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North Points #6 Feb.23,2019

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 32 33 65
2 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 57 16 73
3 The Walker School The Walker School Wolverines 52 29 81
4 Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 53 34 87
5 Oceanside Collegiate Academy Oceanside Collegiate Academy Landsharks 33 60 93
6 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 30 63 93
7 Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 36 58 94
8 Hough High School Hough High School Hough High School 51 44 95
9 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 71 24 95
10 John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 49 50 99
11 Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 68 45 113
12 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 55 75 130
13 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 69 66 135
14 Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 59 80 139
15 Richmond Hill Sailing Richmond Hill Sailing Varsity 73 83 156
16 Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 88 90 178
17 Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 99 81 180
18 Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 86 100 186
19 Southlake Christian Academy Southlake Christian Academy Southlake 92 113 205
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 9 2 1 BKD 5 8 30 Garrett Mergenthaler '19
Alli Volk '21
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity DSQ 1 3 1 4 3 32 Benjamin Smith '22
Kellen Donlon '22
Oceanside Collegiate Academy Oceanside Collegiate Academy Landsharks 4 11 7 4 3 4 33 Gavin Parker '22 [1-6]
Ashton Loring '22 [1-2]
Charlton Barttlett '22 [3-6]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 8 4 2 8 7 7 36 Clay Myers '21
Abbie Pollitzer '21
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 2 9 OCS 3 14 1 49 Thomas Mazzeo '22
Jack Gigante '22
Hough High School Hough High School Hough High School 7 6 OCS 7 6 5 51 Sully O'Donnell '21 [1-6]
Luca Van Der Schoot '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Samantha Martin '19 [3-4]
The Walker School The Walker School Wolverines 6 12 5 6 12 11 52 Evie Blauvelt '21
Erika Kaczynski '20
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 10 5 OCS 5 1 12 53 Zack Carvajal '22 [1-4]
William Hussey '22 [5-6]
Lauren Creech '19 [1-4]
Ian Bosse '21 [5-6]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 3 7 OCS 9 2 14 55 Jacob Usher '21
Bella Cankurtaran '20
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny RAF 3 9 2 10 13 57 Bridget Monahan '22
Patrick Patangan '20
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 1 10 11 18 9 10 59 Neil Walters '20 [1-6]
Lewis Bragg '21 [1-2]
Malcolm Mcalister '19 [3-4]
Graham Cosby '23 [5-6]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 5 14 OCS 16 11 2 68 Evan Chenard '20 [1-6]
Bobby Missert '20 [1-4]
Bryson Barron '19 [5-6]
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 11 8 4 14 17 15 69 Manning Unger '21 [1-6]
Carrie Metts '19 [1-4]
Macon Bauknight '21 [5-6]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 16 15 8 10 13 9 71 Megan Fetterley '19 [1-2]
Britton Durst '19 [3-4]
Carson Shaw '23 [5-6]
Camdyn Williams '21 [1-2]
Carson Shaw '23 [3-4]
Andrew Shook '19 [5-6]
Richmond Hill Sailing Richmond Hill Sailing Varsity 12 18 6 13 8 16 73 Cohen Hughes '19
Elle Jacobsson '19
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers OCS 13 OCS 12 15 6 86 Julianna Skoglund '19
Briana Jennings '22
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 14 16 10 11 19 18 88 Erin O'Connor '20
Arianna Borkowski '20
Southlake Christian Academy Southlake Christian Academy Southlake 13 17 12 17 16 17 92 John Polek '22
Kanna Gosh '22
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 15 19 13 15 18 19 99 Nikolas Mcgill '20 [1-6]
Zane Buchli '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Eli Herndon '22 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 1 5 1 1 4 4 16 Reedy Monahan '20
Joseph Bradley Iv '19
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 3 3 2 2 11 3 24 Mason Baird '23
Jack Mckenzie '23
The Walker School The Walker School Wolverines 10 2 3 8 5 1 29 Carlyn Blauvelt '19
Christine Adkins '19
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 2 1 13 4 6 7 33 Polk Baggett '22
David Novak '20
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 5 6 6 3 8 6 34 Heyward Main '19
Rosemary Delamater '20
Hough High School Hough High School Hough High School 8 10 12 5 1 8 44 Evan West '22 [1-6]
Holladay Crook '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Caroline Coke '21 [3-4]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 6 4 4 7 10 14 45 Chris Hartman '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Tyler Bland '21 [3-4]
Tyler Bland '21 [1-2]
Collin Flannery '19 [3-6]
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 7 8 5 10 9 11 50 Neil Bunce '21
Noah Schickler '21
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 4 12 7 13 7 15 58 Thomas Gnann '20 [1-6]
Brian Rogers '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Brock Blonski '22 [3-4]
Oceanside Collegiate Academy Oceanside Collegiate Academy Landsharks 14 7 15 17 2 5 60 Ashton Loring '22
Sean Kittrell '21
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity OCS 11 11 6 13 2 63 Josh Mergenthaler '21
Maddie Nusbaum '21
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 9 9 14 9 12 13 66 Clay Hershey '22 [1-2]
Caelan Paquette '20 [3-6]
Kristen Cooper '21 [1-2]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 16 17 9 11 3 19 75 Francis (Mac) Humphrey '22
Mairead Benson '22
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 11 16 17 12 14 10 80 Connor Marion '20 [1-6]
Graham Cosby '23 [1-4]
Lewis Bragg '21 [5-6]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 13 18 8 14 16 12 81 Sarah Weese '20 [1-4]
Eli Herndon '22 [5-6]
Sophie Hidalgo '23 [1-4]
Sarah Weese '20 [5-6]
Richmond Hill Sailing Richmond Hill Sailing Varsity 12 13 16 18 15 9 83 Sarah Cunningham '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jonah Daniels '25 [3-4]
Patricia George '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Anthony Moore '25 [3-4]
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 17 14 10 15 18 16 90 Sanders Linker '19 [1-2, 5]
James O'Connor '20 [3-4, 6]
Luke Oligino '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Finley Harris '20 [3-4]
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 15 15 19 16 17 18 100 Pearce Buxton '20
Tatiana Jennings '22
Southlake Christian Academy Southlake Christian Academy Southlake DNF DNF 18 19 19 17 113 Tucker Pugh '21
Nathaniel Cloutier '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A11151522
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers15152233
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity22331616
Bishop England High SchoolBishop England High School Bishops33161644
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny16164455
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity445566
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity55661717
Hough High SchoolHough High School Hough High School66171777
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity17177788
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Hoggard88181899
John Paul II (SC)John Paul II (SC) Varsity77881818
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats1818991010
Oceanside Collegiate AcademyOceanside Collegiate Academy Landsharks9910101919
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity101019191111
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity191911111212
Richmond Hill SailingRichmond Hill Sailing Varsity111112121313
Southlake Christian AcademySouthlake Christian Academy Southlake121213131414
The Walker SchoolThe Walker School Wolverines1313141411
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors1414111515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A77881818
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers88181899
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity1818991010
Bishop England High SchoolBishop England High School Bishops9910101919
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny101019191111
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity191911111212
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity111112121313
Hough High SchoolHough High School Hough High School121213131414
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity1313141411
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Hoggard11151522
John Paul II (SC)John Paul II (SC) Varsity1414111515
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats15152233
Oceanside Collegiate AcademyOceanside Collegiate Academy Landsharks22331616
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity33161644
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity16164455
Richmond Hill SailingRichmond Hill Sailing Varsity445566
Southlake Christian AcademySouthlake Christian Academy Southlake55661717
The Walker SchoolThe Walker School Wolverines66171777
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors17177788
School / Team SkipperCrew
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Manning Unger '21 [1-6] Carrie Metts '19 [1-4]
Macon Bauknight '21 [5-6]
Raptors A Clay Hershey '22 [1-2]
Caelan Paquette '20 [3-6]		 Kristen Cooper '21 [1-2]
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Julianna Skoglund '19 Briana Jennings '22
Panthers Pearce Buxton '20 Tatiana Jennings '22
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Clay Myers '21 Abbie Pollitzer '21
Varsity Thomas Gnann '20 [1-6] Brian Rogers '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Brock Blonski '22 [3-4]
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Erin O'Connor '20 Arianna Borkowski '20
Bishops Sanders Linker '19 [1-2, 5]
James O'Connor '20 [3-4, 6]		 Luke Oligino '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Finley Harris '20 [3-4]
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bridget Monahan '22 Patrick Patangan '20
Bishop Kenny Reedy Monahan '20 Joseph Bradley Iv '19
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy Benjamin Smith '22 Kellen Donlon '22
CFA Varsity Polk Baggett '22 David Novak '20
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Nikolas Mcgill '20 [1-6] Zane Buchli '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Eli Herndon '22 [3-4]
Varsity Sarah Weese '20 [1-4]
Eli Herndon '22 [5-6]		 Sophie Hidalgo '23 [1-4]
Sarah Weese '20 [5-6]
Hough High School Hough High School Sully O'Donnell '21 [1-6] Luca Van Der Schoot '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Samantha Martin '19 [3-4]
Hough High School Evan West '22 [1-6] Holladay Crook '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Caroline Coke '21 [3-4]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Megan Fetterley '19 [1-2]
Britton Durst '19 [3-4]
Carson Shaw '23 [5-6]		 Camdyn Williams '21 [1-2]
Carson Shaw '23 [3-4]
Andrew Shook '19 [5-6]
Varsity Mason Baird '23 Jack Mckenzie '23
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Thomas Mazzeo '22 Jack Gigante '22
Varsity Neil Bunce '21 Noah Schickler '21
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Jacob Usher '21 Bella Cankurtaran '20
Hoggard Francis (Mac) Humphrey '22 Mairead Benson '22
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Evan Chenard '20 [1-6] Bobby Missert '20 [1-4]
Bryson Barron '19 [5-6]
Wildcats Chris Hartman '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Tyler Bland '21 [3-4]		 Tyler Bland '21 [1-2]
Collin Flannery '19 [3-6]
Oceanside Collegiate Academy Oceanside Collegiate Academy Gavin Parker '22 [1-6] Ashton Loring '22 [1-2]
Charlton Barttlett '22 [3-6]
Landsharks Ashton Loring '22 Sean Kittrell '21
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Garrett Mergenthaler '19 Alli Volk '21
Varsity Josh Mergenthaler '21 Maddie Nusbaum '21
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Neil Walters '20 [1-6] Lewis Bragg '21 [1-2]
Malcolm Mcalister '19 [3-4]
Graham Cosby '23 [5-6]
Varsity Connor Marion '20 [1-6] Graham Cosby '23 [1-4]
Lewis Bragg '21 [5-6]
Richmond Hill Sailing Richmond Hill Sailing Cohen Hughes '19 Elle Jacobsson '19
Varsity Sarah Cunningham '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jonah Daniels '25 [3-4]		 Patricia George '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Anthony Moore '25 [3-4]
Southlake Christian Academy Southlake Christian Academy John Polek '22 Kanna Gosh '22
Southlake Tucker Pugh '21 Nathaniel Cloutier '22
The Walker School The Walker School Evie Blauvelt '21 Erika Kaczynski '20
Wolverines Carlyn Blauvelt '19 Christine Adkins '19
Wando High School Wando High School Zack Carvajal '22 [1-4]
William Hussey '22 [5-6]		 Lauren Creech '19 [1-4]
Ian Bosse '21 [5-6]
Wando Warriors Heyward Main '19 Rosemary Delamater '20

Conditions — 02/23/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1022.5 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 14.0 kn
From E (82°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine5.3 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1022.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Academic Magnet: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Academic Magnet by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Academic Magnet, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →