2022 Sea Otter Regatta - Silver Fleet

HostMonterey Peninsula YC
Date10/08/2022
TypePromotional
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	14	8	22
2	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	38	31	69
3	St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	28	52	80
4	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	68	27	95
5	Redwood	Giants	55	43	98
6	The Urban School	Blues	45	67	112
7	Park City High School	Miners	52	65	117
8	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	46	78	124
9	Alameda High School	Hornets	110	24	134
10	San Domenico High School	Panthers	108	41	149
11	San Pedro High School	Pirates	120	40	160
12	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	90	71	161
13	Aragon High School	Aragon	30	138	168
14	Archbishop Riordan	Riordan	82	115	197
15	St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco	102	96	198
16	Stevenson School	Pirates	98	103	201
17	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	111	90	201
18	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	86	124	210
19	The Nueva School	The Nueva	83	131	214
20	SF University High School	Red Devils	76	140	216
21	Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity	118	98	216
22	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	134	83	217
23	The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	114	108	222
24	Burlingame High School	Burlingame	90	145	235
25	Carmel High School	Padres	135	112	247
26	Miramonte High School	Matadors	130	147	277
27	Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	132	156	288
28	Campolindo High School	Cougars	161	137	298
29	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	157	144	301

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	1	4	5	2	1	1	14	Cody Lamoreux '23 Kearney Spillane '24
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	2	6	2	6	5	7	28	Beckett Shinn '25 Miles White '25
Aragon High School	Aragon	5	1	4	1	9	10	30	Lucas Kasper '23 Marie Peroulas '29
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	4	2	3	4	11	14	38	Michael Sentovich '26 Isabella Clark '25
The Urban School	Blues	3	OCS	1	5	4	2	45	Tucker Lamoreux '23 Stella Reynaga '24
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	9	8	11	12	3	3	46	Aaron Toy-Lim '26 Ashling Gallagher '25
Park City High School	Miners	7	3	10	8	6	18	52	Calvin Marsh '24 Morgan Vesco '26
Redwood	Giants	8	5	8	3	20	11	55	Rhett Krawitt '26 [1-2, 5-6] Blake Oberbauer '26 [3-4] Parker Stacy '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	6	9	9	11	21	12	68	Charlie Hilgeman '25 [1-4] Ella Andersson '24 [5-6] Liam Ensley '25 [1-4] Isa Arrigo '23 [5-6]
SF University High School	Red Devils	17	15	6	22	12	4	76	Alice Newmeyer '25 Audrey Mcbride '26
Archbishop Riordan	Riordan	11	10	19	13	10	19	82	Antonio Priskich '23 Johnnie Pena-Muir '23
The Nueva School	The Nueva	18	7	12	10	DSQ	6	83	Adam Kan '24 Alistair Wen '26
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	21	14	20	21	2	8	86	Matthew Huskins '23 Peyton Wright '25
Burlingame High School	Burlingame	16	12	17	23	7	15	90	Sebastian Bounds '23 Lucia Hayes '26
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	20	13	18	19	15	5	90	Melanie Magnani '23 Simone Karlon '23
Stevenson School	Pirates	12	23	22	24	8	9	98	Abbie Zhang '24 Sadie Marinerstein '24
St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco	13	25	7	26	14	17	102	Jack Snow '25 Roman Galindo '25
San Domenico High School	Panthers	15	17	24	7	16	29	108	Evie Littler '24 [1-4] Anton Gavrilov '23 [5-6] Nina Polyakova '23 [1-2, 5-6] Matilda Hull '26 [3-4]
Alameda High School	Hornets	23	19	14	16	17	21	110	Makenan Smith '23 Kelly Benson '24
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	26	18	13	15	13	26	111	Stefan Luedtke '24 [1-6] Audrey Xu '26 [1-2, 5-6] Cameron Hicks '24 [3-4]
The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	14	11	25	14	25	25	114	Brady Moore '23 Tristan De Halleux '25
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity	22	24	15	25	19	13	118	Spencer Koontz '24 Arie Mcneil '25
San Pedro High School	Pirates	24	22	16	20	18	20	120	Iisac Sharp '23 Emerson Marquez '23
Miramonte High School	Matadors	27	20	26	17	24	16	130	Austin Teodorovic '24 Tristan Anderle '24
Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	19	16	28	18	27	24	132	Benjamin Herman '24 [1-6] Linnea Furlan '23 [1-4] Claire Malykin '23 [5-6]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	10	27	23	29	23	22	134	Victoria Edwards '23 [1-6] Emma Yashinsky '23 [1-2, 5-6] Coral Buono '24 [3-4]
Carmel High School	Padres	DNF	26	21	9	22	27	135	Riley Speidel '23 Catie Hernandez '26
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	25	21	27	28	28	28	157	Lukas Plotts '23 [1-4] Jason Lester '24 [5-6] Charles Winstead '24 [1-4] Lukas Plotts '23 [5-6]
Campolindo High School	Cougars	28	28	29	27	26	23	161	Patricia Davila Gil '26 Luke Probst '26

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	1	1	2	1	2	1	8	Caleb Everett '26 Maya Urfer '25
Alameda High School	Hornets	3	3	3	2	11	2	24	Reid Sojka '26 [1-6] Joby Overton '26 [1-2, 5-6] Logan Schwimmer '26 [3-4]
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	8	5	1	3	3	7	27	Zarrin Flowers '26 Joshua Vanwaardenburg '24
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	7	2	4	5	5	8	31	Julia Getter '26 Jillian Kaufman '26
San Pedro High School	Pirates	9	11	6	6	4	4	40	Gwen Hildebrand '25 [1-4] Nicholas Parsnik '26 [5-6] Nicholas Parsnik '26 [1-4] Walker Anger '23 [5-6]
San Domenico High School	Panthers	2	8	7	7	1	16	41	Merritt Sellers '26 [1-6] Dylan Song '25 [1-2] Owen Chan '23 [3-4] Praire Press '26 [5-6]
Redwood	Giants	4	4	10	10	9	6	43	Nathan Posard '26 Adeline Turner '23
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	6	13	5	19	6	3	52	Marina Priskich '25 [1-6] Helen Plam '26 [1-2, 5-6] Mikah Panisik '25 [3-4]
Park City High School	Miners	17	7	8	12	8	13	65	Tobias Bookman '25 [1-6] Court Maloof '28 [1-2] Zachary Smith '24 [3-6]
The Urban School	Blues	5	9	12	20	7	14	67	Zach Gordon '24 [1-2, 5-6] Isabelle Lawson '23 [3-4] Kai Classen '24 [1-2, 5-6] Henry Scalise '26 [3-4]
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	12	10	11	14	19	5	71	Max Mcreynolds '23 John Nix '25
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	13	16	26	4	10	9	78	Audrey Roomian '23 [1-2] Mila Kane '25 [3-6] Natalie Tonkovich '24 [1-2]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	16	18	13	11	15	10	83	Julia Middelton '23 [1-6] Lelio Maurillo '25 [1-2, 5-6] Max Borgiotti '25 [3-4]
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	11	6	20	18	20	15	90	Anna Stolyarova '25 Ward Brouwer '24
St. John Bosco High School	St. John Bosco	10	14	19	26	16	11	96	Samuel Mohinani '24 Kennedy Hildebrand '27
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity	15	15	14	21	13	20	98	Ainsley Hancock '24 Yasmine Crum '25
Stevenson School	Pirates	22	17	9	22	14	19	103	Patrick O'Hara '27 Luc Dupreez '23
The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	19	19	16	9	22	23	108	Charlie Kontrabecki '23 [1-6] Theo Li '25 [1-2, 5-6] Charlotte Mcgeary '24 [3-4]
Carmel High School	Padres	24	23	22	8	23	12	112	Oisin Burke '25 Kieran Sherlock '25
Archbishop Riordan	Riordan	14	25	17	16	26	17	115	Eva Bennett '25 Sophie Bucker '24
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	21	12	25	15	24	27	124	Aleksandar Abrams '23 Lorelai Hartman '25
The Nueva School	The Nueva	20	DSQ	15	29	12	25	131	Max Kaufman '26 Sasha Gordon '24
Campolindo High School	Cougars	25	24	28	25	17	18	137	Liam Hearn '24 Sage Balducci '26
Aragon High School	Aragon	18	21	21	27	25	26	138	Gavin Hayes '24 Cal Currier '24
SF University High School	Red Devils	27	20	27	17	27	22	140	Andrew James '25 Ella Andrzejek '25
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	23	22	29	13	29	28	144	Julias Glasgow '24 Paula Castillo Hi Espino '23
Burlingame High School	Burlingame	28	26	24	28	18	21	145	Scarlett Bounds '26 [1-4] Finn Hayes '26 [5-6] Finn Hayes '26 [1-4] Scarlett Bounds '26 [5-6]
Miramonte High School	Matadors	DNS	DNS	18	24	21	24	147	Giulia Delling '26 Ava Estilaei '27
Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	26	27	23	23	28	29	156	Will Kizer '25 Skye Crawford '25

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.230+0.23

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Alameda High School Hornets	64	64	62	62	61	61
Aragon High School Aragon	63	63	42	42	60	60
Archbishop Riordan Riordan	62	62	61	61	59	59
Burlingame High School Burlingame	42	42	60	60	41	41
Campolindo High School Cougars	61	61	59	59	58	58
Carmel High School Padres	60	60	41	41	57	57
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	59	59	58	58	56	56
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1	41	41	57	57	40	40
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2	58	58	56	56	55	55
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins	57	57	40	40	54	54
Design Tech High School d.tech 1	56	56	55	55	53	53
Design Tech High School d.tech 2	40	40	54	54	39	39
Design Tech High School d.tech 3	55	55	53	53	52	52
The International School of San Francisco Jaguars	54	54	39	39	51	51
Miramonte High School Matadors	53	53	52	52	50	50
Pacific Collegiate School Varsity	39	39	51	51	38	38
Park City High School Miners	52	52	50	50	49	49
Redwood Giants	51	51	38	38	48	48
San Domenico High School Panthers	50	50	49	49	47	47
San Pedro High School Pirates	49	49	47	47	46	46
SF University High School Red Devils	38	38	48	48	37	37
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats	48	48	37	37	45	45
St. John Bosco High School St. John Bosco	47	47	46	46	44	44
Stevenson School Pirates	37	37	45	45	36	36
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	46	46	44	44	43	43
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	45	45	36	36	64	64
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	44	44	43	43	63	63
The Nueva School The Nueva	36	36	64	64	62	62
The Urban School Blues	43	43	63	63	42	42

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Alameda High School Hornets	63	63	42	42	60	60
Aragon High School Aragon	62	62	61	61	59	59
Archbishop Riordan Riordan	42	42	60	60	41	41
Burlingame High School Burlingame	61	61	59	59	58	58
Campolindo High School Cougars	60	60	41	41	57	57
Carmel High School Padres	59	59	58	58	56	56
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	41	41	57	57	40	40
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1	58	58	56	56	55	55
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2	57	57	40	40	54	54
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins	56	56	55	55	53	53
Design Tech High School d.tech 1	40	40	54	54	39	39
Design Tech High School d.tech 2	55	55	53	53	52	52
Design Tech High School d.tech 3	54	54	39	39	51	51
The International School of San Francisco Jaguars	53	53	52	52	50	50
Miramonte High School Matadors	39	39	51	51	38	38
Pacific Collegiate School Varsity	52	52	50	50	49	49
Park City High School Miners	51	51	38	38	48	48
Redwood Giants	50	50	49	49	47	47
San Domenico High School Panthers	38	38	48	48	37	37
San Pedro High School Pirates	48	48	37	37	45	45
SF University High School Red Devils	49	49	47	47	46	46
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats	47	47	46	46	44	44
St. John Bosco High School St. John Bosco	37	37	45	45	36	36
Stevenson School Pirates	46	46	44	44	43	43
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	45	45	36	36	64	64
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	44	44	43	43	63	63
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	36	36	64	64	62	62
The Nueva School The Nueva	43	43	63	63	42	42
The Urban School Blues	64	64	62	62	61	61

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Alameda High School	Makenan Smith '23	Kelly Benson '24
Hornets	Reid Sojka '26 [1-6]	Joby Overton '26 [1-2, 5-6] Logan Schwimmer '26 [3-4]
Aragon High School	Lucas Kasper '23	Marie Peroulas '29
Aragon	Gavin Hayes '24	Cal Currier '24
Archbishop Riordan	Antonio Priskich '23	Johnnie Pena-Muir '23
Riordan	Eva Bennett '25	Sophie Bucker '24
Burlingame High School	Sebastian Bounds '23	Lucia Hayes '26
Burlingame	Scarlett Bounds '26 [1-4] Finn Hayes '26 [5-6]	Finn Hayes '26 [1-4] Scarlett Bounds '26 [5-6]
Campolindo High School	Patricia Davila Gil '26	Luke Probst '26
Cougars	Liam Hearn '24	Sage Balducci '26
Carmel High School	Riley Speidel '23	Catie Hernandez '26
Padres	Oisin Burke '25	Kieran Sherlock '25
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Aaron Toy-Lim '26	Ashling Gallagher '25
Cubs	Audrey Roomian '23 [1-2] Mila Kane '25 [3-6]	Natalie Tonkovich '24 [1-2]
Corona del Mar High School	Michael Sentovich '26	Isabella Clark '25
Sea Kings 1	Julia Getter '26	Jillian Kaufman '26
Corona del Mar High School	Charlie Hilgeman '25 [1-4] Ella Andersson '24 [5-6]	Liam Ensley '25 [1-4] Isa Arrigo '23 [5-6]
Sea Kings 2	Zarrin Flowers '26	Joshua Vanwaardenburg '24
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Stefan Luedtke '24 [1-6]	Audrey Xu '26 [1-2, 5-6] Cameron Hicks '24 [3-4]
Griffins	Anna Stolyarova '25	Ward Brouwer '24
Design Tech High School	Melanie Magnani '23	Simone Karlon '23
d.tech 1	Max Mcreynolds '23	John Nix '25
Design Tech High School	Matthew Huskins '23	Peyton Wright '25
d.tech 2	Aleksandar Abrams '23	Lorelai Hartman '25
Design Tech High School	Benjamin Herman '24 [1-6]	Linnea Furlan '23 [1-4] Claire Malykin '23 [5-6]
d.tech 3	Will Kizer '25	Skye Crawford '25
Miramonte High School	Austin Teodorovic '24	Tristan Anderle '24
Matadors	Giulia Delling '26	Ava Estilaei '27
Pacific Collegiate School	Spencer Koontz '24	Arie Mcneil '25
Varsity	Ainsley Hancock '24	Yasmine Crum '25
Park City High School	Calvin Marsh '24	Morgan Vesco '26
Miners	Tobias Bookman '25 [1-6]	Court Maloof '28 [1-2] Zachary Smith '24 [3-6]
Redwood	Rhett Krawitt '26 [1-2, 5-6] Blake Oberbauer '26 [3-4]	Parker Stacy '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Giants	Nathan Posard '26	Adeline Turner '23
SF University High School	Alice Newmeyer '25	Audrey Mcbride '26
Red Devils	Andrew James '25	Ella Andrzejek '25
San Domenico High School	Evie Littler '24 [1-4] Anton Gavrilov '23 [5-6]	Nina Polyakova '23 [1-2, 5-6] Matilda Hull '26 [3-4]
Panthers	Merritt Sellers '26 [1-6]	Dylan Song '25 [1-2] Owen Chan '23 [3-4] Praire Press '26 [5-6]
San Pedro High School	Iisac Sharp '23	Emerson Marquez '23
Pirates	Gwen Hildebrand '25 [1-4] Nicholas Parsnik '26 [5-6]	Nicholas Parsnik '26 [1-4] Walker Anger '23 [5-6]
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Beckett Shinn '25	Miles White '25
Wildcats	Marina Priskich '25 [1-6]	Helen Plam '26 [1-2, 5-6] Mikah Panisik '25 [3-4]
St. John Bosco High School	Jack Snow '25	Roman Galindo '25
St. John Bosco	Samuel Mohinani '24	Kennedy Hildebrand '27
Stevenson School	Abbie Zhang '24	Sadie Marinerstein '24
Pirates	Patrick O'Hara '27	Luc Dupreez '23
Tamalpais High School	Lukas Plotts '23 [1-4] Jason Lester '24 [5-6]	Charles Winstead '24 [1-4] Lukas Plotts '23 [5-6]
Red Tailed Hawks	Julias Glasgow '24	Paula Castillo Hi Espino '23
The Bay School of San Francisco	Cody Lamoreux '23	Kearney Spillane '24
Breakers 1	Caleb Everett '26	Maya Urfer '25
The Bay School of San Francisco	Victoria Edwards '23 [1-6]	Emma Yashinsky '23 [1-2, 5-6] Coral Buono '24 [3-4]
Breakers 2	Julia Middelton '23 [1-6]	Lelio Maurillo '25 [1-2, 5-6] Max Borgiotti '25 [3-4]
The International School of San Francisco	Brady Moore '23	Tristan De Halleux '25
Jaguars	Charlie Kontrabecki '23 [1-6]	Theo Li '25 [1-2, 5-6] Charlotte Mcgeary '24 [3-4]
The Nueva School	Adam Kan '24	Alistair Wen '26
The Nueva	Max Kaufman '26	Sasha Gordon '24
The Urban School	Tucker Lamoreux '23	Stella Reynaga '24
Blues	Zach Gordon '24 [1-2, 5-6] Isabelle Lawson '23 [3-4]	Kai Classen '24 [1-2, 5-6] Henry Scalise '26 [3-4]

Conditions — 10/08/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 92% · Pressure 1018.6 hPa

Temperature

58°F

↑ 60°F ↓ 55°F

Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

4.6 kn

avg · max 5.8 kn

Gusts to 15.0 kn

From WNW (295°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity92% Pressure1018.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Monterey Peninsula YC: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)

Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.

Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02

Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.29 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Monterey Peninsula YC by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Monterey Peninsula YC: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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