SAISA Girls Champs - Rock the Boat Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 MAST Academy MAST Academy Mast Academy 18 18
2 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1 21 21
3 Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 24 24
4 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 29 29
5 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 2 31 31
6 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 34 34
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
MAST Academy MAST Academy Mast Academy DNF 1 1 3 1 4 1 18 Minx Anthony '26
Andrea Bolz '27
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1 2 6 5 2 3 1 2 21 Isabella Henrich '26
Soleil Aurignac '25
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 1 5 3 5 2 5 3 24 Audrey Russler '26 [1-7]
Paulina Freyre '25 [1-4]
Alexandra Kolaya '27 [5-7]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders DNF 2 4 1 6 3 6 29 Sabine Wolfensberger '27 [1-7]
Eva Cunningham '27 [1, 5-7]
Simone Carrasco '27 [2-4]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 2 DNF 3 6 4 5 2 4 31 Marina Wardlaw '27
Nathalie Caudron '25
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers DNF 4 2 6 4 6 5 34 Rosie Simpson '25
Ellen Hommeyer '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School1111111
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 12222222
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 23333333
MAST AcademyMAST Academy Mast Academy4444444
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders5555555
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers6666666

Conditions — 05/04/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1017.2 hPa

Temperature

81°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 84°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 10.4 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From SE (141°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover56% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1017.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bishop Kenny FL: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.61)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bishop Kenny FL by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Bishop Kenny FL, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →