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SP's #4 St Pete/USF

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 32 63 95
2 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 59 51 110
3 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 35 82 117
4 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 87 53 140
5 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 106 56 162
6 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 88 79 167
7 ThunderWolves ThunderWolves ThunderWolves 98 84 182
8 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 94 98 192
9 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 121 77 198
10 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 91 110 201
11 Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 155 145 300
12 Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 120 182 302
13 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 160 181 341
14 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 180 178 358
15 Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 193 179 372
16 Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Falcons 154 221 375
17 The Pine School The Pine School Knights 214 181 395
18 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 218 205 423
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 1 4 2 2 3 3 2 1 1 2 3 1 7 32 Cort Snyder '23
Dante Garcia '24
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 5 3 1 1 2 4 1 8 3 1 1 2 3 35 Cody Roe '25
Danielle Lynch Smith '26
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 3 1 8 9 5 1 7 5 2 3 6 8 1 59 Jackson Mcaliley '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13]
Ian Fox '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Manolo Campos '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13]
Violet Martin '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 4 5 6 3 9 7 5 7 8 9 8 5 11 87 Bella Shakespeare '23
Zach O'Connor '23
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 6 10 7 5 10 8 4 2 5 5 15 7 4 88 Kate Danielson '24
Ainsley Braun '25
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 2 7 13 7 4 12 6 12 9 4 2 11 2 91 William Kulas '24 [1-13]
Genevieve Schmidt '26 [1-6]
Matt Baer '25 [7-13]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 8 2 3 4 8 2 8 10 7 10 12 12 8 94 Jake Julien '24
Brooke Mertz '25
ThunderWolves ThunderWolves ThunderWolves 9 15 4 6 1 10 9 4 4 6 4 13 13 98
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 7 6 5 8 11 5 11 11 10 8 9 9 6 106 Umi Noritake '24 [1-13]
Caroline Caudron '23 [1-6, 9-13]
Holland Ramos '23 [7-8]
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity BKD BKD 17 15 17 16 3 3 6 7 5 3 10 120 Gus Swencki '24 [1-9]
Raphael Ducrey '28 [10-13]
Jesse Anderson '23 [1-9]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 10 8 9 12 7 9 10 6 11 13 11 10 5 121 Tom Seibold '25 [1-13]
Colin Anderson '26 [1-4]
Ava Cohen '25 [5-13]
Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Falcons 15 9 12 11 13 11 12 9 14 15 7 17 9 154 Brayden Benesch '24
Carlos Roig '24
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 12 13 10 14 12 6 14 16 12 12 14 4 16 155 Audrey Russler '26 [1-13]
Paulina Freyre '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Addison Grinan '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 13 11 11 13 6 13 15 15 13 14 10 14 12 160 Millie French '25
Samantha Jones '25
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 14 14 14 17 15 14 13 13 16 17 13 6 14 180 Rylan Morris '24
Lexi Trimble '24
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 11 17 15 10 14 18 16 14 15 11 17 18 17 193 Alyssa Jongsma '23 [1-5, 9-13]
Kane Fenton '23 [6-8]
Sarah Burbank '24 [1-5, 9-10]
Abraham Reynolds '23 [6-8]
Lauren Hackler '26 [11-13]
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 16 12 16 16 18 17 18 17 17 16 18 15 18 214 Michael Blotnick '23
Karen Becher '26
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 17 16 18 18 16 15 17 18 18 18 16 16 15 218 Heidi Weiksnar '23
Valen Cuevas '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 1 7 6 1 1 2 1 5 7 3 8 8 51 Griggs Diemar '25 [1-13]
Evelyn Yu '24 [1-8, 11-13]
Rebecca Ferrer '24 [9-10]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 4 3 1 1 2 5 3 6 1 6 11 5 5 53 Dorothy Mendelblatt '24
Dluzneski Luke '24
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 6 2 3 3 3 12 5 2 2 1 1 12 4 56 Danny Rianno '23
Soleil Aurignac '25
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 2 4 9 4 7 3 8 5 6 4 5 3 3 63 Leo Seuss '23 [1-13]
Alexandra Jones '24 [1-8]
Diogo Cruz '25 [9-13]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 3 6 4 5 5 7 9 3 11 5 8 4 7 77 Reid Nelson '23
Lydia Woolson '24
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 9 7 2 2 6 4 10 4 8 3 9 6 9 79 Rosie Simpson '25
Ellen Hommeyer '26
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 5 11 5 7 11 9 1 7 3 11 10 1 1 82 Kevin Gosselin '23 [1-6]
Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23 [7-13]
Martha Dwyer '23 [1-6]
Ana Lynch Smith '25 [7-13]
ThunderWolves ThunderWolves ThunderWolves 8 5 10 9 8 2 4 8 7 8 7 2 6 84
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 7 9 8 8 9 6 6 9 10 2 4 10 10 98 Connor Mertz '25
Trenton Groome '26
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 11 8 6 OCS 4 8 7 11 4 17 6 7 2 110 Grant Schmidt '24
Elizabeth Wire '24
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 12 14 13 10 13 10 11 10 9 13 2 14 14 145 Isabella Storm '26 [1-13]
Sophia Roy-Longino '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Martina Santos '26 [3-4, 7-8, 11-13]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 15 13 12 12 12 15 13 14 14 12 13 17 16 178 Brady Koren '24
Savannah Kautz '25
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 10 18 11 14 17 17 17 16 15 10 14 9 11 179 Kate Sweeney '26 [1-5, 10-13]
Erinne Fenton '25 [6-9]
John Sweeney '25 [1-5, 10-13]
Emma Watson '26 [6-9]
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 13 12 18 13 14 16 15 13 12 14 15 11 15 181 Carter Polachek '25
Harper Aberman '26
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 14 17 16 15 15 13 12 12 16 9 12 13 17 181 Jade Cambell '26
Kyan Clark '25
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 16 10 14 11 10 11 14 15 DSQ 16 18 15 13 182 Jonah Sroka '24
Nicholas Papazian '24
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 17 16 17 17 18 14 16 17 13 15 17 16 12 205 Grady Stahl '26
David Wedde '27
Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Falcons 18 15 15 16 16 18 18 18 17 18 16 18 18 221 Taylor Shivbaran '26
Ignacio Del Hierro '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.230+0.23
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School1111111111111
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders2222222222222
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions4444444444444
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons5555555555555
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers6666666666666
ThunderWolvesThunderWolves ThunderWolves7777777777777
Palmer Trinity SchoolPalmer Trinity School Falcons8888888888888
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers9999999999999
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers3333333333333
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders10101010101010101010101010
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity11111111111111111111111111
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders16161616161616161616161616
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors12121212121212121212121212
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers13131313131313131313131313
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS14141414141414141414141414
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils15151515151515151515151515
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights17171717171717171717171717
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Indians18181818181818181818181818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School1111111111111
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders2222222222222
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions4444444444444
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons5555555555555
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers6666666666666
ThunderWolvesThunderWolves ThunderWolves7777777777777
Palmer Trinity SchoolPalmer Trinity School Falcons8888888888888
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers9999999999999
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers3333333333333
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders10101010101010101010101010
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity11111111111111111111111111
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders16161616161616161616161616
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors12121212121212121212121212
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers13131313131313131313131313
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS14141414141414141414141414
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils15151515151515151515151515
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights17171717171717171717171717
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Indians18181818181818181818181818
School / Team SkipperCrew
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Audrey Russler '26 [1-13] Paulina Freyre '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Addison Grinan '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Carrollton School Isabella Storm '26 [1-13] Sophia Roy-Longino '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Martina Santos '26 [3-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Cort Snyder '23 Dante Garcia '24
Raiders Leo Seuss '23 [1-13] Alexandra Jones '24 [1-8]
Diogo Cruz '25 [9-13]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Tom Seibold '25 [1-13] Colin Anderson '26 [1-4]
Ava Cohen '25 [5-13]
Panthers Reid Nelson '23 Lydia Woolson '24
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Umi Noritake '24 [1-13] Caroline Caudron '23 [1-6, 9-13]
Holland Ramos '23 [7-8]
Royal Lions Danny Rianno '23 Soleil Aurignac '25
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School William Kulas '24 [1-13] Genevieve Schmidt '26 [1-6]
Matt Baer '25 [7-13]
Falcons Grant Schmidt '24 Elizabeth Wire '24
Martin County High School Martin County High School Heidi Weiksnar '23 Valen Cuevas '24
Tigers Grady Stahl '26 David Wedde '27
Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Brayden Benesch '24 Carlos Roig '24
Falcons Taylor Shivbaran '26 Ignacio Del Hierro '25
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Jake Julien '24 Brooke Mertz '25
Panthers Connor Mertz '25 Trenton Groome '26
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Jackson Mcaliley '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13]
Ian Fox '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Manolo Campos '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13]
Violet Martin '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Raiders Griggs Diemar '25 [1-13] Evelyn Yu '24 [1-8, 11-13]
Rebecca Ferrer '24 [9-10]
Riverview High School Riverview High School Gus Swencki '24 [1-9]
Raphael Ducrey '28 [10-13]		 Jesse Anderson '23 [1-9]
Varsity Jonah Sroka '24 Nicholas Papazian '24
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Millie French '25 Samantha Jones '25
Sailors Jade Cambell '26 Kyan Clark '25
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Kate Danielson '24 Ainsley Braun '25
Chargers Rosie Simpson '25 Ellen Hommeyer '26
South Fork High School South Fork High School Rylan Morris '24 Lexi Trimble '24
SF BULLDOGS Brady Koren '24 Savannah Kautz '25
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Bella Shakespeare '23 Zach O'Connor '23
Green Devils Dorothy Mendelblatt '24 Dluzneski Luke '24
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Cody Roe '25 Danielle Lynch Smith '26
Raiders Kevin Gosselin '23 [1-6]
Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23 [7-13]		 Martha Dwyer '23 [1-6]
Ana Lynch Smith '25 [7-13]
The Pine School The Pine School Michael Blotnick '23 Karen Becher '26
Knights Carter Polachek '25 Harper Aberman '26
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Alyssa Jongsma '23 [1-5, 9-13]
Kane Fenton '23 [6-8]		 Sarah Burbank '24 [1-5, 9-10]
Abraham Reynolds '23 [6-8]
Lauren Hackler '26 [11-13]
Indians Kate Sweeney '26 [1-5, 10-13]
Erinne Fenton '25 [6-9]		 John Sweeney '25 [1-5, 10-13]
Emma Watson '26 [6-9]

Conditions — 01/21/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1019.3 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.8 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From NE (45°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1019.3 hPa Rain0.15 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Shorecrest Prep/St. Petersburg: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Shorecrest Prep/St. Petersburg by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Shorecrest Prep/St. Petersburg, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →