	30	30	30
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	29	29	29	29	29	29
Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers	20	20	20	20	20	20
South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS	14	14	14	14	14	14
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	18	18	18	18	18	18
Westminster Christian School Warriors	23	23	23	23	23	23

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Antilles School Hurricanes	15	15	15	15	15	15
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School	25	25	25	25	25	25
Good Hope County Day School Panthers	16	16	16	16	16	16
Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders	22	22	22	22	22	22
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	28	28	28	28	28	28
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	13	13	13	13	13	13
MAST Academy Mast Academy	17	17	17	17	17	17
Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves	24	24	24	24	24	24
Palmer Trinity School Falcons	27	27	27	27	27	27
VIMSIA Volts	19	19	19	19	19	19
Pine Crest School Panthers	21	21	21	21	21	21
H. B. Plant High School Panthers	26	26	26	26	26	26
Ransom Everglades School Raiders	30	30	30	30	30	30
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	29	29	29	29	29	29
Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers	20	20	20	20	20	20
South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS	14	14	14	14	14	14
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	18	18	18	18	18	18
Westminster Christian School Warriors	23	23	23	23	23	23

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Antilles School	Tanner Krygsveld '25	Mia Ronen '25
Hurricanes	Robert Richards '25	Rena Yu '27
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Audrey Russler '26	Paulina Freyre '25
Carrollton School	Elizabeth Xydas '28	Alexandra Kolaya '27
Good Hope County Day School	Ian Ainger '27	Eduardo Hermida '28
Panthers	Aj Mauro '28	William Simon '28
Gulliver Preparatory School	Connor Karr '28	Danika Torres '27
Raiders	Afonso Cruz '26	Maxi Seuss '26
H. B. Plant High School	Ava Cohen '25	Violet Jonas '27
Panthers	Cabel Clark '28	Shea Mcgraw '27
Immaculata La Salle High School	Keith Grupenhoff '25	Soleil Aurignac '25
Royal Lions	Isabella Henrich '26 [1-2, 5-6] Beck Brill '27 [3-4]	Nathalie Caudron '25 [1-2, 5-6] Lucia Martinez Moore '25 [3-4]
Jensen Beach High School	Genevieve Schmidt '26 [1-4] Ellie Lovatt '28 [5-6]	Ellie Freeman '26 [1-4] Genevieve Osborn '26 [5-6]
Falcons	Delaney Romeyk '26 [1-4] William Walker '28 [5-6]	Anastasia Zaripova '26 [1-4]
MAST Academy	Davide Bazzoni '26 [1-2, 5-6] Minx Anthony '26 [3-4]	Theodore Mccormick '26 [1-2, 5-6] Andrea Bolz '27 [3-4]
Mast Academy	Oliver Holt '26 [1-6]	Maryna Downey '27 [1-2, 5-6] Julia Gil '26 [3-4]
Oxbridge Academy	Andrew Lamm '26	Lilly Pollock '28
ThunderWolves	Miles Cundey '28 [1-6]	Noah Rabiei '25 [1-4] Vaughn Grove '26 [5-6]
Palmer Trinity School	Kyla Benesch '27	Carter Roachell '27
Falcons	Taylor Shivbaran '26 [1-6]	Marielle Lopez Negrete '26 [1-4] Jackson Voell '26 [5-6]
Pine Crest School	Connor Mertz '25	Aurora Christiansen '26
Panthers	Miles Julien '27 [1-6]	Truman Clark Jimenez '27 [1-4] Mia Gordon '27 [5-6]
Ransom Everglades School	Griggs Diemar '25	Amelia Lazarus '25
Raiders	Sebastian Van De Kreeke '25	Sofia Rhone '26
Shorecrest Preparatory School	Ainsley Braun '25 [1-6]	Alli Kollman '28 [1-2] Ellen Hommeyer '26 [3-4] Frances Humphreys '27 [5-6]
Chargers	Josh O'Connor '26 [1-6]	Anastasia Davis '26 [1-2] Arden Katcha '26 [3-6]
South Fork High School	Claire Rawlings '26	Luke Prohaska '27
SF BULLDOGS	Jonathan Bratt '26	Belle Falero '26
St. Petersburg High School	Gloria Privis '26 [1-6]	Adam Mendelblatt '26 [1-4] Sophia Fuller '25 [5-6]
Green Devils	John Hartney '28	Parker Connell '28
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Cole Fanchi '26 [1-2] Cody Roe '25 [3-6]	Ana Lynch Smith '25 [1-2]
Raiders	Mariano Viega '25 [1-2, 5-6] Kj Hill '25 [3-4]	Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [1-2, 5-6]
VIMSIA	Mariana Brunt '26	Mcrae Williams '27
Volts	Zia Zucker '26 [1-2] Rush Sudziarski '28 [3-6]	Amrii Jones '26 [1-2] Ellis Wisehart '26 [3-6]
Westminster Christian School	Castan Conley '27	Daniel Couto '27
Warriors	Peter Gleason '28	Victoria Estrada '27

Conditions — 02/01/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear

Humidity 74% · Pressure 1019.0 hPa

Temperature

78°F

↑ 83°F ↓ 70°F

Feels like 84°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

4.8 kn

avg · max 6.0 kn

Gusts to 15.7 kn

From SSE (157°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover49% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1019.0 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Ransom Everglades: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)

Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.

Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06

Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.24 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ransom Everglades by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 14 labelled days at Ransom Everglades, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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