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MISSA Ohio Great Lakes Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 15 19 34
2 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 30 24 54
3 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 61 30 91
4 New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 38 66 104
5 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 65 44 109
6 Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Pioneers 43 77 120
7 St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Eagles 44 90 134
8 Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Warriors 81 59 140
9 Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Varsity 79 67 146
10 Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Bears 95 74 169
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 3 2 1 15 Jack Vanderhorst '22 [1-10]
Ashley Almquist '22 [1-8]
Noah Scholtz '25 [9-10]
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 3 1 2 6 5 3 2 1 4 3 30 Eric Pohl '22 [1-10]
Charles Pohl '22 [1-6]
Gavin Hirz '22 [7-10]
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 2 3 3 2 2 5 5 7 5 4 38 Beylan Gode '25 [1-10]
Bobby Ream '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Lily Broklof '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Pioneers 5 7 4 5 4 6 3 4 3 2 43 Mason Shaw '22
Kaden Mcclary '24
St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Eagles 4 5 6 3 6 1 4 2 7 6 44 Charles Schaffner '22
Brendan Callahan '25
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 6 8 8 9 3 7 7 5 1 7 61 Jacob Myers '24
Bill Lazzaro '22
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 7 6 7 4 9 4 6 6 OCS 5 65 Emerson Becker '24
Gavin Grundei '25
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Varsity 8 4 9 8 7 8 8 8 9 10 79 Collin Roberts '23
Liam Nelson '22
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Warriors 9 9 5 7 8 9 9 9 8 8 81 Fisher Howe '22
Alex Hedrick '24
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Bears 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 6 9 95 Elena Fernandez '23
Jacob Samerin '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 5 4 19 Jonathan Mack '22 [1-6]
Ellen Petrigan '22 [7-10]
Ella Adelman '22 [1-6]
Annika Vanderhorst '23 [7-8]
Kellie Keane '24 [9-10]
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 3 1 2 2 2 5 2 3 3 1 24 Adam Starck '25 [1-10]
Joe Lavelle '23 [1-6]
Brady Mayer '25 [7-10]
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 2 4 3 3 3 2 6 4 1 2 30 Buck Rathbun '24
Reese Levinson '25
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 5 3 5 5 5 7 4 1 4 5 44 Evelyn Hannah '24
Kai Ellsworth '25
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Warriors 4 9 10 4 9 3 3 8 6 3 59 Noah Olsen '22
Nick Hartshorn '25
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 6 7 7 8 4 4 7 7 10 6 66 Joey Weigand '22
Whit Romer '23
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Varsity 8 6 4 9 6 6 5 9 7 7 67 Sofia Ely '23
Roman Joseph '23
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Bears 7 8 6 7 10 10 8 6 2 10 74 Jenna Drobny '23
Max Son '23
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Pioneers 10 5 8 6 8 8 10 5 8 9 77 Bella Boetcher '25
Gavin Gaylor '25
St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Eagles 9 10 9 10 7 9 9 10 9 8 90 Max Movius '24
Benjamin Ross '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bay High SchoolBay High School Rockets114466881010
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks225577991111
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Varsity446688101011
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles557799111122
Olentangy Orange High SchoolOlentangy Orange High School Pioneers668810101144
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates779911112255
St. Edward High SchoolSt. Edward High School Eagles881010114466
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats991111225577
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Bears101011446688
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Warriors111122557799

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bay High SchoolBay High School Rockets12121414181820202222
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks13131515171719192121
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Varsity14141818202022221212
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles15151717191921211313
Olentangy Orange High SchoolOlentangy Orange High School Pioneers17171919212113131515
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates18182020222212121414
St. Edward High SchoolSt. Edward High School Eagles19192121131315151717
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats20202222121214141818
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Bears21211313151517171919
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Warriors22221212141418182020
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bay High School Bay High School Jack Vanderhorst '22 [1-10] Ashley Almquist '22 [1-8]
Noah Scholtz '25 [9-10]
Rockets Jonathan Mack '22 [1-6]
Ellen Petrigan '22 [7-10]		 Ella Adelman '22 [1-6]
Annika Vanderhorst '23 [7-8]
Kellie Keane '24 [9-10]
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Emerson Becker '24 Gavin Grundei '25
Rocks Evelyn Hannah '24 Kai Ellsworth '25
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Collin Roberts '23 Liam Nelson '22
Varsity Sofia Ely '23 Roman Joseph '23
New Albany High School New Albany High School Beylan Gode '25 [1-10] Bobby Ream '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Lily Broklof '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Eagles Joey Weigand '22 Whit Romer '23
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Mason Shaw '22 Kaden Mcclary '24
Pioneers Bella Boetcher '25 Gavin Gaylor '25
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Jacob Myers '24 Bill Lazzaro '22
Pirates Buck Rathbun '24 Reese Levinson '25
St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Charles Schaffner '22 Brendan Callahan '25
Eagles Max Movius '24 Benjamin Ross '25
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Eric Pohl '22 [1-10] Charles Pohl '22 [1-6]
Gavin Hirz '22 [7-10]
Wildcats Adam Starck '25 [1-10] Joe Lavelle '23 [1-6]
Brady Mayer '25 [7-10]
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Elena Fernandez '23 Jacob Samerin '23
Bears Jenna Drobny '23 Max Son '23
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Fisher Howe '22 Alex Hedrick '24
Warriors Noah Olsen '22 Nick Hartshorn '25

Conditions — 10/09/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1016.4 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.2 kn
Gusts to 13.8 kn
From S (184°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover52% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1016.4 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at New Albany/Olentangy Liberty/Olentangy Orange/Thomas Worthington/Westerville North: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Albany/Olentangy Liberty/Olentangy Orange/Thomas Worthington/Westerville North by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at New Albany/Olentangy Liberty/Olentangy Orange/Thomas Worthington/Westerville North, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →