Navigate

Falmouth Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 23 8 31
2 Southern Maine 1 Southern Maine 1 Southern Maine 1 26 11 37
3 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 22 26 48
4 Southern Maine 4 Southern Maine 4 Southern Maine 4 19 32 51
5 Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 1 21 34 55
6 Southern Maine 2 Southern Maine 2 Southern Maine 2 34 31 65
7 Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 2 34 31 65
8 Southern Maine 3 Southern Maine 3 Southern Maine 3 39 30 69
9 Cheverus/Greely Cheverus/Greely Cheverus/Greely 28 45 73
10 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 38 38 76
11 Clippers Clippers Clippers 39 40 79
12 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 44 41 85
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Southern Maine 4 Southern Maine 4 Southern Maine 4 2 3 BYE BYE 6 19
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 1 1 1 5 1 DNS 21 Myles Feuer '25
Jack Carlson '23
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 4 8 2 6 2 22 Charlie Spencer '23
Valyn Mogensen '22
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 9 7 1 2 4 23 Posie Cabaniss '23
Frankie Sparrow '23
Southern Maine 1 Southern Maine 1 Southern Maine 1 7 4 7 3 5 26
Cheverus/Greely Cheverus/Greely Cheverus/Greely 6 6 3 4 9 28
Southern Maine 2 Southern Maine 2 Southern Maine 2 3 11 4 9 BYE 34
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 2 11 9 6 7 1 34 Ian Doherty '25
Jacob Cahan '24
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 8 2 10 10 8 38 Luc Francis '24
Trevor Oakley '24
Southern Maine 3 Southern Maine 3 Southern Maine 3 5 10 9 5 10 39
Clippers Clippers Clippers BYE BYE 8 8 7 39
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 10 5 DNS DNS 3 44 Thomas Emery '23
Andrew Deniz '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 1 1 1 1 4 8 Jack Taylor '23
Simone Daranyi '23
Southern Maine 1 Southern Maine 1 Southern Maine 1 2 2 2 3 BYE 11
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 10 5 5 4 2 26 Eli Evans '23
Hazel Johnson '23
Southern Maine 3 Southern Maine 3 Southern Maine 3 6 4 BYE BYE 8 30
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 2 4 3 10 11 3 31 Sydney Young '24
William Gale '24
Southern Maine 2 Southern Maine 2 Southern Maine 2 5 7 7 5 7 31
Southern Maine 4 Southern Maine 4 Southern Maine 4 8 8 3 8 5 32
Falmouth High School (ME) Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 1 9 10 4 2 9 34 Ben Wintersteen '23
Miles Mannion '24
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 3 6 6 10 DNS 38 Sebastian Francis '25
Ruby Mcgonigal '28
Clippers Clippers Clippers 7 11 9 7 6 40
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 11 9 11 9 1 41 James Baldwin '24
Vio Voltz '24
Cheverus/Greely Cheverus/Greely Cheverus/Greely BYE BYE 8 6 DNF 45
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 111335
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 222446
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 133558
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 244669
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 1558810
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 2669911
Cheverus/GreelyCheverus/Greely Cheverus/Greely1212113
Southern Maine 1Southern Maine 1 Southern Maine 188101012
Southern Maine 2Southern Maine 2 Southern Maine 299111113
Southern Maine 3Southern Maine 3 Southern Maine 3101012121
Southern Maine 4Southern Maine 4 Southern Maine 4111113132
ClippersClippers Clippers1313224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 122446
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 233558
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 144669
Falmouth High School (ME)Falmouth High School (ME) Yachtsmen 2558810
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 1669911
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 288101012
Cheverus/GreelyCheverus/Greely Cheverus/Greely1313224
Southern Maine 1Southern Maine 1 Southern Maine 199111113
Southern Maine 2Southern Maine 2 Southern Maine 2101012121
Southern Maine 3Southern Maine 3 Southern Maine 3111113132
Southern Maine 4Southern Maine 4 Southern Maine 41212113
ClippersClippers Clippers11335

Conditions — 10/16/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1006.4 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.3 kn
avg  ·  max 12.3 kn
Gusts to 27.0 kn
From S (178°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine4.0 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1006.4 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Falmouth Maine: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.13)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.36 ± 0.32)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Falmouth Maine by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Falmouth Maine, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →