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VISA CCS JV Fleet Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 8 8
2 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 9 9
3 Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 10 10
4 Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy Owls 2 16 16
5 Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy Owls 1 17 17
6 Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy Owls 3 18 18
7 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 19 19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 1 3 4 8 Cam Brewer '24 [1-3]
Mackenzie Haynes '24 [1-2]
Riddick Walton '26 [3]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 2 2 5 9 Evan Harris '24
Caleb Kyle '25
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 3 1 6 10 Grayson Kelly '27 [1-3]
Tyler Compton '28 [1-2]
Whyatt Gann '28 [3]
Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy Owls 2 DNF 5 3 16 Abby Hicks '22
Chloe Keys '28
Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy Owls 1 DNF DNF 1 17 Gavin Peters '23
Richman "Scott" Jackson '24
Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy Owls 3 DNF DNF 2 18 Grady Nichols '26
Rosie Nichols '28
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 DNF 4 7 19 Tiernan Boyd '23 [1-3]
Hunter Walton '25 [1-2]
Corbin Bergert '27 [3]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 1222
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 2666
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 3151515
Williamsburg Classical AcademyWilliamsburg Classical Academy Owls 2888
Williamsburg Classical AcademyWilliamsburg Classical Academy Owls 3141414
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity Grayson Kelly '27 [1-3] Tyler Compton '28 [1-2]
Whyatt Gann '28 [3]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 Cam Brewer '24 [1-3] Mackenzie Haynes '24 [1-2]
Riddick Walton '26 [3]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 Evan Harris '24 Caleb Kyle '25
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 Tiernan Boyd '23 [1-3] Hunter Walton '25 [1-2]
Corbin Bergert '27 [3]
Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy Owls 1 Gavin Peters '23 Richman "Scott" Jackson '24
Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy Owls 2 Abby Hicks '22 Chloe Keys '28
Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy Owls 3 Grady Nichols '26 Rosie Nichols '28

Conditions — 09/11/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1023.5 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From WSW (238°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover71% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1023.5 hPa

What this breeze does at Christchurch school — from fleet racing

Breeze: SW about 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Christchurch school in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christchurch school by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Christchurch school, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →