2022 Norcal 3 Gold

HostEncinal Yacht Club
Date11/05/2022
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	19	19
2	Encinal High School	Jets	26	26
3	Redwood	Giants 1	32	32
4	Aragon High School	Aragon	34	34
5	Redwood	Giants 4	49	49
6	Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity 1	53	53
7	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 1	56	56
8	San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	66	66
9	Archbishop Riordan	Riordan	71	71
10	San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	74	74
11	Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	85	85
12	Carlmont	The Scots 2	86	86
13	Redwood	Giants 2	91	91
14	Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	91	91
15	Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	99	99
16	Alameda High School	Hornets 1	102	102
17	Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity 2	103	103
18	Design Tech High School	d.tech 4	105	105
19	The Urban School	Blues	105	105
20	Miramonte High School	Matadors	106	106
21	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	106	106
22	The Nueva School	The Nueva	108	108
23	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	125	125
24	San Domenico High School	Panthers 3	129	129
25	Carlmont	The Scots 1	129	129
26	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 2	137	137
27	SF University High School	Red Devils	140	140
28	Alameda High School	Hornets 2	141	141
29	Redwood	Giants 3	155	155
30	Acalanes High School	Dons	169	169

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	1	1	4	1	7	5	19	Marina Priskich '25 Helen Plam '26
Encinal High School	Jets	6	7	1	2	4	6	26	Kyle Nguyen '24 [1-6] Ellie Tucker '27 [1-5] Cyrus Estilaei '27 [6]
Redwood	Giants 1	3	5	8	6	6	4	32	Jim Young '23 Mark Xu '26
Aragon High School	Aragon	2	4	3	5	19	1	34	Lucas Kasper '23 Marie Peroulas '29
Redwood	Giants 4	14	6	9	4	2	14	49	Morgan Headington '24 Parker Stacy '26
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity 1	8	12	10	12	1	10	53	Casey Strattan '23 Arie Mcneil '25
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 1	9	9	2	19	15	2	56	Aaron Toy-Lim '26 [1-6] Ashling Gallagher '25 [1-2, 5-6] Natalie Tonkovich '24 [3-4]
San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	13	3	11	16	10	13	66	Merritt Sellers '26 [1-6] Praire Press '26 [1-4] Alex Collier-Lake '24 [5-6]
Archbishop Riordan	Riordan	21	2	5	15	17	11	71	Antonio Priskich '23 Johnnie Pena-Muir '23
San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	30	11	14	8	8	3	74	Evie Littler '24 [1-6] Matilda Hull '26 [1-4] Nina Polyakova '23 [5-6]
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	7	16	6	24	14	18	85	Dominic Lin '25 Anne Burg '25
Carlmont	The Scots 2	10	10	19	17	22	8	86	Anna Stolyarova '25
Redwood	Giants 2	12	17	13	13	13	23	91	Blake Oberbauer '26 Adeline Turner '23
Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	19	8	7	22	20	15	91	Naomi Lowenthal '24 Jaehyoung Park '24
Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	15	18	16	20	5	25	99	Matthew Huskins '23 [1-6] Donovan Techel '25 [1-3] Claire Malykin '23 [4-6]
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	17	22	12	14	18	19	102	Reid Sojka '26 [1-6] John Maxey '23 [1-3] Joby Overton '26 [4-6]
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity 2	22	25	26	10	3	17	103	Garrett Koontz '26 Mateo Krok '23
Design Tech High School	d.tech 4	5	14	23	25	16	22	105	Nathan Friedman '23 Claire Malykin '23
The Urban School	Blues	16	21	21	23	12	12	105	Isabelle Lawson '23 [1-6] Kai Classen '24 [1-2, 5-6] Oliver Yeaman '24 [3-4]
Miramonte High School	Matadors	11	23	18	3	OCS	20	106	Austin Teodorovic '24 Marco Parramon '26
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	28	20	24	9	9	16	106	Max Mcreynolds '23 Linnea Furlan '23
The Nueva School	The Nueva	18	26	17	11	27	9	108	Adam Kan '24 Felicity Chu '27
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	4	24	28	27	11	DNF	125	Melanie Magnani '23 Simone Karlon '23
San Domenico High School	Panthers 3	25	19	25	7	25	28	129	Anton Gavrilov '23 [1-6] Dylan Song '25 [1-4] Seamus Crain '26 [5-6]
Carlmont	The Scots 1	29	27	27	18	21	7	129	Ward Brouwer '24 Tyler Robinson '27
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 2	23	28	15	21	26	24	137	Mila Kane '25 Ella Andrzejek '25
SF University High School	Red Devils	27	15	22	26	24	26	140	Alice Newmeyer '25 Audrey Mcbride '26
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	20	29	20	28	23	21	141	Makenan Smith '23 [1-6] Kelly Benson '24 [1-2, 5-6] Sabine Lee '25 [3-4]
Redwood	Giants 3	26	13	30	30	29	27	155	Mungo Mckemey '23 Lauren Olsen '24
Acalanes High School	Dons	24	30	29	29	28	29	169	Kaivo Kadai '25 Aria Falahati '27

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Acalanes High School Dons	52	52	52	52	52	52
Alameda High School Hornets 1	55	55	55	55	55	55
Alameda High School Hornets 2	45	45	45	45	45	45
Aragon High School Aragon	24	24	24	24	24	24
Archbishop Riordan Riordan	10	10	10	10	10	10
Carlmont The Scots 1	26	26	26	26	26	26
Carlmont The Scots 2	27	27	27	27	27	27
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 1	8	8	8	8	8	8
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 2	9	9	9	9	9	9
Design Tech High School d.tech 1	20	20	20	20	20	20
Design Tech High School d.tech 2	32	32	32	32	32	32
Design Tech High School d.tech 3	22	22	22	22	22	22
Design Tech High School d.tech 4	23	23	23	23	23	23
Encinal High School Jets	50	50	50	50	50	50
Henry M. Gunn High School Titans	29	29	29	29	29	29
Menlo-Atherton Varsity	25	25	25	25	25	25
Miramonte High School Matadors	47	47	47	47	47	47
Pacific Collegiate School Varsity 1	103	103	103	103	103	103
Pacific Collegiate School Varsity 2	109	109	109	109	109	109
Redwood Giants 1	124	124	124	124	124	124
Redwood Giants 2	123	123	123	123	123	123
Redwood Giants 3	122	122	122	122	122	122
Redwood Giants 4	121	121	121	121	121	121
San Domenico High School Panthers 1	16	16	16	16	16	16
San Domenico High School Panthers 2	17	17	17	17	17	17
San Domenico High School Panthers 3	15	15	15	15	15	15
SF University High School Red Devils	1	1	1	1	1	1
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats	3	3	3	3	3	3
The Nueva School The Nueva	28	28	28	28	28	28
The Urban School Blues	6	6	6	6	6	6

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Acalanes High School	Dons	Kaivo Kadai '25	Aria Falahati '27
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	Reid Sojka '26 [1-6]	John Maxey '23 [1-3] Joby Overton '26 [4-6]
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	Makenan Smith '23 [1-6]	Kelly Benson '24 [1-2, 5-6] Sabine Lee '25 [3-4]
Aragon High School	Aragon	Lucas Kasper '23	Marie Peroulas '29
Archbishop Riordan	Riordan	Antonio Priskich '23	Johnnie Pena-Muir '23
Carlmont	The Scots 1	Ward Brouwer '24	Tyler Robinson '27
Carlmont	The Scots 2	Anna Stolyarova '25
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 1	Aaron Toy-Lim '26 [1-6]	Ashling Gallagher '25 [1-2, 5-6] Natalie Tonkovich '24 [3-4]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 2	Mila Kane '25	Ella Andrzejek '25
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	Melanie Magnani '23	Simone Karlon '23
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	Max Mcreynolds '23	Linnea Furlan '23
Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	Matthew Huskins '23 [1-6]	Donovan Techel '25 [1-3] Claire Malykin '23 [4-6]
Design Tech High School	d.tech 4	Nathan Friedman '23	Claire Malykin '23
Encinal High School	Jets	Kyle Nguyen '24 [1-6]	Ellie Tucker '27 [1-5] Cyrus Estilaei '27 [6]
Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	Naomi Lowenthal '24	Jaehyoung Park '24
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	Dominic Lin '25	Anne Burg '25
Miramonte High School	Matadors	Austin Teodorovic '24	Marco Parramon '26
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity 1	Casey Strattan '23	Arie Mcneil '25
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity 2	Garrett Koontz '26	Mateo Krok '23
Redwood	Giants 1	Jim Young '23	Mark Xu '26
Redwood	Giants 2	Blake Oberbauer '26	Adeline Turner '23
Redwood	Giants 3	Mungo Mckemey '23	Lauren Olsen '24
Redwood	Giants 4	Morgan Headington '24	Parker Stacy '26
SF University High School	Red Devils	Alice Newmeyer '25	Audrey Mcbride '26
San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	Evie Littler '24 [1-6]	Matilda Hull '26 [1-4] Nina Polyakova '23 [5-6]
San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	Merritt Sellers '26 [1-6]	Praire Press '26 [1-4] Alex Collier-Lake '24 [5-6]
San Domenico High School	Panthers 3	Anton Gavrilov '23 [1-6]	Dylan Song '25 [1-4] Seamus Crain '26 [5-6]
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	Marina Priskich '25	Helen Plam '26
The Nueva School	The Nueva	Adam Kan '24	Felicity Chu '27
The Urban School	Blues	Isabelle Lawson '23 [1-6]	Kai Classen '24 [1-2, 5-6] Oliver Yeaman '24 [3-4]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2022 Norcal 3 Gold

Division A

From the notes