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SAISA North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 50 35 85
2 Wando Wando Wando Warriors 34 94 128
3 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 99 38 137
4 Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 70 88 158
5 Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 92 66 158
6 John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 91 77 168
7 Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 63 118 181
8 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 108 77 185
9 Hough High School Hough High School Varsity 123 69 192
10 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 139 63 202
11 Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 91 132 223
12 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 121 107 228
13 Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 80 165 245
14 The Walker School The Walker School Wolverines 79 167 246
15 Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 149 108 257
16 Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 172 118 290
17 AC Reynolds AC Reynolds Rockets 140 166 306
18 Southlake Christian Academy Southlake Christian Academy Southlake 173 190 363
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 2 1 14 1 1 7 1 1 1 3 2 34 Zack Carvajal '22
Tyler Payzant '21
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 3 4 10 10 2 4 7 2 2 1 5 50 William Weinbecker '21
Maggie Mclauchlin '21
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 1 8 18 2 3 6 8 3 3 7 4 63 Clay Myers '21
Abbie Pollitzer '21
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 9 6 1 8 4 OCS 2 5 5 5 6 70 Benjamin Smith '22 [1-11]
David Novak '20 [1-8, 11]
Wenbo (Jerry) Zhou '22 [9-10]
The Walker School The Walker School Wolverines 7 5 15 7 5 3 3 6 12 15 1 79 Evie Blauvelt '21
Jack He '21
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 4 2 8 16 7 5 9 4 6 6 13 80 Chris Mccollum '20
Wyatt Hartigan '24
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 5 9 2 5 8 8 4 10 8 14 18 91 Thomas Mazzeo '22 [1-11]
Cadden Mahoney '21 [1-4]
Andrew Todesco '22 [5-11]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 13 15 5 4 6 2 11 8 9 9 9 91 Neil Walters '20
Lewis Bragg '21
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 14 7 11 6 9 1 5 14 11 4 10 92 Evan Chenard '20 [1-11]
Annie Thompson '20 [1-2]
Bobby Missert '20 [3-6, 9-11]
Joe Nash '20 [7-8]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 6 12 9 12 13 BKD 6 17 10 2 3 99 Jacob Usher '21
Kellen Donlon '22
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 10 11 4 11 17 13 10 9 4 8 11 108 Carson Shaw '22 [1-6, 9-11]
Mason Baird '22 [7-8]
Camdyn Williams '21 [1-4, 7-9]
Mason Baird '22 [5-6, 10-11]
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 15 3 3 17 11 10 12 7 14 13 16 121 Manning Unger '21 [1-11]
Cassie Brisbin '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Jack Houseal '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Hough High School Hough High School Varsity 11 10 7 9 10 15 13 16 7 10 15 123 Sully O'Donnell '21 [1-5, 7-11]
Holladay Crook '22 [6]
Holladay Crook '22 [1-5, 7-11]
Sully O'Donnell '21 [6]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 16 16 17 3 12 9 16 15 17 11 7 139 Alli Volk '21
Sarina Schmoyer '23
AC Reynolds AC Reynolds Rockets 12 13 12 13 15 11 14 13 13 12 12 140 Cole Wise '20
Olivia Hennon '21
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 17 14 6 18 16 12 15 11 16 16 8 149 Brooke Zell '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Sarah Weese '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Eli Herndon '22 [9-10]
Sarah Weese '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Brooke Zell '20 [3-4]
Eli Herndon '22 [7-8, 11]
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 8 18 16 14 14 14 18 18 18 17 17 172 Sarah Cunningham '20 [1-6]
Jonah Daniels '25 [7-11]
Jonah Daniels '25 [1-6]
Sarah Cunningham '20 [7-11]
Southlake Christian Academy Southlake Christian Academy Southlake 18 17 13 15 18 16 17 12 15 18 14 173 John Polek '22
Kanna Gosh '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 5 3 1 1 2 10 1 1 5 1 5 35 Bridget Monahan '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Reedy Monahan '20 [3-6, 9-11]
Tia Schoening '22 [1-8]
Bridget Monahan '22 [9-11]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 1 9 7 2 3 3 3 5 2 2 1 38 Ben Usher '23
Andrew Simpson '23
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 4 8 2 3 1 1 9 9 12 8 6 63 Caden Wilson '20
Maddie Nusbaum '21
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 6 2 6 4 7 2 11 6 4 6 12 66 Tyler Bland '21
Chris Hartman '20
Hough High School Hough High School Varsity 2 1 4 5 11 4 10 15 9 5 3 69 Josh Merganthaler '21
Luca Van Der Schoot '22
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 3 4 10 8 4 9 12 4 1 3 DSQ 77 Jack Mckenzie '22
William Rawlings '22
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 7 16 5 10 6 5 8 11 3 4 2 77 Neil Bunce '21 [1-11]
Andrew Todesco '22 [1-4]
Cadden Mahoney '21 [5-11]
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 9 6 12 6 BKD 11 4 3 11 7 11 88 Polk Baggett '22 [1-11]
Gavin Bahner '22 [1-2, 5-8, 11]
Hayden Godusi '22 [3-4, 9-10]
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 15 12 3 7 5 7 6 2 7 11 DSQ 94 William Hussey '22
Liam Marguglio '21
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 13 5 8 9 8 12 5 8 10 16 13 107 Caelan Paquette '20 [1-11]
Kristen Cooper '21 [1-8, 11]
Jack Houseal '23 [9-10]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 10 7 9 13 10 8 13 14 6 10 8 108 Liam Kolkmeyer '23 [1, 3-4, 7-8]
Sebastian Helgesen '23 [2, 5-6, 9-11]
Sebastian Helgesen '23 [1, 7-8]
Liam Kolkmeyer '23 [2, 9-11]
Eli Herndon '22 [3-6]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 8 14 11 11 14 13 2 10 14 12 9 118 Thomas Gnann '20 [1-11]
Brock Blonski '22 [1-6, 11]
Court Martin '21 [7-10]
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 12 15 13 14 12 14 7 7 8 9 7 118 Irene Petris '22 [1-11]
Anthony Moore '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
John Michael Williams '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 14 10 RAF 12 9 6 15 12 13 18 4 132 Connor Marion '20 [1-11]
Fordham Smith '23 [1-6, 11]
Graham Cosby '22 [7-10]
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 16 17 15 17 13 16 14 16 18 13 10 165 Cross Thomas '23 [1-4, 7-11]
Julian Galpin '23 [5-6]
Cohen Chesser '23 [1-2, 5-8, 11]
Julian Galpin '23 [3-4, 9-10]
AC Reynolds AC Reynolds Rockets 17 11 14 15 15 15 16 17 16 15 15 166 Kevin Trebilcock '21
Caswell Kern '22
The Walker School The Walker School Wolverines 11 13 17 16 16 17 17 13 17 14 16 167 Erika Kaczynski '20
Jordan Gomez '21
Southlake Christian Academy Southlake Christian Academy Southlake 18 18 16 18 DNS DNS 18 18 15 17 14 190 Tucker Pugh '21
Nathaniel Cloutier '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
AC ReynoldsAC Reynolds Rockets11114040771212
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A44991010661
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity40407712122
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny9910106611
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity771212223
Episcopal School of JacksonvilleEpiscopal School of Jacksonville ESJ101066118
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity12122233
Hough High SchoolHough High School Varsity6611885
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity223311
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Hoggard2233111140
John Paul II (SC)John Paul II (SC) Varsity661188554
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats118855449
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity2233111140407
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity8855449910
Richmond Hill High SchoolRichmond Hill High School Varsity33111140407712
Southlake Christian AcademySouthlake Christian Academy Southlake885544991010
The Walker SchoolThe Walker School Wolverines11114040771212
WandoWando Wando Warriors55449910106

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
AC ReynoldsAC Reynolds Rockets44991010661
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A40407712122
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity9910106611
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny771212223
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity101066118
Episcopal School of JacksonvilleEpiscopal School of Jacksonville ESJ12122233
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity6611885
Hough High SchoolHough High School Varsity223311
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity661188554
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Hoggard118855449
John Paul II (SC)John Paul II (SC) Varsity2233111140
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats2233111140407
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity8855449910
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity33111140407712
Richmond Hill High SchoolRichmond Hill High School Varsity885544991010
Southlake Christian AcademySouthlake Christian Academy Southlake11114040771212
The Walker SchoolThe Walker School Wolverines55449910106
WandoWando Wando Warriors11114040771212
School / Team SkipperCrew
AC Reynolds AC Reynolds Cole Wise '20 Olivia Hennon '21
Rockets Kevin Trebilcock '21 Caswell Kern '22
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Manning Unger '21 [1-11] Cassie Brisbin '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-11]
Jack Houseal '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Raptors A Caelan Paquette '20 [1-11] Kristen Cooper '21 [1-8, 11]
Jack Houseal '23 [9-10]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Clay Myers '21 Abbie Pollitzer '21
Varsity Thomas Gnann '20 [1-11] Brock Blonski '22 [1-6, 11]
Court Martin '21 [7-10]
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL William Weinbecker '21 Maggie Mclauchlin '21
Bishop Kenny Bridget Monahan '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Reedy Monahan '20 [3-6, 9-11]		 Tia Schoening '22 [1-8]
Bridget Monahan '22 [9-11]
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy Benjamin Smith '22 [1-11] David Novak '20 [1-8, 11]
Wenbo (Jerry) Zhou '22 [9-10]
CFA Varsity Polk Baggett '22 [1-11] Gavin Bahner '22 [1-2, 5-8, 11]
Hayden Godusi '22 [3-4, 9-10]
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville Chris Mccollum '20 Wyatt Hartigan '24
ESJ Cross Thomas '23 [1-4, 7-11]
Julian Galpin '23 [5-6]		 Cohen Chesser '23 [1-2, 5-8, 11]
Julian Galpin '23 [3-4, 9-10]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Brooke Zell '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Sarah Weese '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Eli Herndon '22 [9-10]		 Sarah Weese '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Brooke Zell '20 [3-4]
Eli Herndon '22 [7-8, 11]
Varsity Liam Kolkmeyer '23 [1, 3-4, 7-8]
Sebastian Helgesen '23 [2, 5-6, 9-11]		 Sebastian Helgesen '23 [1, 7-8]
Liam Kolkmeyer '23 [2, 9-11]
Eli Herndon '22 [3-6]
Hough High School Hough High School Sully O'Donnell '21 [1-5, 7-11]
Holladay Crook '22 [6]		 Holladay Crook '22 [1-5, 7-11]
Sully O'Donnell '21 [6]
Varsity Josh Merganthaler '21 Luca Van Der Schoot '22
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Carson Shaw '22 [1-6, 9-11]
Mason Baird '22 [7-8]		 Camdyn Williams '21 [1-4, 7-9]
Mason Baird '22 [5-6, 10-11]
Varsity Jack Mckenzie '22 William Rawlings '22
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Thomas Mazzeo '22 [1-11] Cadden Mahoney '21 [1-4]
Andrew Todesco '22 [5-11]
Varsity Neil Bunce '21 [1-11] Andrew Todesco '22 [1-4]
Cadden Mahoney '21 [5-11]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Jacob Usher '21 Kellen Donlon '22
Hoggard Ben Usher '23 Andrew Simpson '23
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Evan Chenard '20 [1-11] Annie Thompson '20 [1-2]
Bobby Missert '20 [3-6, 9-11]
Joe Nash '20 [7-8]
Wildcats Tyler Bland '21 Chris Hartman '20
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Alli Volk '21 Sarina Schmoyer '23
Varsity Caden Wilson '20 Maddie Nusbaum '21
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Neil Walters '20 Lewis Bragg '21
Varsity Connor Marion '20 [1-11] Fordham Smith '23 [1-6, 11]
Graham Cosby '22 [7-10]
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Sarah Cunningham '20 [1-6]
Jonah Daniels '25 [7-11]		 Jonah Daniels '25 [1-6]
Sarah Cunningham '20 [7-11]
Varsity Irene Petris '22 [1-11] Anthony Moore '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
John Michael Williams '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Southlake Christian Academy Southlake Christian Academy John Polek '22 Kanna Gosh '22
Southlake Tucker Pugh '21 Nathaniel Cloutier '22
The Walker School The Walker School Evie Blauvelt '21 Jack He '21
Wolverines Erika Kaczynski '20 Jordan Gomez '21
Wando Wando Zack Carvajal '22 Tyler Payzant '21
Wando Warriors William Hussey '22 Liam Marguglio '21

Conditions — 10/19/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1017.8 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.0 kn
avg  ·  max 4.3 kn
Gusts to 11.3 kn
From ESE (104°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine0.8 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1017.8 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn · N 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Pine Lake Prep: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pine Lake Prep by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Pine Lake Prep, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →