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# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 25 25
2 Southern Maine 1 Southern Maine 1 Southern Maine 1 30 30
3 Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Eagles 1 31 31
4 Southern Maine 3 Southern Maine 3 Southern Maine 3 44 44
5 Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 1 55 55
6 Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 2 57 57
7 Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Eagles 2 64 64
8 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 64 64
9 Rangers Rangers Rangers 66 66
10 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 74 74
11 Southern Maine 2 Southern Maine 2 Southern Maine 2 77 77
12 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 80 80
13 Rockland Rockland Rockland 81 81
14 Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 3 98 98
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 4 1 2 1 6 2 2 7 25 Tess Straw '24
Keaton Mosunic '28
Southern Maine 1 Southern Maine 1 Southern Maine 1 2 4 7 3 2 3 7 2 30
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Eagles 1 1 3 1 5 7 6 5 3 31 Piper Carleton '24
Kate Mason '23
Southern Maine 3 Southern Maine 3 Southern Maine 3 DNF 2 5 4 3 1 6 8 44
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 1 10 6 4 12 5 5 4 9 55 Hannah Hills '25
Iris Conlin '26
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 2 6 14 11 8 1 13 3 1 57 Suzie Edwards '24
Nora Conlin '23
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Eagles 2 7 11 8 2 13 9 10 4 64 Stella Field '25
London Hunter '25
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 13 8 3 6 9 4 11 10 64 Charlotte Mcdonald '25
Talia Olins '25
Rangers Rangers Rangers 9 7 9 13 8 8 1 11 66
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 3 9 10 9 12 10 8 13 74 Lizzy Wallace '25
Hazel Johnson '23
Southern Maine 2 Southern Maine 2 Southern Maine 2 8 12 12 7 10 7 9 12 77
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 12 10 6 11 11 11 13 6 80 Story Straw '25
Callie Mccarley '27
Rockland Rockland Rockland 11 13 14 10 4 12 12 5 81
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 3 5 5 13 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 98 Eleanor Marshall '26
Camden Peck '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boothbay RHSBoothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 111223344
Boothbay RHSBoothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 2221114141313
Boothbay RHSBoothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 333445566
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 144332211
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 255667788
RangersRangers Rangers66554433
Lincoln AcademyLincoln Academy Eagles 17788991010
Lincoln AcademyLincoln Academy Eagles 288776655
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 199101011111212
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 21010998877
RocklandRockland Rockland1111121213131414
Southern Maine 1Southern Maine 1 Southern Maine 112121111101099
Southern Maine 2Southern Maine 2 Southern Maine 2131314141122
Southern Maine 3Southern Maine 3 Southern Maine 31414131312121111
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 1 Hannah Hills '25 Iris Conlin '26
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 2 Suzie Edwards '24 Nora Conlin '23
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 3 Eleanor Marshall '26 Camden Peck '27
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 Tess Straw '24 Keaton Mosunic '28
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 Story Straw '25 Callie Mccarley '27
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Eagles 1 Piper Carleton '24 Kate Mason '23
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Eagles 2 Stella Field '25 London Hunter '25
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 Charlotte Mcdonald '25 Talia Olins '25
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 Lizzy Wallace '25 Hazel Johnson '23

Conditions — 10/22/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1024.4 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.7 kn
Gusts to 23.3 kn
From SSW (196°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1024.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Maine Maritime Academy: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.30)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Maine Maritime Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Maine Maritime Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →