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SAISA N. Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 8 8 16
2 Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 13 13 26
3 John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 20 32 52
4 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 13 43 56
5 Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 31 26 57
6 Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 45 17 62
7 Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 17 50 67
8 Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 37 31 68
9 Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 46 30 76
10 Hough High School Hough High School Hough High School 35 47 82
11 Wando Wando Wando Warriors 52 37 89
12 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 43 47 90
13 Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 48 44 92
14 Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 48 44 92
15 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 62 37 99
16 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 58 41 99
17 Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 44 70 114
18 North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Warriors 47 70 117
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 2 3 2 1 8 William Weinbecker '21
Maggie Mclauchlin '21
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 1 2 3 7 13 Kenny Corsig '19 [1-4]
Adam Larson '19 [1-2]
Elinor Kelly '19 [3-4]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 4 4 1 4 13 Garrett Mergenthaler '19
Alli Volk '21
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity RDG RDG 4 5 17 Neil Walters '20
King Bland '19
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 3 9 5 3 20 Thomas Mazzeo '22 [1-4]
Luke Burton '22 [1, 4]
Jack Gigante '22 [2-3]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 10 10 9 2 31 Evan Chenard '20 [1-4]
Tyler Bland '21 [1-2]
Bobby Missert '20 [3-4]
Hough High School Hough High School Hough High School 6 7 8 14 35 Sully O'Donnell '21
Lance Hughes '20
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 9 5 12 11 37 Ian Hoogenboom '20
Abbie Pollitzer '21
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 13 8 10 12 43 Jacob Usher '21
Francis (Mac) Humphrey '22
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 8 6 14 16 44 Cohen Hughes '19 [1-4]
Jonah Daniels '25 [1-2, 4]
Elle Jacobsson '19 [3]
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity OCS 1 16 9 45 Benjamin Smith '22
David Novak '20
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 7 14 15 10 46 Sarah Weese '20
Brooke Zell '20
North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Warriors 11 11 7 18 47 Ethan Staats '20
Hansen Aluri '22
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 5 18 17 8 48 Erin O'Connor '20 [1-4]
Alissa Borkowski '22 [1-2]
Sky Massenet '19 [3]
Nicole Boyd '20 [4]
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 15 16 11 6 48 Julianna Skoglund '19
Briana Jennings '22
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 16 13 6 17 52 Luke Emerson '19 [1-2]
Zack Carvajal '22 [3-4]
Addison Terry '19 [1-2]
Lauren Creech '19 [3-4]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 17 15 13 13 58 Britton Durst '19 [1-2]
Carson Shaw '22 [3-4]
Camdyn Williams '21 [1-2]
Mcgill Woodward '21 [3-4]
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 12 17 18 15 62 Davis Leath '20 [1-2]
Clay Hershey '22 [3-4]
Cassie Brisbin '20 [1-2]
Will Muirhead '22 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 2 2 3 1 8 Reedy Monahan '20 [1-2]
Bridget Monahan '22 [3-4]
Ella Schoening '19 [1-2]
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 9 1 1 2 13 Adam Larson '19
Noah Carroll '19
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 3 7 2 5 17 Polk Baggett '22 [1-4]
Gavin Bahner '22 [1-2]
Kellen Donlon '22 [3-4]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 1 12 7 6 26 Chris Hartman '20
Tyler Bland '21
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 8 9 9 4 30 Christoph Tobler '20
Sophie Hidalgo '22
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 4 4 8 15 31 Clay Myers '21
Thomas Gnann '20
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 6 3 12 11 32 Neil Bunce '21 [1-4]
Alex Devonshire '22 [1-2]
Noah Schickler '21 [3-4]
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 10 15 4 8 37 Manning Unger '21
Lee Muirhead '20
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 13 5 5 14 37 William Hussey '22
Joseph Grech '21
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 11 11 10 9 41 Mason Baird '22 [1-4]
Mcgill Woodward '21 [1-2]
Andrew Shook '19 [3-4]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 14 10 6 13 43 Josh Mergenthaler '21 [1-4]
Maddie Nusbaum '21 [1-2]
Hayden Sidak '21 [3-4]
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 12 6 14 12 44 Sarah Marshall '21
Tatiana Jennings '22
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 17 8 16 3 44 Sanders Linker '19
Arianna Borkowski '20
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 5 13 13 16 47 Ella Deschamps '21 [1-4]
Taylor Sizemore '20 [1-2]
Nick Gallo '21 [3-4]
Hough High School Hough High School Hough High School 7 16 17 7 47 Evan West '22
Luca Van Der Schoot '22
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 15 14 11 10 50 Connor Marion '20 [1-4]
Morgan Macdonald '21 [1-2]
Harrison Pritchard '20 [3-4]
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 16 DNF 18 17 70 Joseph Lane '19 [1-2]
Sarah Cunningham '20 [3-4]
Sarah Cunningham '20 [1-2]
Patricia George '20 [3-4]
North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Warriors 18 DNF 15 18 70 Viren Aluri '21
Will Pratt '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A1122
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers2233
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity3344
Bishop England High SchoolBishop England High School Bishops4455
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny5566
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity6677
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity771818
Hough High SchoolHough High School Hough High School18181515
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity15151010
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Hoggard11111212
John Paul II (SC)John Paul II (SC) Varsity10101111
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats12121313
Myers Park High SchoolMyers Park High School Mustangs13131414
North Atlanta High SchoolNorth Atlanta High School Warriors141499
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity991616
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity16161717
Richmond Hill High SchoolRichmond Hill High School Varsity171788
WandoWando Wando Warriors8811

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A10101111
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers11111212
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity12121313
Bishop England High SchoolBishop England High School Bishops13131414
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny141499
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity991616
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity16161717
Hough High SchoolHough High School Hough High School171788
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity8811
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Hoggard2233
John Paul II (SC)John Paul II (SC) Varsity1122
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats3344
Myers Park High SchoolMyers Park High School Mustangs4455
North Atlanta High SchoolNorth Atlanta High School Warriors5566
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity6677
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity771818
Richmond Hill High SchoolRichmond Hill High School Varsity18181515
WandoWando Wando Warriors15151010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Davis Leath '20 [1-2]
Clay Hershey '22 [3-4]		 Cassie Brisbin '20 [1-2]
Will Muirhead '22 [3-4]
Raptors A Manning Unger '21 Lee Muirhead '20
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Julianna Skoglund '19 Briana Jennings '22
Panthers Sarah Marshall '21 Tatiana Jennings '22
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Ian Hoogenboom '20 Abbie Pollitzer '21
Varsity Clay Myers '21 Thomas Gnann '20
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Erin O'Connor '20 [1-4] Alissa Borkowski '22 [1-2]
Sky Massenet '19 [3]
Nicole Boyd '20 [4]
Bishops Sanders Linker '19 Arianna Borkowski '20
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL William Weinbecker '21 Maggie Mclauchlin '21
Bishop Kenny Reedy Monahan '20 [1-2]
Bridget Monahan '22 [3-4]		 Ella Schoening '19 [1-2]
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy Benjamin Smith '22 David Novak '20
CFA Varsity Polk Baggett '22 [1-4] Gavin Bahner '22 [1-2]
Kellen Donlon '22 [3-4]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Sarah Weese '20 Brooke Zell '20
Varsity Christoph Tobler '20 Sophie Hidalgo '22
Hough High School Hough High School Sully O'Donnell '21 Lance Hughes '20
Hough High School Evan West '22 Luca Van Der Schoot '22
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Britton Durst '19 [1-2]
Carson Shaw '22 [3-4]		 Camdyn Williams '21 [1-2]
Mcgill Woodward '21 [3-4]
Varsity Mason Baird '22 [1-4] Mcgill Woodward '21 [1-2]
Andrew Shook '19 [3-4]
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Thomas Mazzeo '22 [1-4] Luke Burton '22 [1, 4]
Jack Gigante '22 [2-3]
Varsity Neil Bunce '21 [1-4] Alex Devonshire '22 [1-2]
Noah Schickler '21 [3-4]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Jacob Usher '21 Francis (Mac) Humphrey '22
Hoggard Ella Deschamps '21 [1-4] Taylor Sizemore '20 [1-2]
Nick Gallo '21 [3-4]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Evan Chenard '20 [1-4] Tyler Bland '21 [1-2]
Bobby Missert '20 [3-4]
Wildcats Chris Hartman '20 Tyler Bland '21
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Kenny Corsig '19 [1-4] Adam Larson '19 [1-2]
Elinor Kelly '19 [3-4]
Mustangs Adam Larson '19 Noah Carroll '19
North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Ethan Staats '20 Hansen Aluri '22
Warriors Viren Aluri '21 Will Pratt '22
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Garrett Mergenthaler '19 Alli Volk '21
Varsity Josh Mergenthaler '21 [1-4] Maddie Nusbaum '21 [1-2]
Hayden Sidak '21 [3-4]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Neil Walters '20 King Bland '19
Varsity Connor Marion '20 [1-4] Morgan Macdonald '21 [1-2]
Harrison Pritchard '20 [3-4]
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Cohen Hughes '19 [1-4] Jonah Daniels '25 [1-2, 4]
Elle Jacobsson '19 [3]
Varsity Joseph Lane '19 [1-2]
Sarah Cunningham '20 [3-4]		 Sarah Cunningham '20 [1-2]
Patricia George '20 [3-4]
Wando Wando Luke Emerson '19 [1-2]
Zack Carvajal '22 [3-4]		 Addison Terry '19 [1-2]
Lauren Creech '19 [3-4]
Wando Warriors William Hussey '22 Joseph Grech '21

Conditions — 10/13/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1013.1 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From NW (317°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1013.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston Community Sailing and Carolina Yacht Club: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.53 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston Community Sailing and Carolina Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Charleston Community Sailing and Carolina Yacht Club: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →