Boothbay RHS '25
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.44 (fleet 0.72) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 2–13 (13%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 1 | 2–13 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (15 matches) the record is 2–13 against 3.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.9). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-15 | April 15 8x Team Race | skipper | 0.44 | -0.79 | 2–13 | 3.9 | −1.23 | 1.2 | 95% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 Season | |||||
| NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Portland, ME | Skipper | A | 5 | 5.4 | 0.44 |
| Fall 2023 Season | |||||
| Casco Bay Open | Skipper | A | 4 | 7.8 | 0.12 |
| Becton Cup | Skipper | A | 6 | 6.7 | 1.08 |
| Spring 2023 Season | |||||
| NESSA Girls' Championship (Herreshoff Trophy) | Skipper | A | 8 | 12.8 | -0.71 |
| Herreshoff Qualifier - MMA | Skipper | A | 7 | 4.6 | 0.84 |
| April 15 8x Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 0% | — |
| Fall 2022 Season | |||||
| NESSA Fall FunFest (Gleekman Trophy) | Skipper | A | 6 | 8.3 | 0.24 |
| Clipper Challenge | Skipper | A | 5 | 6.2 | 0.34 |
| Becton Cup | Skipper | A | 8 | 6.9 | -0.24 |
| Spring 2022 Season | |||||
| O'Day Qualifier @ Bristol, RI | Skipper | A | 6 | 9.5 | -2.37 |
| Fall 2021 Season | |||||
| Clipper Cup | Skipper | A | 6 | 9.5 | -1.54 |
| Casco Bay Open | Skipper | A | 5 | 10.6 | -2.76 |
| Fall 2019 Season | |||||
| Ranger Rally | Skipper | B | 6 | 13.3 | -1.11 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Hannah Hills |  Maine Maritime Academy |
'29 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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