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SAISA SP #5 Junior Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 9 7 16
2 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 9 17 26
3 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 40 11 51
4 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 29 29 58
5 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 24 38 62
6 Seminole Seminole Seminole 24 39 63
7 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 2 22 50 72
8 Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 27 50 77
9 Raiders Raiders Raiders 52 27 79
10 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 1 46 33 79
11 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 50 30 80
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1 1 1 3 3 9 Keith Grupenhoff '25
Soleil Aurignac '25
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 2 2 2 1 2 9 Ava Mc Aliley '26 [1-5]
Kayra Serpenguzel '25 [1-4]
Lucas Lippy '25 [5]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 2 3 3 3 7 6 22 Alexander Getzels '26
Tilden Coate '26
Seminole Seminole Seminole 5 4 7 4 4 24
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 6 6 6 5 1 24 Audrey Caplow '25 [1-5]
Mia Bouyoucef '25 [1-4]
Daniel Figueroa '24 [5]
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 8 7 5 2 5 27 Alexandra Kolaya '27
Sophia Roy-Longino '24
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 7 5 4 6 7 29 Jarah Maynor '24
Victoria Brock '26
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 4 8 8 8 DSQ 40 Jad Abedrabbo '26
Alex Szymanski-Oij '26
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 1 10 10 9 9 8 46 Austin Peterson '23
Ellie Freeman '26
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 11 9 10 10 10 50 Brady Koren '24
Kaylee Priest '24
Raiders Raiders Raiders 9 OCS 11 11 9 52
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 1 1 1 1 3 7 Garrett Fox '26 [1-2]
Sebastian Van De Kreeke '25 [3-5]
Amelia Lazarus '25 [1-2]
Rebecca Ferrer '24 [3-5]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 2 3 2 2 2 11 Reid Mendelblatt '26
Dluzneski Luke '24
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 4 4 3 5 1 17 Isabella Henrich '26
Nathalie Caudron '25
Raiders Raiders Raiders 8 2 5 6 6 27
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 3 7 11 4 4 29 Jarah Maynor '24
Victoria Brock '26
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 6 5 7 3 9 30 Daphne Dalton '24
Savannah Kautz '26
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 1 7 8 6 7 5 33 Aaron Johnson '24
Delaney Romeyk '26
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 9 6 8 8 7 38 Leyla Amjad '26 [1-2]
Marcus Mustad '26 [3-5]
Mela Lew '24 [1-5]
Seminole Seminole Seminole 5 DSQ 4 10 8 39
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 10 10 10 9 11 50 Claire Curran '24
Alessia Vernet '25
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 2 11 9 9 11 10 50 Matt Baer '25
Kai Wolter '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School2727272727
RaidersRaiders Raiders2828282828
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions2626262626
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons 13131313131
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons 23838383838
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers3030303030
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 11414141414
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 21515151515
SeminoleSeminole Seminole3333333333
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS3232323232
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils2929292929

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School2727272727
RaidersRaiders Raiders2828282828
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions2626262626
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons 13131313131
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons 23838383838
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers3030303030
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 11414141414
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 21515151515
SeminoleSeminole Seminole3333333333
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS3232323232
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils2929292929

Conditions — 02/25/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1023.5 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.1 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From ESE (104°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover18% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1023.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ransom Everglades: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.54 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ransom Everglades by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 14 labelled days at Ransom Everglades, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →