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Great Oaks Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Varsity 141 141
2 Harbor Springs Sailing Team Harbor Springs Sailing Team Rams 148 148
3 Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 150 150
4 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 158 158
5 New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 193 193
6 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 209 209
7 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 210 210
8 Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Varsity 211 211
9 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Varsity 218 218
10 St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Eagles 228 228
11 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 230 230
12 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 247 247
13 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 258 258
14 Lincoln Park High School Lincoln Park High School Varsity 310 310
15 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 320 320
16 Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Mixed 321 321
17 Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 362 362
18 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet 381 381
19 Troy High School Troy High School Varsity 407 407
20 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 456 456
21 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 466 466
22 Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED 494 494
23 Groves High School Groves High School Falcons 552 552
24 Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks 552 552
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 R20 R21 R22 R23 R24 TOT Sailors
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Varsity 1 8 17 4 2 5 4 1 3 10 3 3 10 16 7 1 13 3 2 3 6 4 13 2 141 Owen Bannasch '22 [1-24]
Brian Totonchi '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Declan Mcgrath '23 [3-4, 7-8]
John Riordan '22 [9-24]
Harbor Springs Sailing Team Harbor Springs Sailing Team Rams 3 1 7 3 1 3 8 2 10 15 4 14 6 3 3 4 1 15 3 15 1 17 3 6 148 Maren Matthews '22
John Goff '25
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 2 2 1 10 9 6 2 6 12 8 1 6 1 15 11 12 7 2 8 9 3 3 10 4 150 Greta Traver '23
Amelia Traver '24
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 4 14 14 2 3 1 1 3 2 4 17 8 13 5 1 3 3 14 1 1 15 11 11 7 158 Wyatt Tait '23
Lorenzo Good '25
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 14 11 8 13 15 2 10 8 4 1 8 10 14 2 8 7 11 4 6 8 13 2 1 13 193 Beylan Gode '25
Bobby Ream '26
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 11 16 2 9 4 7 5 12 7 2 2 7 3 12 12 8 18 18 16 12 10 5 6 5 209 Jimmy Sohigian '24 [1-10]
Santiago Echevarria '22 [11-24]
Peter Garrison '24 [1-10]
Jimmy Sohigian '24 [11-24]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 9 13 4 6 6 11 9 10 9 5 14 1 2 13 6 5 14 8 7 16 11 8 4 19 210 Charlie Herrick '22
Tyler Knohl '22
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Varsity 17 6 6 7 7 10 7 13 15 11 19 16 5 8 RDG 14 2 12 9 6 2 7 2 1 211 Mason Shaw '22
Kaden Mcclary '24
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Varsity 8 18 20 14 5 16 14 4 6 12 13 5 12 4 13 13 5 7 4 2 7 1 12 3 218 Emma Friedauer '22
Connor Coate '25
St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Eagles 5 10 12 5 13 13 OCS 18 16 7 11 4 11 1 4 11 10 1 11 10 5 6 7 12 228 Charles Schaffner '22
Max Movius '24
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 12 9 15 12 10 15 11 7 17 3 7 9 8 6 14 2 4 6 13 5 9 19 9 8 230 Michael Mullins '23 [1-24]
Nate Bacheller '24 [1-4, 9-24]
Madeline Martin '24 [5-8]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 13 7 13 11 19 14 13 17 5 6 10 2 4 14 9 6 6 5 15 4 12 9 15 18 247 Vinny Paliga '24 [1-4, 7-22]
Ethan Gulati '22 [5-6, 23-24]
Liam Gilin '25 [1-2, 5, 18-22]
Walter Paliga '22 [3-4, 6-17]
Vinny Paliga '24 [23-24]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 7 4 3 8 12 4 6 16 8 21 5 11 9 10 16 9 RDG 17 23 7 8 16 17 10 258 Liam Hounsell '23 [1-17, 19-22]
Miles Laker '23 [18]
Joseph Fisher '24 [23-24]
Miles Laker '23 [1-10, 16-17]
Aarush Kapur '25 [11-12, 14-15, 19-22]
Joseph Fisher '24 [13]
Liam Hounsell '23 [18, 23-24]
Lincoln Park High School Lincoln Park High School Varsity 6 12 5 1 8 12 3 DSQ DSQ 14 18 18 15 18 5 10 9 10 22 22 18 12 8 14 310 Samuel Childers '23 [1-24]
Julia Risk '23 [1-17]
Gretchen Nevel '23 [18-24]
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 10 5 10 18 20 9 16 5 22 13 6 13 18 9 18 15 12 11 18 11 19 13 14 15 320 Noah Blake '23 [1-24]
Stella Brown '23 [1-10, 21-24]
Gavin Parsons '24 [11-20]
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Mixed 20 15 9 16 14 17 12 14 1 9 20 12 7 11 15 16 8 16 17 18 4 18 16 16 321 Liam Rodriguez '24
Aiden Rodriguez '26
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 18 19 16 19 17 8 17 9 14 17 9 19 19 7 2 17 16 9 21 21 16 10 22 20 362 Emma Hershey '23
Rose Darner '26
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet 16 17 11 15 16 18 15 11 11 18 12 17 20 21 10 22 15 19 12 14 20 21 19 11 381 Anna Mcaughey '24 [1-6, 13-15, 19, 21, 23]
Jimmy Souilliere '23 [7-12, 16-18, 20, 22, 24]
Jimmy Souilliere '23 [1-6, 13-15, 19, 21, 23]
Anna Mcaughey '24 [7-12, 16-18, 20, 22, 24]
Troy High School Troy High School Varsity 15 3 18 20 18 20 OCS 19 20 20 16 20 16 17 20 20 20 13 19 17 22 15 5 9 407 Rodrigo Flores '24 [1-2, 5-7, 13-14, 17-20, 23-24]
Monika Torkos '23 [3, 9-12, 15-16]
Dane Greenwood '23 [4, 8]
Nicole Torkos '25 [21-22]
Dane Greenwood '23 [1-2, 7, 9-10, 17-20, 23-24]
Nicole Torkos '25 [3, 5-6, 8, 11-12, 15-16]
Monika Torkos '23 [4, 13-14, 21-22]
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 19 22 19 21 11 21 19 15 21 16 15 15 21 20 DNS DNS DNS 21 14 20 14 14 20 23 456 Gavin Lamphier '22
Will Hilborn '22
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 21 21 22 22 21 23 18 22 19 19 21 21 17 19 17 19 21 20 10 13 21 20 18 21 466 Timothy Chouinard '26
Spence Christensen '22
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED 23 24 23 23 24 22 21 21 18 22 22 22 22 22 19 21 17 22 5 23 17 23 21 17 494 Pascual Noriega '25 [1-2]
Diego Kittinger '24 [3-24]
Alex Fox '27 [1-9, 15-18]
Valentino Orsini '25 [10-14, 19-24]
Groves High School Groves High School Falcons 22 23 24 24 23 DNS 22 23 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 21 18 DNS 23 20 19 23 22 23 22 552 Jace Bishop '23
Kai Vanwordragen '25
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks DNF 20 21 17 22 19 20 20 13 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 552 Karen Callahan '23
Morris Mitchell '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A19A20A21A22A23A24A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers112233445566778899101011111212
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity181817171616151514141313121211111010998877
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks22112424232322222121202019191818171716161515
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Varsity3344556677889910101111121213131414
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity4433221124242323222221212020191918181717
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits55667788991010111112121313141415151616
Everest Collegiate High School & AcademyEverest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED665544332211242423232222212120201919
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet778899101011111212131314141515161617171818
Groves High SchoolGroves High School Falcons88776655443322112424232322222121
Harbor Springs Sailing TeamHarbor Springs Sailing Team Rams9910101111121213131414151516161717181819192020
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Maroon101099887766554433221124242323
Lincoln Park High SchoolLincoln Park High School Varsity111112121313141415151616171718181919202021212222
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers121211111010998877665544332211
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ131314141515161617171818191920202121222223232424
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed1414131312121111101099887766554433
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Mixed15151616171718181919202021212222232324241122
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Varsity16161515141413131212111110109988776655
Olentangy Orange High SchoolOlentangy Orange High School Varsity1717181819192020212122222323242411223344
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers191920202121222223232424112233445566
St. Edward High SchoolSt. Edward High School Eagles2020191918181717161615151414131312121111101099
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans21212222232324241122334455667788
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Varsity222221212020191918181717161615151414131312121111
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity232324241122334455667788991010
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack242423232222212120201919181817171616151514141313
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers Noah Blake '23 [1-24] Stella Brown '23 [1-10, 21-24]
Gavin Parsons '24 [11-20]
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity Michael Mullins '23 [1-24] Nate Bacheller '24 [1-4, 9-24]
Madeline Martin '24 [5-8]
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks Karen Callahan '23 Morris Mitchell '22
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Varsity Owen Bannasch '22 [1-24] Brian Totonchi '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Declan Mcgrath '23 [3-4, 7-8]
John Riordan '22 [9-24]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity Liam Hounsell '23 [1-17, 19-22]
Miles Laker '23 [18]
Joseph Fisher '24 [23-24]		 Miles Laker '23 [1-10, 16-17]
Aarush Kapur '25 [11-12, 14-15, 19-22]
Joseph Fisher '24 [13]
Liam Hounsell '23 [18, 23-24]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits Charlie Herrick '22 Tyler Knohl '22
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Pascual Noriega '25 [1-2]
Diego Kittinger '24 [3-24]		 Alex Fox '27 [1-9, 15-18]
Valentino Orsini '25 [10-14, 19-24]
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet Anna Mcaughey '24 [1-6, 13-15, 19, 21, 23]
Jimmy Souilliere '23 [7-12, 16-18, 20, 22, 24]		 Jimmy Souilliere '23 [1-6, 13-15, 19, 21, 23]
Anna Mcaughey '24 [7-12, 16-18, 20, 22, 24]
Groves High School Groves High School Falcons Jace Bishop '23 Kai Vanwordragen '25
Harbor Springs Sailing Team Harbor Springs Sailing Team Rams Maren Matthews '22 John Goff '25
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon Greta Traver '23 Amelia Traver '24
Lincoln Park High School Lincoln Park High School Varsity Samuel Childers '23 [1-24] Julia Risk '23 [1-17]
Gretchen Nevel '23 [18-24]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers Jimmy Sohigian '24 [1-10]
Santiago Echevarria '22 [11-24]		 Peter Garrison '24 [1-10]
Jimmy Sohigian '24 [11-24]
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ Gavin Lamphier '22 Will Hilborn '22
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed Beylan Gode '25 Bobby Ream '26
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Mixed Liam Rodriguez '24 Aiden Rodriguez '26
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Varsity Emma Friedauer '22 Connor Coate '25
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Varsity Mason Shaw '22 Kaden Mcclary '24
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers Timothy Chouinard '26 Spence Christensen '22
St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Eagles Charles Schaffner '22 Max Movius '24
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans Wyatt Tait '23 Lorenzo Good '25
Troy High School Troy High School Varsity Rodrigo Flores '24 [1-2, 5-7, 13-14, 17-20, 23-24]
Monika Torkos '23 [3, 9-12, 15-16]
Dane Greenwood '23 [4, 8]
Nicole Torkos '25 [21-22]		 Dane Greenwood '23 [1-2, 7, 9-10, 17-20, 23-24]
Nicole Torkos '25 [3, 5-6, 8, 11-12, 15-16]
Monika Torkos '23 [4, 13-14, 21-22]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity Vinny Paliga '24 [1-4, 7-22]
Ethan Gulati '22 [5-6, 23-24]		 Liam Gilin '25 [1-2, 5, 18-22]
Walter Paliga '22 [3-4, 6-17]
Vinny Paliga '24 [23-24]
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack Emma Hershey '23 Rose Darner '26

Conditions — 09/25/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1013.5 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.1 kn
avg  ·  max 12.6 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From W (267°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover84% Sunshine5.2 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1013.5 hPa Rain0.16 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn · SW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day/Everest Collegiate/Troy/West Bloomfield: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day/Everest Collegiate/Troy/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Detroit Country Day/Everest Collegiate/Troy/West Bloomfield: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →