Wando High School '22
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.12 (fleet 1.82) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 2–9 (18%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2020 | 1 | 2–2 | — |
| Spring 2019 | 1 | 0–7 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (11 matches) the record is 2–9 against 3.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.8). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-29 | FYC Team Race Invitational | skipper | 1.04 | -0.28 | 2–2 | 2.8 | −1.33 | 0.6 | 94% |
| 2019-04-06 | SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifier | skipper | 0.89 | -2.11 | 0–7 | 1.0 | ≤−3.00 | 1.4 | >99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA Fleet Racing Championships | Skipper | B | 6 | 11.8 | — |
| North Points #6 (Varsity only) | Skipper | B | 9 | 3.1 | 2.27 |
| North Points #5 | Skipper | B | 5 | 3.8 | 0.87 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| NP #4 Sunbury | Skipper | B | 4 | 3.5 | 1.25 |
| North Points #1 Varsity | Skipper | B | 8 | 4.2 | — |
| CASSL Racing | Skipper | A | 4 | 7.8 | — |
| Spring 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Sunbury NP#3 | Skipper | A | 6 | 7.7 | — |
| NP #2 | Skipper | B | 3 | 2.0 | 2.51 |
| North Points #1 | Skipper | B | 6 | 1.7 | — |
| 2021 SAISA Mallory Qualifier | Skipper | B | 10 | 9.3 | — |
| Fall 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Charleston Area Scholastic Sailing #2 | Skipper | A | 12 | 4.8 | 1.44 |
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA North Points #5 | Skipper | B | 2 | 5.0 | 1.75 |
| FYC Team Race Invitational | Skipper | TR | 4 | 50% | — |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA North Points #2 | Skipper | B | 10 | 7.5 | — |
| SAISA Brunswick Open Regatta | Skipper | A | 9 | 2.1 | 2.49 |
| CofC Invitational | Skipper | B | 3 | 14.0 | -0.60 |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| SP 7 Varsity | Skipper | B | 2 | 19.5 | -0.94 |
| SAISA Mallory Fleet Race Qualifier | Skipper | B | 8 | 11.8 | -0.33 |
| SAISA Brunswick Open Regatta | Skipper | A | 3 | 1.0 | — |
| SAISA Baker Team Race Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 7 | 0% | — |
| North Points #6 Feb.23,2019 | Skipper | A | 2 | 6.5 | 1.46 |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA N. Points #2 | Skipper | B | 4 | 9.2 | — |
| North Points 3 | Skipper | B | 8 | 6.6 | 0.61 |
| 2019 Lake Mayer Open | Skipper | B | 8 | 2.2 | 2.09 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | William Hussey |  U. S. Merchant Marine Academy |
'26 |
| ISSA | William Hussey |  John Paul II (SC) |
'22 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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