ISSA Great Oaks Invitational Red

HostSouthern Yacht Club
Date11/20/2021
TypeNational Invitational
BoatC420
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	19	19
2	Clear Lake High School	Falcons	32	32
3	Guilford High School	Grizzlies	49	49
4	Mount Carmel Academy	CUBS	54	54
5	Jesuit High School, NOLA	Blue Jays	57	57
6	Holland Christian High School	Maroon	63	63
7	John T. Hoggard High School	Vikings Varsity	65	65
8	St. Paul Academy (MN)	Spartans	66	66
9	Evanston Township HS	Wildkits	74	74
10	Academy of Notre Dame	Irish	102	102
11	Ben Franklin High School	Falcons	103	103
12	Saint Stanislaus	Rock-A-Chaws	114	114
13	Epiphany School of Global Studies	JV One	116	116
14	Ft. Walton Beach High School	Vikings	136	136

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	1	6	1	1	1	3	2	2	1	1	19	Tyler Nash '23 [1-10] Ryan Voytas '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Tate Theordorson '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Clear Lake High School	Falcons	2	2	2	3	5	8	4	1	3	2	32	Matias Martin '23 Jack Cronan '25
Guilford High School	Grizzlies	8	1	5	5	4	4	1	6	11	4	49	Danny Uzzo '24 Jack Creamer '22
Mount Carmel Academy	CUBS	4	3	4	11	3	5	5	3	6	10	54	Kate Gibbons '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Emory Friend '22 [3-4, 7-8] Georgia Gibbons '26 [1-2, 7-8] Kate Gibbons '23 [3-4] Molly Lagarde '24 [5-6, 9-10]
Jesuit High School, NOLA	Blue Jays	12	8	3	2	2	1	3	5	8	13	57	Caleb Keister '22 [1-2] Connor Fanberg '26 [3-8] Aidan Mckoin '26 [9-10] R.Ellis Beasley '22 [1-2] Aidan Mckoin '26 [3-8] Caleb Keister '22 [9-10]
Holland Christian High School	Maroon	3	5	8	9	6	9	6	7	5	5	63	Greta Traver '23 Amelia Traver '24
John T. Hoggard High School	Vikings Varsity	6	10	10	4	8	2	11	9	2	3	65	Tavia Smith '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Francis (Mac) Humphrey '22 [3-4, 7-8] Andrew Simpson '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Jane Wright '24 [3-4, 7-8]
St. Paul Academy (MN)	Spartans	7	4	7	6	10	6	8	4	7	7	66	Wyatt Tait '23 Lorenzo Good '25
Evanston Township HS	Wildkits	5	7	9	10	7	7	7	12	4	6	74	Charlie Herrick '22 Tyler Knohl '22
Academy of Notre Dame	Irish	10	11	6	7	12	13	12	13	10	8	102	Ava Del Vescovo '23 Ellie Pinto '23
Ben Franklin High School	Falcons	9	9	14	8	9	10	10	10	12	12	103	Harriss Thorne '23 Sahana Jaligam '22
Saint Stanislaus	Rock-A-Chaws	11	13	11	13	13	11	9	8	14	11	114	Devon Long '24 Ruston Breisacher '24
Epiphany School of Global Studies	JV One	14	12	13	12	11	12	13	11	9	9	116	Jonathan Clubbs '25 [1-6, 9-10] Emma French '26 [7-8] Emma French '26 [1-4, 9-10] Andrew Connolly '27 [5-8]
Ft. Walton Beach High School	Vikings	13	14	12	14	14	14	14	14	13	14	136	Olin Wolfgram '22 Cole Rewis '26

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.080+0.08

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A
Academy of Notre Dame Irish	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Ben Franklin High School Falcons	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
Clear Lake High School Falcons	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
Epiphany School of Global Studies JV One	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
Evanston Township HS Wildkits	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17	19	19
Ft. Walton Beach High School Vikings	13	13	15	15	17	17	19	19	21	21
Guilford High School Grizzlies	15	15	17	17	19	19	21	21	23	23
Holland Christian High School Maroon	17	17	19	19	21	21	23	23	25	25
Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays	19	19	21	21	23	23	25	25	27	27
John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity	21	21	23	23	25	25	27	27	1	1
Mount Carmel Academy CUBS	23	23	25	25	27	27	1	1	3	3
St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans	25	25	27	27	1	1	3	3	5	5
Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws	27	27	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Academy of Notre Dame	Irish	Ava Del Vescovo '23	Ellie Pinto '23
Ben Franklin High School	Falcons	Harriss Thorne '23	Sahana Jaligam '22
Clear Lake High School	Falcons	Matias Martin '23	Jack Cronan '25
Epiphany School of Global Studies	JV One	Jonathan Clubbs '25 [1-6, 9-10] Emma French '26 [7-8]	Emma French '26 [1-4, 9-10] Andrew Connolly '27 [5-8]
Evanston Township HS	Wildkits	Charlie Herrick '22	Tyler Knohl '22
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	Tyler Nash '23 [1-10]	Ryan Voytas '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Tate Theordorson '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Ft. Walton Beach High School	Vikings	Olin Wolfgram '22	Cole Rewis '26
Guilford High School	Grizzlies	Danny Uzzo '24	Jack Creamer '22
Holland Christian High School	Maroon	Greta Traver '23	Amelia Traver '24
Jesuit High School, NOLA	Blue Jays	Caleb Keister '22 [1-2] Connor Fanberg '26 [3-8] Aidan Mckoin '26 [9-10]	R.Ellis Beasley '22 [1-2] Aidan Mckoin '26 [3-8] Caleb Keister '22 [9-10]
John T. Hoggard High School	Vikings Varsity	Tavia Smith '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Francis (Mac) Humphrey '22 [3-4, 7-8]	Andrew Simpson '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Jane Wright '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Mount Carmel Academy	CUBS	Kate Gibbons '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Emory Friend '22 [3-4, 7-8]	Georgia Gibbons '26 [1-2, 7-8] Kate Gibbons '23 [3-4] Molly Lagarde '24 [5-6, 9-10]
Saint Stanislaus	Rock-A-Chaws	Devon Long '24	Ruston Breisacher '24
St. Paul Academy (MN)	Spartans	Wyatt Tait '23	Lorenzo Good '25

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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ISSA Great Oaks Invitational Red

Division A

From the notes