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SP 6 (SAISA)

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 14 21 35
2 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 21 20 41
3 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 21 29 50
4 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 27 31 58
5 MAST Academy MAST Academy Mast Academy 23 38 61
6 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 29 33 62
7 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 40 27 67
8 Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Falcons 42 32 74
9 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 51 28 79
10 Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 36 44 80
11 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 50 55 105
12 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 55 52 107
13 Calvary Christian Academy Calvary Christian Academy Calvary Christian Ac 54 59 113
14 Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 67 69 136
15 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 75 68 143
16 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 76 76 152
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 2 5 1 4 2 14 Cody Roe '25
Isabel Viega '28
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 4 1 6 3 7 21 William Kulas '24
Elizabeth Wire '24
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 5 2 5 1 8 21 Dorothy Mendelblatt '24 [1-5]
Adam Mendelblatt '26 [1-4]
Avery Hunter '25 [5]
MAST Academy MAST Academy Mast Academy 1 7 2 10 3 23 Carlos Beckmann '25
Julia Gil '26
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 3 8 3 8 5 27 Ava Mc Aliley '26 [1-5]
Manolo Campos '25 [1-2]
Christine Keedy-Brown '24 [3-4]
Leyla Amjad '26 [5]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 8 6 4 7 4 29 Kate Danielson '24
Ainsley Braun '25
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 11 11 11 2 1 36 Isabella Storm '26
Paulina Freyre '25
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 7 4 14 6 9 40 Umi Noritake '24
Nathalie Caudron '25
Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Falcons 6 3 10 11 12 42 Brayden Benesch '24
Taylor Shivbaran '26
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 10 13 12 5 10 50 Millie French '25
Coco Claypool '26
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 9 9 7 13 13 51 Tom Seibold '25
Ava Cohen '25
Calvary Christian Academy Calvary Christian Academy Calvary Christian Ac 12 15 9 12 6 54 Emmett Debs '26 [1-5]
Julia Leite '24 [1-2]
Austin Norman '26 [3-4]
Addie Kelly '24 [5]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 13 10 8 9 15 55 Connor Mertz '25
Trenton Groome '26
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 15 12 13 16 11 67 Gabriella Pina '27
Erinne Fenton '25
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 14 14 16 14 DNS 75 Rylan Morris '24
Lexi Trimble '24
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 16 16 15 15 14 76 David Wedde '25
Kyle Weiksnar '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 10 1 6 1 2 20 Grant Schmidt '24
Genevieve Schmidt '26
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 2 4 12 2 1 21 Kj Hill '25 [1-2]
Mariano Viega '25 [3-5]
Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [1-2]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 5 8 3 4 7 27 Keith Grupenhoff '25
Soleil Aurignac '25
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 1 5 10 7 5 28 Ian Richardson '25
Violet Jonas '27
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 4 6 1 8 10 29 Gloria Privis '26 [1-5]
Avery Hunter '25 [1-3]
Adam Mendelblatt '26 [4-5]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 9 2 9 3 8 31 Max Wolfensberger '26 [1-5]
Amelia Lazarus '25 [1-2]
Lucas Lippy '25 [3-5]
Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Falcons 3 12 7 6 4 32 Kyla Benesch '27
Carlos Roig '24
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 6 7 2 12 6 33 Rosie Simpson '25
Josh O'Connor '26
MAST Academy MAST Academy Mast Academy 12 3 11 9 3 38 Minx Anthony '26
Andrea Bolz '27
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School DNF 9 4 5 9 44 Audrey Russler '26
Alexandra Kolaya '27
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 8 13 5 15 11 52 Jake Taubman '25
Truman Clark Jimenez '27
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 15 10 8 10 12 55 Samantha Jones '25
Jade Cambell '26
Calvary Christian Academy Calvary Christian Academy Calvary Christian Ac 7 11 13 14 14 59 Sophia Debs '24 [1-5]
Addie Kelly '24 [1-2]
Julia Akmentin '25 [3-5]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 11 14 14 13 16 68 Brady Koren '24
Angel Black '24
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 13 15 DSQ 11 13 69 Hudson Regan '26
Camper Dales '26
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 14 16 15 16 15 76 Grady Stahl '26
Mia Stahl '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Calvary Christian AcademyCalvary Christian Academy Calvary Christian Ac11111
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School22222
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions44444
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons55555
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers77777
MAST AcademyMAST Academy Mast Academy66666
Palmer Trinity SchoolPalmer Trinity School Falcons88888
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers99999
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers33333
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders1010101010
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders1515151515
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors1111111111
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers1212121212
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS1313131313
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils1414141414
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Indians1616161616

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Calvary Christian AcademyCalvary Christian Academy Calvary Christian Ac11111
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School22222
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions44444
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons55555
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers77777
MAST AcademyMAST Academy Mast Academy66666
Palmer Trinity SchoolPalmer Trinity School Falcons88888
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers99999
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers33333
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders1010101010
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders1515151515
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors1111111111
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers1212121212
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS1313131313
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils1414141414
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Indians1616161616
School / Team SkipperCrew
Calvary Christian Academy Calvary Christian Academy Emmett Debs '26 [1-5] Julia Leite '24 [1-2]
Austin Norman '26 [3-4]
Addie Kelly '24 [5]
Calvary Christian Ac Sophia Debs '24 [1-5] Addie Kelly '24 [1-2]
Julia Akmentin '25 [3-5]
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Isabella Storm '26 Paulina Freyre '25
Carrollton School Audrey Russler '26 Alexandra Kolaya '27
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Tom Seibold '25 Ava Cohen '25
Panthers Ian Richardson '25 Violet Jonas '27
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Umi Noritake '24 Nathalie Caudron '25
Royal Lions Keith Grupenhoff '25 Soleil Aurignac '25
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School William Kulas '24 Elizabeth Wire '24
Falcons Grant Schmidt '24 Genevieve Schmidt '26
MAST Academy MAST Academy Carlos Beckmann '25 Julia Gil '26
Mast Academy Minx Anthony '26 Andrea Bolz '27
Martin County High School Martin County High School David Wedde '25 Kyle Weiksnar '25
Tigers Grady Stahl '26 Mia Stahl '27
Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Brayden Benesch '24 Taylor Shivbaran '26
Falcons Kyla Benesch '27 Carlos Roig '24
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Connor Mertz '25 Trenton Groome '26
Panthers Jake Taubman '25 Truman Clark Jimenez '27
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Ava Mc Aliley '26 [1-5] Manolo Campos '25 [1-2]
Christine Keedy-Brown '24 [3-4]
Leyla Amjad '26 [5]
Raiders Max Wolfensberger '26 [1-5] Amelia Lazarus '25 [1-2]
Lucas Lippy '25 [3-5]
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Millie French '25 Coco Claypool '26
Sailors Samantha Jones '25 Jade Cambell '26
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Kate Danielson '24 Ainsley Braun '25
Chargers Rosie Simpson '25 Josh O'Connor '26
South Fork High School South Fork High School Rylan Morris '24 Lexi Trimble '24
SF BULLDOGS Brady Koren '24 Angel Black '24
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Dorothy Mendelblatt '24 [1-5] Adam Mendelblatt '26 [1-4]
Avery Hunter '25 [5]
Green Devils Gloria Privis '26 [1-5] Avery Hunter '25 [1-3]
Adam Mendelblatt '26 [4-5]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Cody Roe '25 Isabel Viega '28
Raiders Kj Hill '25 [1-2]
Mariano Viega '25 [3-5]		 Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [1-2]
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Gabriella Pina '27 Erinne Fenton '25
Indians Hudson Regan '26 Camper Dales '26

Conditions — 03/02/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1020.7 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.4 kn
Gusts to 23.3 kn
From SSW (197°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine4.3 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1020.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at H. B. Plant: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at H. B. Plant by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at H. B. Plant, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →