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2021 SAISA Mallory Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 38 61 99
2 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 62 53 115
3 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 80 56 136
4 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 119 77 196
5 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 91 113 204
6 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 108 113 221
7 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 124 98 222
8 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 151 105 256
9 Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 115 146 261
10 Wando Wando Wando Warriors 115 161 276
11 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 176 181 357
12 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 185 180 365
13 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 189 186 375
14 Hough High School Hough High School Varsity 206 202 408
15 John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 213 196 409
16 Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 206 260 466
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 3 2 7 1 1 1 1 3 1 5 1 3 1 3 1 4 38 Rayne Duff '21 [1-16]
Savannah Young '21 [1-13]
Megan Cassidy '22 [14-16]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 4 1 1 8 4 2 5 6 10 1 3 8 2 1 5 1 62 Justin Callahan '22 [1-16]
Danny Rianno '23 [1-9]
Brianna Ross '22 [10-16]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 4 6 2 7 8 2 4 9 2 6 4 8 8 3 6 80 Stephan Baker '22 [1-9]
Javier Garcon '21 [10-16]
Livia Herman '22 [1-5]
Nicolas Echarte '21 [6-9]
Lucas Vianna '21 [10-16]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 12 5 9 6 5 7 4 5 2 7 13 2 5 2 2 5 91 Daniel Hughes '21
Madeline Hughes '22
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 2 13 5 9 OCS 3 8 1 4 10 5 1 7 4 DNF 2 108 Guthrie Braun '22 [1-16]
Thomas Cura '21 [1-7, 10-16]
Heidi Hicks '21 [8-9]
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 6 7 2 4 2 9 10 7 3 6 7 13 4 12 9 14 115 Zack Carvajal '22 [1-16]
Carter Durst '22 [1-5, 10-15]
Ian Bosse '21 [6-9, 16]
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 15 8 3 15 9 4 3 2 8 12 9 10 3 7 4 3 115 Bryce Tone '21
Sam Wright '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 5 11 13 5 6 5 7 8 6 9 8 7 9 6 6 8 119 Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21 [1-16]
Sophia St. Romain '22 [1-4, 10-11]
Kevin Gosselin '23 [5-9, 12-16]
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 7 3 10 3 3 12 12 10 7 4 2 6 BKD 11 11 15 124 William Weinbecker '21 [1-16]
Maggie Mclauchlin '21 [1-7]
Alex Patangan '23 [8-15]
Jonah Brewer '21 [16]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 14 9 15 12 OCS 6 6 9 5 13 4 5 6 10 8 12 151 Emily Allen '21 [1-16]
Sidney Moyer '23 [1-9, 12-16]
Dorothy Mendelblatt '24 [10-11]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 16 6 12 14 OCS 11 13 13 12 8 16 9 10 5 7 7 176 Reid Nelson '23 [1-16]
Johnathan Pittman '22 [1-4, 10-16]
Garrett Brooks '22 [5-9]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 13 15 11 11 13 13 9 11 11 3 14 11 11 15 15 9 185 Carson Shaw '22 [1-16]
Camdyn Williams '21 [1-4, 10-11]
William Rawlings '22 [5-9, 12-16]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 8 14 8 7 8 14 11 12 14 14 15 12 14 13 12 13 189 Jacob Usher '21
Andrew Simpson '23
Hough High School Hough High School Varsity 9 10 16 16 10 10 14 14 13 15 12 DSQ 12 9 13 16 206 Evan West '22 [1-4, 10-16]
John Polek '22 [5-9]
Luca Van Der Schoot '22 [1-4]
Evan West '22 [5-9]
John Polek '22 [10-16]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 11 12 4 13 11 16 16 DNF DNS 11 11 15 13 14 14 11 206 Clay Myers '21
Abbie Pollitzer '21
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 10 16 14 10 12 15 15 15 15 16 10 14 15 16 10 10 213 Thomas Mazzeo '22
Caroline Gilmour '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 2 9 2 1 4 2 5 4 3 5 3 3 5 1 1 3 53 Mitchell Callahan '22 [1-16]
Brianna Ross '22 [1-9]
Danny Rianno '23 [10-16]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 2 1 2 5 10 4 2 1 3 2 1 4 10 4 4 56 Liam O'Keefe '21 [1-16]
Hannah Bast '21 [1-4, 10-15]
Adam Kaplan '21 [5-9]
Nicolas Echarte '21 [16]
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 5 1 3 3 1 5 1 3 5 4 1 5 OCS 3 2 2 61 Mia Nicolosi '21 [1-4, 10-13]
Mateo Di Blasi '21 [5-9, 14-16]
Katherine Majette '23 [1-4, 10-13]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 6 3 5 4 6 4 3 5 4 11 4 4 3 4 6 5 77 Jack Redmond '22 [1-16]
Mary Dwyer '23 [1-4]
Garrett Dixon '21 [5-9, 14-16]
Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23 [10-13]
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 9 5 10 5 2 7 7 13 6 1 7 2 2 5 9 8 98 Bridget Monahan '22 [1-16]
Tia Schoening '22 [1-4, 10-15]
Charlie Lawrence '22 [5-9]
Luke Gould '21 [16]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 3 8 8 6 9 9 8 6 9 9 6 13 1 2 7 1 105 Bella Shakespeare '23 [1-16]
Dorothy Mendelblatt '24 [1-3]
Travis Brackin '23 [4-16]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 4 6 4 9 7 6 11 11 11 2 10 6 11 6 3 6 113 Cort Snyder '23 [1-16]
Abigail Sharp '22 [1-4]
Jonas Carvalho '23 [5-16]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 7 7 15 10 3 3 2 1 2 15 5 9 9 13 5 7 113 Ethan Danielson '22 [1-16]
Kate Danielson '24 [1-9]
Andrew Tang '22 [10-15]
Heidi Hicks '21 [16]
Manatee High School Manatee High School Hurricanes 12 11 13 15 8 1 6 7 8 7 11 10 10 9 8 10 146 Nick Dewitt '22
Matthew Mackin '21
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 14 12 9 11 12 8 9 8 12 8 14 7 8 7 10 12 161 Robert Silcox '21 [1-4, 10-11]
William Hussey '22 [5-9, 12-16]
Tyler Payzant '21 [1-4, 10-15]
Laura Johnston '21 [5-6]
Jack Delamater '22 [7-9, 16]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 8 10 11 12 11 13 RAF 9 7 6 12 15 6 14 15 14 180 Mason Baird '22 [1-13]
Jack Mckenzie '22 [14-16]
Bryson Eaton '24 [1-4]
Owen Mckenzie '23 [5-7]
Mcgill Woodward '21 [8-9, 14-16]
Cari Staples '21 [10-11]
Jack Mckenzie '22 [12-13]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 11 4 14 7 15 12 10 12 13 12 13 11 7 15 12 13 181 Julia Conneely '22 [1-9, 12-15]
Garrett Brooks '22 [10-11, 16]
Alexandra Crow '22 [1-9, 12-16]
Madison Roy '22 [10-11]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 13 13 6 13 10 DNF BKD 10 10 14 9 8 14 12 14 11 186 Tavia Smith '23 [1-4, 13-16]
Francis (Mac) Humphrey '22 [5-12]
Jane Wright '24 [1-4, 9-12]
Jamie Keener '22 [5-8, 13-16]
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 15 15 7 14 13 14 DNS 14 14 10 8 14 13 8 11 9 196 Neil Bunce '21
Andrew Todesco '22
Hough High School Hough High School Varsity 10 14 12 8 14 11 12 15 15 13 15 12 12 11 13 15 202 Sully O'Donnell '21 [1-16]
Sims Whalen '21 [1-9, 12-13]
Luca Van Der Schoot '22 [10-11, 14-16]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 16 16 16 16 DNF RAF DNF DNS DNS 16 16 16 15 16 16 16 260 Court Martin '21
Brock Blonski '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes1111111111111111
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity2222222222222222
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny3333333333333333
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders4444444444444444
Hough High SchoolHough High School Varsity6666666666666666
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions7777777777777777
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity17171717171717171717171717171717
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Hoggard10101010101010101010101010101010
John Paul II (SC)John Paul II (SC) Varsity9999999999999999
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes11111111111111111111111111111111
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers5555555555555555
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders12121212121212121212121212121212
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders15151515151515151515151515151515
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers13131313131313131313131313131313
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils14141414141414141414141414141414
WandoWando Wando Warriors16161616161616161616161616161616

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes1111111111111111
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity2222222222222222
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny3333333333333333
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders4444444444444444
Hough High SchoolHough High School Varsity6666666666666666
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions7777777777777777
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity17171717171717171717171717171717
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Hoggard10101010101010101010101010101010
John Paul II (SC)John Paul II (SC) Varsity9999999999999999
Manatee High SchoolManatee High School Hurricanes11111111111111111111111111111111
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers5555555555555555
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders12121212121212121212121212121212
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders15151515151515151515151515151515
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers13131313131313131313131313131313
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils14141414141414141414141414141414
WandoWando Wando Warriors16161616161616161616161616161616
School / Team SkipperCrew
Antilles School Antilles School Rayne Duff '21 [1-16] Savannah Young '21 [1-13]
Megan Cassidy '22 [14-16]
Hurricanes Mia Nicolosi '21 [1-4, 10-13]
Mateo Di Blasi '21 [5-9, 14-16]		 Katherine Majette '23 [1-4, 10-13]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Clay Myers '21 Abbie Pollitzer '21
Varsity Court Martin '21 Brock Blonski '22
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL William Weinbecker '21 [1-16] Maggie Mclauchlin '21 [1-7]
Alex Patangan '23 [8-15]
Jonah Brewer '21 [16]
Bishop Kenny Bridget Monahan '22 [1-16] Tia Schoening '22 [1-4, 10-15]
Charlie Lawrence '22 [5-9]
Luke Gould '21 [16]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Daniel Hughes '21 Madeline Hughes '22
Raiders Cort Snyder '23 [1-16] Abigail Sharp '22 [1-4]
Jonas Carvalho '23 [5-16]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Reid Nelson '23 [1-16] Johnathan Pittman '22 [1-4, 10-16]
Garrett Brooks '22 [5-9]
Panthers Julia Conneely '22 [1-9, 12-15]
Garrett Brooks '22 [10-11, 16]		 Alexandra Crow '22 [1-9, 12-16]
Madison Roy '22 [10-11]
Hough High School Hough High School Evan West '22 [1-4, 10-16]
John Polek '22 [5-9]		 Luca Van Der Schoot '22 [1-4]
Evan West '22 [5-9]
John Polek '22 [10-16]
Varsity Sully O'Donnell '21 [1-16] Sims Whalen '21 [1-9, 12-13]
Luca Van Der Schoot '22 [10-11, 14-16]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Justin Callahan '22 [1-16] Danny Rianno '23 [1-9]
Brianna Ross '22 [10-16]
Royal Lions Mitchell Callahan '22 [1-16] Brianna Ross '22 [1-9]
Danny Rianno '23 [10-16]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Carson Shaw '22 [1-16] Camdyn Williams '21 [1-4, 10-11]
William Rawlings '22 [5-9, 12-16]
Varsity Mason Baird '22 [1-13]
Jack Mckenzie '22 [14-16]		 Bryson Eaton '24 [1-4]
Owen Mckenzie '23 [5-7]
Mcgill Woodward '21 [8-9, 14-16]
Cari Staples '21 [10-11]
Jack Mckenzie '22 [12-13]
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Thomas Mazzeo '22 Caroline Gilmour '22
Varsity Neil Bunce '21 Andrew Todesco '22
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Jacob Usher '21 Andrew Simpson '23
Hoggard Tavia Smith '23 [1-4, 13-16]
Francis (Mac) Humphrey '22 [5-12]		 Jane Wright '24 [1-4, 9-12]
Jamie Keener '22 [5-8, 13-16]
Manatee High School Manatee High School Bryce Tone '21 Sam Wright '22
Hurricanes Nick Dewitt '22 Matthew Mackin '21
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Stephan Baker '22 [1-9]
Javier Garcon '21 [10-16]		 Livia Herman '22 [1-5]
Nicolas Echarte '21 [6-9]
Lucas Vianna '21 [10-16]
Raiders Liam O'Keefe '21 [1-16] Hannah Bast '21 [1-4, 10-15]
Adam Kaplan '21 [5-9]
Nicolas Echarte '21 [16]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Guthrie Braun '22 [1-16] Thomas Cura '21 [1-7, 10-16]
Heidi Hicks '21 [8-9]
Chargers Ethan Danielson '22 [1-16] Kate Danielson '24 [1-9]
Andrew Tang '22 [10-15]
Heidi Hicks '21 [16]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Emily Allen '21 [1-16] Sidney Moyer '23 [1-9, 12-16]
Dorothy Mendelblatt '24 [10-11]
Green Devils Bella Shakespeare '23 [1-16] Dorothy Mendelblatt '24 [1-3]
Travis Brackin '23 [4-16]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21 [1-16] Sophia St. Romain '22 [1-4, 10-11]
Kevin Gosselin '23 [5-9, 12-16]
Raiders Jack Redmond '22 [1-16] Mary Dwyer '23 [1-4]
Garrett Dixon '21 [5-9, 14-16]
Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23 [10-13]
Wando Wando Zack Carvajal '22 [1-16] Carter Durst '22 [1-5, 10-15]
Ian Bosse '21 [6-9, 16]
Wando Warriors Robert Silcox '21 [1-4, 10-11]
William Hussey '22 [5-9, 12-16]		 Tyler Payzant '21 [1-4, 10-15]
Laura Johnston '21 [5-6]
Jack Delamater '22 [7-9, 16]

Conditions — 05/08/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 39%  ·  Pressure 1018.9 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 10.5 kn
Gusts to 19.8 kn
From WSW (257°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover4% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity39% Pressure1018.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn* · S 12 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at College of Charleston: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at College of Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at College of Charleston, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →