SAISA North Points #5

HostThe Florida Yacht Club
Date02/01/2020
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Bishop Kenny High School - FL	Bishop Kenny	22	6	28
2	Wando High School	Wando Warriors	18	34	52
3	Beaufort High School	Varsity	24	31	55
4	Hough High School	Varsity	43	21	64
5	James Island Charter High School	Varsity	38	34	72
6	Episcopal School of Jacksonville	ESJ	61	32	93
7	Porter-Gaud School	Varsity	42	52	94
8	John Paul II (SC)	Varsity	45	53	98
9	Cape Fear Academy	CFA Varsity	20	87	107
10	Lake Norman High School	Wildcats	71	49	120
11	Pine Lake Prep	Varsity	59	64	123
12	The Walker School	Wolverines	42	86	128
13	Glynn Academy	Varsity	89	56	145
14	Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	75	74	149
15	Richmond Hill High School	Varsity	79	74	153
16	St. Vincent's Academy	Saints Varsity	100	69	169
17	North Atlanta High School	Warriors	100	105	205

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Wando High School	Wando Warriors	7	1	1	4	4	1	18	Zack Carvajal '22 Carter Durst '22
Cape Fear Academy	CFA Varsity	1	7	5	2	2	3	20	Benjamin Smith '22 Luke Novak '23
Bishop Kenny High School - FL	Bishop Kenny	3	9	2	3	3	2	22	William Weinbecker '21 Tia Schoening '22
Beaufort High School	Varsity	5	2	3	7	1	6	24	Clay Myers '21 Casey Hoogenboom '23
James Island Charter High School	Varsity	8	10	7	1	8	4	38	Carson Shaw '22 [1-6] Owen Mckenzie '23 [1-2] Camdyn Williams '21 [3-6]
The Walker School	Wolverines	6	3	9	12	7	5	42	Evie Blauvelt '21 Jack He '21
Porter-Gaud School	Varsity	11	4	4	6	6	11	42	Neil Walters '20 Lewis Bragg '21
Hough High School	Varsity	2	13	8	8	5	7	43	Evan West '22 Luca Van Der Schoot '22
John Paul II (SC)	Varsity	4	8	6	5	10	12	45	Thomas Mazzeo '22 Gigi Graziano '23
Pine Lake Prep	Varsity	13	5	10	9	9	13	59	Alli Volk '21 Sarina Schmoyer '23
Episcopal School of Jacksonville	ESJ	10	6	12	13	12	8	61	Chris Mccollum '20 [1-6] Julian Galpin '23 [1-2, 5-6] No Show [3-4]
Lake Norman High School	Wildcats	12	12	14	10	14	9	71	Evan Chenard '20 [1-2] Tyler Bland '21 [3-6] Bobby Missert '20 [1-2] Joe Nash '20 [3-6]
Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	DNF	14	11	11	11	10	75	Manning Unger '21 Kristen Cooper '21
Richmond Hill High School	Varsity	9	15	13	15	13	14	79	Andrew Foley '21 Augusta Rose '21
Glynn Academy	Varsity	OCS	11	16	14	15	15	89	Sebastian Helgesen '23 [1-2] Liam Kolkmeyer '23 [3-4] Ethan Waters '22 [5-6] Liam Kolkmeyer '23 [1-2] Ethan Waters '22 [3-4] Eli Herndon '22 [5-6]
North Atlanta High School	Warriors	OCS	17	15	16	17	17	100	Dennis Young '23 Trey Fox '23
St. Vincent's Academy	Saints Varsity	DNF	16	17	17	16	16	100	Cate Lamas '20 Tara Shea Ennis '20

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Bishop Kenny High School - FL	Bishop Kenny	1	1	1	1	1	1	6	Reedy Monahan '20 Bridget Monahan '22
Hough High School	Varsity	3	3	3	5	4	3	21	Sully O'Donnell '21 Holladay Crook '22
Beaufort High School	Varsity	7	4	5	11	2	2	31	Ian Hoogenboom '20 Brock Blonski '22
Episcopal School of Jacksonville	ESJ	2	2	2	8	7	11	32	Scott Busey '23 Cohen Chesser '23
Wando High School	Wando Warriors	5	11	4	4	6	4	34	Robert Silcox '21 [1-4] William Hussey '22 [5-6] Liam Marguglio '21 [1-4]
James Island Charter High School	Varsity	8	7	6	3	5	5	34	Jack Mckenzie '22 [1-2] Mason Baird '22 [3-6] William Rawlings '22 [1-2] Jack Mckenzie '22 [3-6]
Lake Norman High School	Wildcats	13	8	12	6	3	7	49	Chris Hartman '20 [1-6] Tyler Bland '21 [1-2] Bobby Missert '20 [3-6]
Porter-Gaud School	Varsity	6	12	11	7	10	6	52	Connor Marion '20 Edward Thompson '22
John Paul II (SC)	Varsity	4	9	DNF	2	8	12	53	Neil Bunce '21 Andrew Todesco '22
Glynn Academy	Varsity	15	5	7	9	11	9	56	Sarah Weese '20 Brooke Zell '20
Pine Lake Prep	Varsity	11	6	8	10	14	15	64	Caden Wilson '20 Hayden Sidak '21
St. Vincent's Academy	Saints Varsity	9	10	13	14	9	14	69	Megan Gladden '23 Taylor Mason '20
Richmond Hill High School	Varsity	10	13	10	15	DNF	8	74	Irene Petris '22 [1-6] John Michael Williams '23 [1-2, 5-6] Maddie Palmer '21 [3-4]
Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	12	16	9	12	15	10	74	Hammond Unger '23 Jack Houseal '23
The Walker School	Wolverines	14	14	14	13	13	DNF	86	Erika Kaczynski '20 Jordan Gomez '21
Cape Fear Academy	CFA Varsity	16	15	15	16	12	13	87	David Novak '20 William Lewis '21
North Atlanta High School	Warriors	DNF	17	16	DNS	DNF	DNF	105	Roman Hoeflich '23 Wyly Wickland '23

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.150+0.15

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Academic Magnet High School Raptors A	1	1	3	3	5	5
Beaufort High School Varsity	2	2	4	4	6	6
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny	3	3	5	5	7	7
Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity	4	4	6	6	8	8
Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ	5	5	7	7	9	9
Glynn Academy Varsity	6	6	8	8	10	10
Hough High School Varsity	7	7	9	9	11	11
James Island Charter High School Varsity	8	8	10	10	12	12
John Paul II (SC) Varsity	9	9	11	11	13	13
Lake Norman High School Wildcats	10	10	12	12	14	14
North Atlanta High School Warriors	11	11	13	13	15	15
Pine Lake Prep Varsity	12	12	14	14	16	16
Porter-Gaud School Varsity	13	13	15	15	17	17
Richmond Hill High School Varsity	14	14	16	16	1	1
St. Vincent's Academy Saints Varsity	15	15	17	17	2	2
The Walker School Wolverines	16	16	1	1	3	3
Wando High School Wando Warriors	17	17	2	2	4	4

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Academic Magnet High School Raptors A	2	2	4	4	6	6
Beaufort High School Varsity	3	3	5	5	7	7
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny	4	4	6	6	8	8
Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity	5	5	7	7	9	9
Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ	6	6	8	8	10	10
Glynn Academy Varsity	7	7	9	9	11	11
Hough High School Varsity	8	8	10	10	12	12
James Island Charter High School Varsity	9	9	11	11	13	13
John Paul II (SC) Varsity	10	10	12	12	14	14
Lake Norman High School Wildcats	11	11	13	13	15	15
North Atlanta High School Warriors	12	12	14	14	16	16
Pine Lake Prep Varsity	13	13	15	15	17	17
Porter-Gaud School Varsity	14	14	16	16	1	1
Richmond Hill High School Varsity	15	15	17	17	2	2
St. Vincent's Academy Saints Varsity	16	16	1	1	3	3
The Walker School Wolverines	17	17	2	2	4	4
Wando High School Wando Warriors	1	1	3	3	5	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Academic Magnet High School	Manning Unger '21	Kristen Cooper '21
Raptors A	Hammond Unger '23	Jack Houseal '23
Beaufort High School	Clay Myers '21	Casey Hoogenboom '23
Varsity	Ian Hoogenboom '20	Brock Blonski '22
Bishop Kenny High School - FL	William Weinbecker '21	Tia Schoening '22
Bishop Kenny	Reedy Monahan '20	Bridget Monahan '22
Cape Fear Academy	Benjamin Smith '22	Luke Novak '23
CFA Varsity	David Novak '20	William Lewis '21
Episcopal School of Jacksonville	Chris Mccollum '20 [1-6]	Julian Galpin '23 [1-2, 5-6] No Show [3-4]
ESJ	Scott Busey '23	Cohen Chesser '23
Glynn Academy	Sebastian Helgesen '23 [1-2] Liam Kolkmeyer '23 [3-4] Ethan Waters '22 [5-6]	Liam Kolkmeyer '23 [1-2] Ethan Waters '22 [3-4] Eli Herndon '22 [5-6]
Varsity	Sarah Weese '20	Brooke Zell '20
Hough High School	Evan West '22	Luca Van Der Schoot '22
Varsity	Sully O'Donnell '21	Holladay Crook '22
James Island Charter High School	Carson Shaw '22 [1-6]	Owen Mckenzie '23 [1-2] Camdyn Williams '21 [3-6]
Varsity	Jack Mckenzie '22 [1-2] Mason Baird '22 [3-6]	William Rawlings '22 [1-2] Jack Mckenzie '22 [3-6]
John Paul II (SC)	Thomas Mazzeo '22	Gigi Graziano '23
Varsity	Neil Bunce '21	Andrew Todesco '22
Lake Norman High School	Evan Chenard '20 [1-2] Tyler Bland '21 [3-6]	Bobby Missert '20 [1-2] Joe Nash '20 [3-6]
Wildcats	Chris Hartman '20 [1-6]	Tyler Bland '21 [1-2] Bobby Missert '20 [3-6]
North Atlanta High School	Dennis Young '23	Trey Fox '23
Warriors	Roman Hoeflich '23	Wyly Wickland '23
Pine Lake Prep	Alli Volk '21	Sarina Schmoyer '23
Varsity	Caden Wilson '20	Hayden Sidak '21
Porter-Gaud School	Neil Walters '20	Lewis Bragg '21
Varsity	Connor Marion '20	Edward Thompson '22
Richmond Hill High School	Andrew Foley '21	Augusta Rose '21
Varsity	Irene Petris '22 [1-6]	John Michael Williams '23 [1-2, 5-6] Maddie Palmer '21 [3-4]
St. Vincent's Academy	Cate Lamas '20	Tara Shea Ennis '20
Saints Varsity	Megan Gladden '23	Taylor Mason '20
The Walker School	Evie Blauvelt '21	Jack He '21
Wolverines	Erika Kaczynski '20	Jordan Gomez '21
Wando High School	Zack Carvajal '22	Carter Durst '22
Wando Warriors	Robert Silcox '21 [1-4] William Hussey '22 [5-6]	Liam Marguglio '21 [1-4]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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SAISA North Points #5

Division A

Division B

From the notes