Lots of Work then Sail Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Pumpkins 13 13
2 Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 16 16
3 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Red 16 16
4 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 19 19
5 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons 37 37
6 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Gold 43 43
7 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 46 46
8 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Blue 48 48
9 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Ghost 53 53
10 Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Black 57 57
11 Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange 61 61
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Pumpkins 2 4 1 2 2 2 13 Cameron Rocco '24
Alex Wszolek '25
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 1 2 3 3 3 4 16 Liam Dowling '24
Gabe Morreale '24
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Red 4 3 4 1 1 3 16 Maya Nagy '26
Jacob Ritter '24
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 6 1 2 5 4 1 19 Ian Phipps '25
Dorian Ferguson '26
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons 5 8 6 4 6 8 37 Levi Citron '26
Arda Sarioglu '27
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Gold DNS 7 5 6 7 6 43 Andrew Wiand '25
Bryan Lu '25
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 10 9 9 8 5 5 46 Alexandra Hafley '23
Amina Thompson '23
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Blue 7 10 8 7 9 7 48 Himani Yarlagadda '23
Siri Atluri '24
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Ghost 9 11 7 9 8 9 53 Nadiyah Tarver '26
Cameron Briggs '24
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Black 3 6 DNS DNS DNS DNS 57 Pascual Noriega '25
Diego Esquer '26
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange 8 5 DNS DNS DNS DNS 61 Isabella Elzon '27
Brianna Briggs '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange777777
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue121212121212
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Blue999999
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Gold111111111111
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Ghost151515151515
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Mixed Pumpkins333333
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons888888
Everest Collegiate High School & AcademyEverest Collegiate High School & Academy Black222222
Mercy University of Detroit JesuitMercy University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ141414141414
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Red111111
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Green181818181818
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange Isabella Elzon '27 Brianna Briggs '25
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue Alexandra Hafley '23 Amina Thompson '23
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Blue Himani Yarlagadda '23 Siri Atluri '24
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Gold Andrew Wiand '25 Bryan Lu '25
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Ghost Nadiyah Tarver '26 Cameron Briggs '24
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Pumpkins Cameron Rocco '24 Alex Wszolek '25
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons Levi Citron '26 Arda Sarioglu '27
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Black Pascual Noriega '25 Diego Esquer '26
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ Liam Dowling '24 Gabe Morreale '24
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Red Maya Nagy '26 Jacob Ritter '24
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green Ian Phipps '25 Dorian Ferguson '26

Conditions — 10/09/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1015.0 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From SSW (202°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine8.3 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1015.0 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day/Troy: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.24 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.23
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.88 ± 0.37)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day/Troy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Detroit Country Day/Troy: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →