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SAISA South Points #2 JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 8 8 16
2 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 2 23 13 36
3 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 21 19 40
4 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 13 41 54
5 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 19 44 63
6 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 34 30 64
7 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 1 35 30 65
8 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 48 22 70
9 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 50 26 76
10 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 28 52 80
11 Seminole High School Seminole High School Seminole 52 47 99
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 2 2 1 1 2 8 Ava Mc Aliley '26 [1-5]
Lucas Lippy '25 [1-2]
Kayra Serpenguzel '25 [3-5]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1 6 3 2 1 13 Keith Grupenhoff '25
Soleil Aurignac '25
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 3 4 2 3 7 19 Nills Wheeler '26
Kyan Clark '25
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 4 5 4 5 3 21 Marin Redmond '28
Isabel Viega '28
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 2 5 3 6 4 5 23 Alexander Getzels '26
Tilden Coate '26
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 7 1 5 6 9 28 Audrey Caplow '25
Lucia Martinez-Moure '25
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 8 8 7 7 4 34 Adam Mendelblatt '26 [1-5]
Jad Abedrabbo '26 [1-2]
Ava Shakespeare '25 [3-5]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 1 6 7 8 8 6 35 Austin Peterson '23
Ellie Freeman '26
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 9 9 10 10 10 48 Brady Koren '24 [1-5]
Ruby Suereth '24 [1-2, 5]
Angel Black '24 [3-4]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 10 10 9 9 OCS 50 Afonso Cruz '26
Andreas Infante '24
Seminole High School Seminole High School Seminole 11 11 11 11 8 52 Beatriz Newland '23
Grace Moring '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 1 1 2 1 3 8 Garrett Fox '26
Amelia Lazarus '25
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 2 2 2 1 4 4 13 Sophia Pacheco '26
Genevieve Schmidt '26
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 5 5 5 2 2 19 Pierce Weber '27
Cole Fanchi '26
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 7 3 4 7 1 22 Jakub Barski '23
Kaylee Priest '24
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 6 4 3 6 7 26 Benjamin Pasquier '25 [1-3]
Diogo Cruz '25 [4-5]
Daniel Lipof '24 [1-3]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 3 8 7 3 9 30 Reid Mendelblatt '26 [1-4]
Jad Abedrabbo '26 [5]
Dluzneski Luke '24 [1-4]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 1 8 6 6 5 5 30 Aaron Johnson '24
Delaney Romeyk '26
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 4 7 DNF DNF 6 41 Isabella Henrich '26 [1-5]
Nathalie Caudron '25 [1-2]
Marco Andres '25 [3-5]
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 9 10 9 8 8 44 Jade Cambell '26
Arianna Benson '26
Seminole High School Seminole High School Seminole 10 9 8 9 11 47 Ajay Sastri '24
Selah Pearl '24
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 11 11 10 10 10 52 Leyla Amjad '26 [1-2, 5]
Marcus Mustad '26 [3-4]
Mia Bouyoucef '25 [1-2, 5]
Anuradha Tewari '25 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders99999
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions54335433543354335433
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons 11212121212
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons 284398439843984398439
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 111111
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 222222
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders88888
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors22222
Seminole High SchoolSeminole High School Seminole3333333333
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS87568756875687568756
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils33333

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders99999
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions54335433543354335433
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons 11212121212
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons 284398439843984398439
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 111111
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 222222
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders88888
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors22222
Seminole High SchoolSeminole High School Seminole3333333333
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS87568756875687568756
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils33333
School / Team SkipperCrew
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Afonso Cruz '26 Andreas Infante '24
Raiders Benjamin Pasquier '25 [1-3]
Diogo Cruz '25 [4-5]		 Daniel Lipof '24 [1-3]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Keith Grupenhoff '25 Soleil Aurignac '25
Royal Lions Isabella Henrich '26 [1-5] Nathalie Caudron '25 [1-2]
Marco Andres '25 [3-5]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Austin Peterson '23 Ellie Freeman '26
Falcons 1 Aaron Johnson '24 Delaney Romeyk '26
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Alexander Getzels '26 Tilden Coate '26
Falcons 2 Sophia Pacheco '26 Genevieve Schmidt '26
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Ava Mc Aliley '26 [1-5] Lucas Lippy '25 [1-2]
Kayra Serpenguzel '25 [3-5]
Raiders 1 Garrett Fox '26 Amelia Lazarus '25
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Audrey Caplow '25 Lucia Martinez-Moure '25
Raiders 2 Leyla Amjad '26 [1-2, 5]
Marcus Mustad '26 [3-4]		 Mia Bouyoucef '25 [1-2, 5]
Anuradha Tewari '25 [3-4]
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Nills Wheeler '26 Kyan Clark '25
Sailors Jade Cambell '26 Arianna Benson '26
Seminole High School Seminole High School Beatriz Newland '23 Grace Moring '24
Seminole Ajay Sastri '24 Selah Pearl '24
South Fork High School South Fork High School Brady Koren '24 [1-5] Ruby Suereth '24 [1-2, 5]
Angel Black '24 [3-4]
SF BULLDOGS Jakub Barski '23 Kaylee Priest '24
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Adam Mendelblatt '26 [1-5] Jad Abedrabbo '26 [1-2]
Ava Shakespeare '25 [3-5]
Green Devils Reid Mendelblatt '26 [1-4]
Jad Abedrabbo '26 [5]		 Dluzneski Luke '24 [1-4]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Marin Redmond '28 Isabel Viega '28
Raiders Pierce Weber '27 Cole Fanchi '26

Conditions — 10/22/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1016.9 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.2 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From N (8°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover9% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1016.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Jensen Beach: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.37 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jensen Beach by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Jensen Beach, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →