SAISA South Points 1 - JV 2021

HostHistoric Virginia Key Beach Park
Date10/02/2021
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Ransom Everglades School	Raiders 1	9	6	15
2	Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	18	33	51
3	St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders 1	37	18	55
4	St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders 2	33	32	65
5	Vero Beach High School	Vero Beach	22	63	85
6	Seminole	Seminole	55	30	85
7	Pine Crest School	Panthers	56	36	92
8	Ransom Everglades School	Raiders 2	22	77	99
9	Venice High School (FL)	Indians	53	57	110
10	Varsity	Varsity	79	49	128
11	Martin County High School	Tigers	74	69	143
12	Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	82	64	146
13	South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	74	79	153
14	Green Wave	Green Wave	69	90	159

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders 1	1	3	1	1	2	1	9	Emery Diemar '24 Violet Martin '24
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	5	1	3	2	3	4	18	Umi Noritake '24 Caroline Caudron '23
Vero Beach High School	Vero Beach	2	2	2	5	5	6	22	Nicholas Crull '26 Ryan Ellison '28
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders 2	3	5	5	3	1	5	22	Sebastian Van De Kreeke '25 Evelyn Yu '24
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders 2	8	6	6	4	6	3	33	Ana Lynch Smith '25 Parker Bustamante '25
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders 1	6	DNF	4	6	4	2	37	Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23 [1-6] Kelly Coyne '22 [1-4] Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [5-6]
Venice High School (FL)	Indians	DNF	4	9	8	9	8	53	Josh Pope '23 Erinne Fenton '25
Seminole	Seminole	11	7	7	10	11	9	55
Pine Crest School	Panthers	10	DNF	10	7	7	7	56	Jake Burgess '23 William Burke '23
Green Wave	Green Wave	9	9	DNS	11	10	DNF	69
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	12	DNF	8	9	DNF	DNF	74	Daphne Dalton '24 [1-4] No Show [5-6] Savannah Kautz '25 [1-4] No Show [5-6]
Martin County High School	Tigers	13	8	DNF	DNF	8	DNF	74	Heidi Weiksnar '23 [1-5] No Show [6] Valen Cuevas '24 [1-5] No Show [6]
Varsity	Varsity	4	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	79
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	7	OCS	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	82	Grant Schmidt '24 [1-2] No Show [3-6] Sophia Pacheco '26 [1-2] No Show [3-6]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders 1	1	1	1	1	1	1	6	Griggs Diemar '25 [1-6] Rebecca Ferrer '24 [1-4] Eva Gonzalez '22 [5-6]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders 1	6	2	2	2	3	3	18	Mariano Viega '25 Tye Wellnitz '22
Seminole	Seminole	2	OCS	4	5	2	2	30
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders 2	4	5	6	4	7	6	32	Pierce Weber '27 Cole Fanchi '26
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	5	4	5	6	5	8	33	Keith Grupenhoff '25 Holland Ramos '23
Pine Crest School	Panthers	3	6	7	7	6	7	36	Connor Mertz '25 Sean Anagnoste '23
Varsity	Varsity	DNF	DNF	3	3	8	5	49
Venice High School (FL)	Indians	8	7	8	9	DNF	10	57	Abraham Reynolds '23 Emma Watson '26
Vero Beach High School	Vero Beach	10	DNF	DNF	DNF	4	4	63	Machael Ladd '26 [1-4] Rayne Harold '26 [5-6] James Collins '26 [1-4] Machael Ladd '26 [5-6]
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	7	3	DNF	DNF	9	DNF	64	No Show [1-4, 6] Sophia Pacheco '26 [5] No Show [1-4, 6] Matt Baer '25 [5]
Martin County High School	Tigers	9	8	DNF	DNF	11	11	69	Kyle Weiksnar '25 [1-4] David Wedde '27 [5-6] David Wedde '27 [1-4] Kyle Weiksnar '25 [5-6]
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders 2	DNS	OCS	9	8	DNF	DNF	77	No Show [1-2, 5-6] Daniel Figueroa '24 [3-4] Christine Keedy-Brown '24 [1-6]
South Fork High School	SF BULLDOGS	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	10	9	79	No Show No Show
Green Wave	Green Wave	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	90

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.050+0.05

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Green Wave Green Wave	54	54	54	54	54	54
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	57	57	57	57	57	57
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	48	48	48	48	48	48
Martin County High School Tigers	40	40	40	40	40	40
Pine Crest School Panthers	85	85	85	85	85	85
Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1	62	62	62	62	62	62
Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2	84	84	84	84	84	84
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 1	55	55	55	55	55	55
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 2	88	88	88	88	88	88
Seminole Seminole	6	6	6	6	6	6
South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS	50	50	50	50	50	50
Venice High School (FL) Indians	44	44	44	44	44	44
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach	65	65	65	65	65	65
Varsity Varsity	79	79	79	79	79	79

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Green Wave Green Wave	54	54	54	54	54	54
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	57	57	57	57	57	57
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	48	48	48	48	48	48
Martin County High School Tigers	40	40	40	40	40	40
Pine Crest School Panthers	85	85	85	85	85	85
Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1	62	62	62	62	62	62
Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2	84	84	84	84	84	84
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 1	55	55	55	55	55	55
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 2	88	88	88	88	88	88
Seminole Seminole	6	6	6	6	6	6
South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS	50	50	50	50	50	50
Venice High School (FL) Indians	44	44	44	44	44	44
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach	65	65	65	65	65	65
Varsity Varsity	79	79	79	79	79	79

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Immaculata La Salle High School	Umi Noritake '24	Caroline Caudron '23
Royal Lions	Keith Grupenhoff '25	Holland Ramos '23
Jensen Beach High School	Grant Schmidt '24 [1-2] No Show [3-6]	Sophia Pacheco '26 [1-2] No Show [3-6]
Falcons	No Show [1-4, 6] Sophia Pacheco '26 [5]	No Show [1-4, 6] Matt Baer '25 [5]
Martin County High School	Heidi Weiksnar '23 [1-5] No Show [6]	Valen Cuevas '24 [1-5] No Show [6]
Tigers	Kyle Weiksnar '25 [1-4] David Wedde '27 [5-6]	David Wedde '27 [1-4] Kyle Weiksnar '25 [5-6]
Pine Crest School	Jake Burgess '23	William Burke '23
Panthers	Connor Mertz '25	Sean Anagnoste '23
Ransom Everglades School	Emery Diemar '24	Violet Martin '24
Raiders 1	Griggs Diemar '25 [1-6]	Rebecca Ferrer '24 [1-4] Eva Gonzalez '22 [5-6]
Ransom Everglades School	Sebastian Van De Kreeke '25	Evelyn Yu '24
Raiders 2	No Show [1-2, 5-6] Daniel Figueroa '24 [3-4]	Christine Keedy-Brown '24 [1-6]
South Fork High School	Daphne Dalton '24 [1-4] No Show [5-6]	Savannah Kautz '25 [1-4] No Show [5-6]
SF BULLDOGS	No Show	No Show
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23 [1-6]	Kelly Coyne '22 [1-4] Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [5-6]
Raiders 1	Mariano Viega '25	Tye Wellnitz '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Ana Lynch Smith '25	Parker Bustamante '25
Raiders 2	Pierce Weber '27	Cole Fanchi '26
Venice High School (FL)	Josh Pope '23	Erinne Fenton '25
Indians	Abraham Reynolds '23	Emma Watson '26
Vero Beach High School	Nicholas Crull '26	Ryan Ellison '28
Vero Beach	Machael Ladd '26 [1-4] Rayne Harold '26 [5-6]	James Collins '26 [1-4] Machael Ladd '26 [5-6]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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SAISA South Points 1 - JV 2021

Division A

Division B

From the notes