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Shepherd Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 75 30 105
2 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 67 61 128
3 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 80 112 192
4 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 67 126 193
5 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 83 121 204
6 Lincoln Park High School Lincoln Park High School Lions 93 111 204
7 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 160 51 211
8 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 87 129 216
9 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 164 56 220
10 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 92 144 236
11 Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 121 119 240
12 Troy High School Troy High School Troy 167 79 246
13 Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 139 114 253
14 New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 91 165 256
15 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 120 151 271
16 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 112 167 279
17 Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 132 148 280
18 Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 194 174 368
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 2 BKD BKD 9 10 1 14 3 4 2 8 67 Dominik Moncur '25
Rafael Zarzosa '23
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles DNF 1 3 14 2 2 11 1 1 3 3 7 67 Jake Weinstein '23
Maddie Fitzgerald '22
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 1 7 10 1 12 9 3 4 2 11 9 6 75 Greta Traver '23
Hanan Lomax '25
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 6 16 2 4 4 3 14 6 8 10 6 1 80 Charlie Herrick '22
Tyler Knohl '22
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 7 13 15 3 8 4 8 7 10 1 5 2 83 Jakub Fuja '23
Olivia Chigas '24
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 4 5 6 5 5 6 BKD 17 6 8 4 14 87 Sam Rosenbaum '22
Aiden Ide '25
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles DNF 4 9 10 3 7 4 9 5 6 10 5 91 Beylan Gode '25 [1-12]
Bobby Ream '26 [1-6, 9-10]
Lily Broklof '24 [7-8, 11-12]
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 9 3 5 2 11 8 7 11 12 14 7 3 92 Michael Mullins '23
Nate Bacheller '24
Lincoln Park High School Lincoln Park High School Lions DNF 10 1 6 1 5 6 5 4 7 12 17 93 Samuel Childers '23
Miles Silverman '23
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 5 9 14 9 10 1 13 10 7 9 16 9 112 Liam Hounsell '23 [1-12]
Bryan Lu '25 [1-3, 9-10]
Miles Kohn '25 [4-5, 11-12]
Andrew Wiand '25 [6-8]
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions DNF 12 4 8 6 DSQ 5 3 16 5 13 10 120 Gavin Dempsey '22
Leo Dempsey '24
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 3 11 7 7 13 11 12 18 15 12 1 11 121 Ella Beck '22
Alex Reynolds '24
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins DNF 6 17 12 16 RAF 2 12 9 2 14 4 132 Margo Cicero '22 [1-12]
Phillip Nakamura '23 [1-6]
Rossignel Wolfe '22 [7-12]
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 10 15 8 18 14 12 10 2 14 13 8 15 139 Sydney Mandell '22 [1-12]
Lukas Lambert '23 [1-2]
Dillon Klemm '23 [3-4]
Jack Hughes '25 [5-6]
Marie Peters '23 [7-12]
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 12 17 13 11 7 13 15 13 13 16 18 12 160 Lily Brandt '23 [1-11]
Merritt Woolridge '23 [12]
Poppy Gelman '22 [1-4, 8-11]
Gavin Parsons '24 [5-6, 12]
Merritt Woolridge '23 [7]
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 11 18 16 17 17 15 9 8 11 15 11 16 164 Emerson Becker '24
Gavin Grundei '25
Troy High School Troy High School Troy 8 8 12 13 15 16 16 16 18 17 15 13 167 Dane Greenwood '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Monika Torkos '23 [5-6, 9-12]
Monika Torkos '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Jacob Ritter '24 [5-6]
Dane Greenwood '23 [9-12]
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 13 14 18 15 18 14 17 15 17 18 17 18 194 Declan Mccormick '24
Cooper Dunlop '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 4 3 2 5 1 4 1 3 2 2 1 2 30 Amelia Traver '24
Lily Johnson '23
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 2 9 5 1 7 3 5 2 3 1 6 7 51 Noah Blake '23
Stella Brown '23
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 8 1 8 16 3 2 4 1 1 4 4 4 56 Evelyn Hannah '24
Kai Ellsworth '25
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 1 5 4 3 2 10 2 4 7 7 8 8 61 Peter Stewart '24 [1-12]
Betsy Finley '23 [1-10]
Michael Clancy '22 [11-12]
Troy High School Troy High School Troy 3 2 13 8 6 1 3 11 11 14 2 5 79 Rodrigo Flores '24 [1-12]
Nicole Torkos '25 [1-5, 9-10]
Sophia Worden '23 [6-8]
Jacob Ritter '24 [11-12]
Lincoln Park High School Lincoln Park High School Lions 5 13 6 4 DNS DNS 7 6 9 11 9 3 111 Gretchen Nevel '23
Dylan Altmin '24
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 16 14 1 13 4 8 6 10 6 6 16 12 112 Eva Decastro '24 [1-2, 7-8, 12]
Bennett Gottesman '23 [3-6, 9-11]
Jack O'Connor '22 [1-5, 9-11]
Eva Decastro '24 [6]
Ainslie Pratt '23 [7-8, 12]
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 6 7 9 2 11 13 9 18 4 8 18 9 114 Aidan Handler '23 [1-12]
Jack Hughes '25 [1-2]
Lukas Lambert '23 [3-4]
Dillon Klemm '23 [5-12]
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 11 4 10 DSQ 13 9 13 8 17 9 5 1 119 Andrew Godmer '22
Cameron Keillor '24
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 18 8 3 11 9 15 8 7 5 3 17 17 121 Tommy Casey '22 [1-12]
Carter Slute '22 [1-6]
Colin Herbolsheimer '23 [7-11]
Carter Johnston '24 [12]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 7 16 DSQ 6 12 7 14 9 10 13 7 6 126 Isaac Sparber '22
Andy Corbett '23
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 9 10 7 10 8 6 16 15 15 5 13 15 129 Hunter Wheaton '23
Morgan Reeves '22
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 12 6 16 17 14 16 11 5 8 17 12 10 144 Nasser Awada '23
Madeline Martin '24
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 17 18 14 7 10 17 10 13 18 10 3 11 148 Evan Olevich '23 [1-12]
Rossignel Wolfe '22 [1-6]
Alex Gaspar '23 [7-12]
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 10 17 DSQ 14 5 5 17 12 12 12 10 18 151 Nick Lorenzen '23 [1-6]
Keg Avakian '22 [7-12]
Keg Avakian '22 [1-6]
Kaylee Good '23 [7-8, 11-12]
Carrie`` Narbuts '23 [9-10]
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 13 12 15 12 16 BKD 15 14 14 15 14 14 165 Joey Weigand '23 [1-12]
Whit Romer '23 [1-2, 5-12]
Lily Broklof '24 [3-4]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 15 11 11 15 17 14 12 16 16 16 11 13 167 Aarush Kapur '25 [1-2, 7-12]
Miles Laker '23 [3-6]
Miles Laker '23 [1-2, 7-12]
Aarush Kapur '25 [3-4]
Andy Zhu '23 [5-6]
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 14 15 12 9 15 12 18 17 13 18 15 16 174 Edward Mooney '25
Peter Gavahan '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers11335577991111
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity141416161818224466
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity2244668810101212
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks3355779911111313
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits446688101012121414
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans557799111113131515
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Maroon66881010121214141616
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles77991111131315151717
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity8810101212141416161818
Lincoln Park High SchoolLincoln Park High School Lions99111113131515171711
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions1010121214141616181822
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers11111313151517171133
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles12121414161618182244
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans131315151717113355
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Varsity Green1515171711335577
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Troy1616181822446688
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy17171133557799
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins1818224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers2244668810101212
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity1515171711335577
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity3355779911111313
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks446688101012121414
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits557799111113131515
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans66881010121214141616
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Maroon77991111131315151717
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles8810101212141416161818
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity99111113131515171711
Lincoln Park High SchoolLincoln Park High School Lions1010121214141616181822
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions11111313151517171133
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers12121414161618182244
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles131315151717113355
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans141416161818224466
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Varsity Green1616181822446688
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Troy17171133557799
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy1818224466881010
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins11335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Lily Brandt '23 [1-11]
Merritt Woolridge '23 [12]		 Poppy Gelman '22 [1-4, 8-11]
Gavin Parsons '24 [5-6, 12]
Merritt Woolridge '23 [7]
Trailblazers Noah Blake '23 Stella Brown '23
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Michael Mullins '23 Nate Bacheller '24
Varsity Nasser Awada '23 Madeline Martin '24
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Liam Hounsell '23 [1-12] Bryan Lu '25 [1-3, 9-10]
Miles Kohn '25 [4-5, 11-12]
Andrew Wiand '25 [6-8]
Varsity Aarush Kapur '25 [1-2, 7-12]
Miles Laker '23 [3-6]		 Miles Laker '23 [1-2, 7-12]
Aarush Kapur '25 [3-4]
Andy Zhu '23 [5-6]
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Emerson Becker '24 Gavin Grundei '25
Rocks Evelyn Hannah '24 Kai Ellsworth '25
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Charlie Herrick '22 Tyler Knohl '22
Wildkits Eva Decastro '24 [1-2, 7-8, 12]
Bennett Gottesman '23 [3-6, 9-11]		 Jack O'Connor '22 [1-5, 9-11]
Eva Decastro '24 [6]
Ainslie Pratt '23 [7-8, 12]
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Jakub Fuja '23 Olivia Chigas '24
Titans Tommy Casey '22 [1-12] Carter Slute '22 [1-6]
Colin Herbolsheimer '23 [7-11]
Carter Johnston '24 [12]
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Greta Traver '23 Hanan Lomax '25
Maroon Amelia Traver '24 Lily Johnson '23
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Jake Weinstein '23 Maddie Fitzgerald '22
Eagles Peter Stewart '24 [1-12] Betsy Finley '23 [1-10]
Michael Clancy '22 [11-12]
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Sydney Mandell '22 [1-12] Lukas Lambert '23 [1-2]
Dillon Klemm '23 [3-4]
Jack Hughes '25 [5-6]
Marie Peters '23 [7-12]
Varsity Aidan Handler '23 [1-12] Jack Hughes '25 [1-2]
Lukas Lambert '23 [3-4]
Dillon Klemm '23 [5-12]
Lincoln Park High School Lincoln Park High School Samuel Childers '23 Miles Silverman '23
Lions Gretchen Nevel '23 Dylan Altmin '24
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Gavin Dempsey '22 Leo Dempsey '24
Lions Nick Lorenzen '23 [1-6]
Keg Avakian '22 [7-12]		 Keg Avakian '22 [1-6]
Kaylee Good '23 [7-8, 11-12]
Carrie`` Narbuts '23 [9-10]
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Declan Mccormick '24 Cooper Dunlop '25
Hill Toppers Edward Mooney '25 Peter Gavahan '25
New Albany High School New Albany High School Beylan Gode '25 [1-12] Bobby Ream '26 [1-6, 9-10]
Lily Broklof '24 [7-8, 11-12]
Eagles Joey Weigand '23 [1-12] Whit Romer '23 [1-2, 5-12]
Lily Broklof '24 [3-4]
Orono High School Orono High School Sam Rosenbaum '22 Aiden Ide '25
Spartans Hunter Wheaton '23 Morgan Reeves '22
Traverse City West Traverse City West Ella Beck '22 Alex Reynolds '24
TCW Varsity Green Andrew Godmer '22 Cameron Keillor '24
Troy High School Troy High School Dane Greenwood '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Monika Torkos '23 [5-6, 9-12]		 Monika Torkos '23 [1-4, 7-8]
Jacob Ritter '24 [5-6]
Dane Greenwood '23 [9-12]
Troy Rodrigo Flores '24 [1-12] Nicole Torkos '25 [1-5, 9-10]
Sophia Worden '23 [6-8]
Jacob Ritter '24 [11-12]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Dominik Moncur '25 Rafael Zarzosa '23
Navy Isaac Sparber '22 Andy Corbett '23
Whitney Young Whitney Young Margo Cicero '22 [1-12] Phillip Nakamura '23 [1-6]
Rossignel Wolfe '22 [7-12]
Dolphins Evan Olevich '23 [1-12] Rossignel Wolfe '22 [1-6]
Alex Gaspar '23 [7-12]

Conditions — 11/06/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 49%  ·  Pressure 1020.6 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.5 kn
avg  ·  max 12.7 kn
Gusts to 26.2 kn
From N (8°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine2.0 hrs Humidity49% Pressure1020.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 13 kn · N 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Columbia Sailing School: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Columbia Sailing School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Columbia Sailing School, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →