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North Points #1 Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 15 22 37
2 Wando Wando Warriors 25 34 59
3 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 33 28 61
4 Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 33 43 76
5 Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 61 36 97
6 Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Beckham Bengals one 33 72 105
7 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 65 50 115
8 Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 87 39 126
9 John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 55 77 132
10 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 82 67 149
11 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 56 101 157
12 Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Falcons 84 75 159
13 Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 103 94 197
14 Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors 112 111 223
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 1 1 3 1 2 1 5 1 15 Bridget Monahan '22
Alex Patangan '23
Wando Wando Warriors 7 3 6 3 1 2 1 2 25 Zack Carvajal '22
Madeleine Harris '25
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 2 5 2 7 7 3 2 5 33 Carson Shaw '23
Bryson Eaton '24
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 4 2 1 10 3 5 4 4 33 Benjamin Smith '22 [1-8]
Merritt O'Brien '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Ray Mcdonald '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Beckham Bengals one 6 4 4 4 5 4 3 3 33 Walker Hussey '23
Addy Fisher '23
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 3 6 7 5 10 8 6 10 55 Thomas Mazzeo '22 [1-8]
Brad Campbell '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Caroline Gilmour '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 5 7 9 8 4 6 11 6 56 Lawton Harper '24 [1-8]
Elizabeth Hample '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Ada Comer '25 [3-4]
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 8 10 5 6 6 10 7 9 61 Scott Busey '23 [1-8]
Cohen Chesser '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Wyatt Hartigan '24 [3-4, 7-8]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 10 9 8 2 11 7 10 8 65 Francis (Mac) Humphrey '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Danny Diederich '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Olivia Burdette '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 9 8 10 11 8 12 12 12 82 Julia Boutet '23 [1-8]
Sarina Schmoyer '23 [1-2]
Kevin Foss '24 [3-6]
Sean Gorstayn '25 [7-8]
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Falcons 11 DNF 11 9 9 9 9 11 84 Rowan Barnes '23 [1-8]
Adelle Alexander '23 [1-6]
Reese Blackwell '24 [7-8]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 13 12 12 12 12 11 8 7 87 Ethan Waters '23 [1-4]
Sebastian Helgesen '23 [5, 8]
Eli Herndon '22 [6-7]
Sebastian Helgesen '23 [1-2, 6-7]
Eli Herndon '22 [3-5, 8]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 12 11 14 14 13 13 13 13 103 Ryan Pannenbacker '22 [1-8]
Luke Pannenbacker '25 [1-2, 5-6]
John Bellissimo '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors 14 13 13 13 14 DNF DSQ DSQ 112 Nash Allison '24 [1-5]
Hunter Ingersoll '23 [6-8]
Sydney Allison '22 [1-5]
Aj Boley '25 [6-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 1 1 1 1 DSQ 1 1 1 22 Mary Katherine Monahan '24
Davis Mclauchlin '24
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 2 2 5 4 4 5 2 4 28 Mason Baird '23
Owen Mckenzie '23
Wando Wando Warriors 7 3 7 2 1 7 4 3 34 William Hussey '22
Jack Delamater '22
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 4 4 3 3 6 2 5 9 36 Mcrae Busey '25 [1-8]
Julia Dinzelbacher '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Rohan Jones '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 3 5 2 5 8 6 3 7 39 Liam Kolkmeyer '23 [1-8]
Josh Spencer '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Collin Register '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 8 10 4 7 2 3 7 2 43 Polk Baggett '22 [1-8]
Ray Mcdonald '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Gavin Bahner '22 [3-4, 7-8]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity 6 7 6 8 5 4 6 8 50 Tavia Smith '23 [1-8]
Jane Wright '24 [1-2]
Andrew Simpson '23 [3-8]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 9 8 9 10 3 10 8 10 67 Sarina Schmoyer '23 [1-2]
Alessia Decamp '22 [3-8]
Kevin Foss '24 [1-2]
Sarina Schmoyer '23 [3-8]
Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Beckham Bengals one DNF 6 12 9 7 8 10 5 72 Maggie Hardie '23 [1-8]
Anthony Lattanzio '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Anna Pitcavage '25 [5-6]
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Falcons 5 11 8 6 10 12 11 12 75 Reece Brown '24 [1-8]
Cooper Denny '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Britton Davis '24 [5-6]
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 11 9 11 13 9 9 9 6 77 Matei Porcelli '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Daniel Nester '25 [5-6]
Daniel Nester '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Matei Porcelli '25 [5-6]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 10 13 10 12 11 13 12 13 94 Caroline Mautner '24 [1-8]
Cole Campbell '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Sean Gorstayn '25 [3-4]
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 12 12 14 14 12 11 DNF 11 101 Ty Osmond '23 [1-2, 5-8]
James Prutting '24 [3-4]
Caroline Uram '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Wyatt Mahoney '24 [3-4]
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors 13 14 13 11 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 111 Hunter Ingersoll '23 [1-5]
Nash Allison '24 [6-8]
Aj Boley '25 [1-5]
Sydney Allison '22 [6-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A66666666
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Falcons47634763476347634763476347634763
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny44444444
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity22222222
Episcopal School of JacksonvilleEpiscopal School of Jacksonville ESJ33333333
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity55555555
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity1212121212121212
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity11111111
John Paul II (SC)John Paul II (SC) Varsity77777777
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats99999999
Lucy Beckham High SchoolLucy Beckham High School Beckham Bengals one39073907390739073907390739073907
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity88888888
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors1010101010101010
WandoWando Warriors1111111111111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A66666666
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Falcons47634763476347634763476347634763
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny44444444
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity22222222
Episcopal School of JacksonvilleEpiscopal School of Jacksonville ESJ33333333
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity55555555
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity1212121212121212
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings Varsity11111111
John Paul II (SC)John Paul II (SC) Varsity77777777
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats99999999
Lucy Beckham High SchoolLucy Beckham High School Beckham Bengals one39073907390739073907390739073907
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity88888888
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors1010101010101010
WandoWando Warriors1111111111111111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Lawton Harper '24 [1-8] Elizabeth Hample '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Ada Comer '25 [3-4]
Raptors A Ty Osmond '23 [1-2, 5-8]
James Prutting '24 [3-4]		 Caroline Uram '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Wyatt Mahoney '24 [3-4]
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Rowan Barnes '23 [1-8] Adelle Alexander '23 [1-6]
Reese Blackwell '24 [7-8]
Falcons Reece Brown '24 [1-8] Cooper Denny '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Britton Davis '24 [5-6]
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bridget Monahan '22 Alex Patangan '23
Bishop Kenny Mary Katherine Monahan '24 Davis Mclauchlin '24
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy Benjamin Smith '22 [1-8] Merritt O'Brien '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Ray Mcdonald '25 [3-4, 7-8]
CFA Varsity Polk Baggett '22 [1-8] Ray Mcdonald '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Gavin Bahner '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville Scott Busey '23 [1-8] Cohen Chesser '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Wyatt Hartigan '24 [3-4, 7-8]
ESJ Mcrae Busey '25 [1-8] Julia Dinzelbacher '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Rohan Jones '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Ethan Waters '23 [1-4]
Sebastian Helgesen '23 [5, 8]
Eli Herndon '22 [6-7]		 Sebastian Helgesen '23 [1-2, 6-7]
Eli Herndon '22 [3-5, 8]
Varsity Liam Kolkmeyer '23 [1-8] Josh Spencer '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Collin Register '23 [3-4, 7-8]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Carson Shaw '23 Bryson Eaton '24
Varsity Mason Baird '23 Owen Mckenzie '23
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Thomas Mazzeo '22 [1-8] Brad Campbell '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Caroline Gilmour '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Varsity Matei Porcelli '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Daniel Nester '25 [5-6]		 Daniel Nester '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Matei Porcelli '25 [5-6]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Francis (Mac) Humphrey '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Danny Diederich '23 [3-4, 7-8]		 Olivia Burdette '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Vikings Varsity Tavia Smith '23 [1-8] Jane Wright '24 [1-2]
Andrew Simpson '23 [3-8]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Ryan Pannenbacker '22 [1-8] Luke Pannenbacker '25 [1-2, 5-6]
John Bellissimo '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Wildcats Caroline Mautner '24 [1-8] Cole Campbell '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Sean Gorstayn '25 [3-4]
Lucy Beckham High School Lucy Beckham High School Walker Hussey '23 Addy Fisher '23
Beckham Bengals one Maggie Hardie '23 [1-8] Anthony Lattanzio '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Anna Pitcavage '25 [5-6]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Julia Boutet '23 [1-8] Sarina Schmoyer '23 [1-2]
Kevin Foss '24 [3-6]
Sean Gorstayn '25 [7-8]
Varsity Sarina Schmoyer '23 [1-2]
Alessia Decamp '22 [3-8]		 Kevin Foss '24 [1-2]
Sarina Schmoyer '23 [3-8]
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Nash Allison '24 [1-5]
Hunter Ingersoll '23 [6-8]		 Sydney Allison '22 [1-5]
Aj Boley '25 [6-8]
Waccamaw Warriors Hunter Ingersoll '23 [1-5]
Nash Allison '24 [6-8]		 Aj Boley '25 [1-5]
Sydney Allison '22 [6-8]
Wando Wando Zack Carvajal '22 Madeleine Harris '25
Warriors William Hussey '22 Jack Delamater '22

Conditions — 09/11/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1023.4 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.7 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From SSW (197°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover30% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1023.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 7 kn · SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Pine Lake Prep: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pine Lake Prep by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Pine Lake Prep, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →