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# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 15 15
2 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Mixed 16 16
3 Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Mixed 18 18
4 Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 22 22
5 Gahanna Lincoln High School Gahanna Lincoln High School Mixed 33 33
6 Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Mixed 35 35
7 New Albany High School New Albany High School GIrls 36 36
8 Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Bears 39 39
9 Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Warhawks 40 40
10 Bexley High School Bexley High School Bexley Mixed 43 43
11 New Albany High School New Albany High School Varsity 50 50
12 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 52 52
13 Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Varsity 55 55
14 Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Mixed 62 62
15 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed 62 62
16 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 63 63
17 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Varsity 63 63
18 Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Mixed 65 65
19 Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity 71 71
20 Columbus School for Girls Columbus School for Girls Mixed 72 72
21 Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 73 73
22 Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School JV 75 75
23 Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome JV 77 77
24 Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson Mixed 78 78
25 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Varsity 87 87
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 6 2 5 2 15 Vincent Ireland '27
Ben Spengeman '27
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Mixed 2 4 7 3 16 Finn Mahoney '25
Marlie Boiston '22
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Mixed 8 5 1 4 18 Gavin Gaylor '25 [1, 3]
Collin Roberts '23 [2, 4]
Collin Roberts '23 [1, 3]
Gavin Gaylor '25 [2, 4]
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 1 1 12 8 22 Reed Schwam '25
Jackson Weimer '26
Gahanna Lincoln High School Gahanna Lincoln High School Mixed 11 8 13 1 33 Sami York '24
Lily Schwartz '25
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Mixed 3 7 15 10 35 Mason Mattice '24
Bobby Ream '25
New Albany High School New Albany High School GIrls 17 6 4 9 36 Libby Gode '27
Sofia Ely '23
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Bears 13 3 8 15 39 Max Son '23
Lucia Campbell '27
Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Warhawks 9 13 11 7 40 Mia Eisma '24
Brady Smith '22
Bexley High School Bexley High School Bexley Mixed 10 14 2 17 43 Emerson Becker '24
Henry Elmore '25
New Albany High School New Albany High School Varsity 4 9 23 14 50 Joey Weigand '23
Whit Romer '23
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 7 10 19 16 52 Jacob Hartong '26
Liam Rodriguez '24
Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Varsity 12 21 17 5 55 Jonathan Harding '24
Ethan Boy '26
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Mixed 5 OCS 10 21 62 Dora Winkler '26
Ian Cullimore '25
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed 19 15 16 12 62 Kai Ellsworth '25
Elliot Everson '26
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves 14 11 20 18 63 Alex Mcbride '27
Brayden Thomas '26
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Varsity OCS 23 3 11 63 Connor Coate '25
Emma Friedauer '23
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Mixed 20 18 21 6 65 Gavin Grundei '25
Kai Tran '27
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity 15 16 18 22 71 Nick Hartshorn '25
Noah Olsen '22
Columbus School for Girls Columbus School for Girls Mixed 18 17 14 23 72 Isabella Luckage '23
Emma Hershey '23
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 23 20 6 24 73 Abby White '25
Rose Darner '25
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School JV 16 24 22 13 75 Preston Garner '26
Morgan Yeager '25
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome JV 21 12 25 19 77 Ethan Lowe '26
Dimitrios Frezoulis '26
Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson Mixed 22 22 9 25 78 Matthew Fu '22
Lauren Mason '23
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Varsity 24 19 24 20 87 Sarah Clowes '25
Jamie Vance '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Bexley Mixed21212121
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Lions11111111
Bishop WattersonBishop Watterson Mixed1111
Columbus School for GirlsColumbus School for Girls Mixed5555
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Mixed24242424
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome JV20202020
Gahanna Lincoln High SchoolGahanna Lincoln High School Mixed14141414
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School GIrls15151515
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed19191919
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Varsity13131313
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Braves18181818
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mixed2222
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Varsity25252525
Olentangy Orange High SchoolOlentangy Orange High School JV9999
Olentangy Orange High SchoolOlentangy Orange High School Mixed12121212
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Mixed22222222
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Varsity4444
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Bears17171717
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Mixed6666
Westerville Central High SchoolWesterville Central High School Varsity8888
Westerville Central High SchoolWesterville Central High School Warhawks7777
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Mixed121121121121
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Varsity16161616
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Mixed23232323
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack3333
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bexley High School Bexley High School Bexley Mixed Emerson Becker '24 Henry Elmore '25
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions Reed Schwam '25 Jackson Weimer '26
Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson Mixed Matthew Fu '22 Lauren Mason '23
Columbus School for Girls Columbus School for Girls Mixed Isabella Luckage '23 Emma Hershey '23
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed Kai Ellsworth '25 Elliot Everson '26
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome JV Ethan Lowe '26 Dimitrios Frezoulis '26
Gahanna Lincoln High School Gahanna Lincoln High School Mixed Sami York '24 Lily Schwartz '25
New Albany High School New Albany High School GIrls Libby Gode '27 Sofia Ely '23
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed Vincent Ireland '27 Ben Spengeman '27
New Albany High School New Albany High School Varsity Joey Weigand '23 Whit Romer '23
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Braves Alex Mcbride '27 Brayden Thomas '26
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed Jacob Hartong '26 Liam Rodriguez '24
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Varsity Connor Coate '25 Emma Friedauer '23
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School JV Preston Garner '26 Morgan Yeager '25
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Mixed Gavin Gaylor '25 [1, 3]
Collin Roberts '23 [2, 4]		 Collin Roberts '23 [1, 3]
Gavin Gaylor '25 [2, 4]
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Mixed Finn Mahoney '25 Marlie Boiston '22
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Varsity Sarah Clowes '25 Jamie Vance '25
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Bears Max Son '23 Lucia Campbell '27
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Mixed Gavin Grundei '25 Kai Tran '27
Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Varsity Jonathan Harding '24 Ethan Boy '26
Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Warhawks Mia Eisma '24 Brady Smith '22
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Mixed Dora Winkler '26 Ian Cullimore '25
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity Nick Hartshorn '25 Noah Olsen '22
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Mixed Mason Mattice '24 Bobby Ream '25
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack Abby White '25 Rose Darner '25

Conditions — 10/22/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1017.3 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.6 kn
Gusts to 10.1 kn
From NW (307°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1017.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Francis Desales: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.14)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.19 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Francis Desales by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at St. Francis Desales, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →