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Ranger Rally

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Eagles 14 33 47
2 Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 1 25 24 49
3 Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 1 46 22 68
4 Champlain VUHS Champlain VUHS Varsity 40 46 86
5 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 1 51 36 87
6 Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 2 72 16 88
7 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 38 67 105
8 Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 34 80 114
9 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 63 51 114
10 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 37 77 114
11 Brewster Academy Brewster Academy Bobcats 80 35 115
12 Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity 48 70 118
13 Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 88 42 130
14 Burlington High School Burlington High School Seahorse 56 77 133
15 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 2 73 68 141
16 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 64 94 158
17 Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 2 90 83 173
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Eagles 1 2 1 2 2 6 14 Hamilton Barclay '23
Alton Coolidge '22
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 1 6 5 5 1 6 2 25 Catherine Morrissette '20
Alex Mazelsky '20
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 2 6 3 12 1 10 34 Glory Blethen '21
No Show
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 11 1 9 11 4 1 37 Eva Ermlich '22
Hazel Johnson '23
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 4 8 14 6 3 3 38 Aidan Brown '20
Migle Sarpiro '21
Champlain VUHS Champlain VUHS Varsity 13 4 6 3 5 9 40 Isaac Goldman '20
Nigel Wormser '21
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 1 12 11 4 4 11 4 46 Joe Minutolo '22
Addison Leclair '23
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity 10 9 8 9 7 5 48 William Keith '20 [1-6]
Camden Hom '22 [1-4]
Michael Scannell '20 [5-6]
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 1 5 10 2 8 8 DNS 51 Wes Pratt '21
Nicolas Paulo '21
Burlington High School Burlington High School Seahorse 9 3 11 5 14 14 56 Julia Shannon-Grillo '20
Anna Huener '21
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 3 7 10 17 15 11 63 No Show
No Show
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 8 15 7 14 13 7 64 Kieran Elliott '21
Jack Taylor '23
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 2 14 13 17 7 9 12 72 No Show
No Show
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 2 7 12 13 13 12 16 73 Daisy Brewer '23
Sabina Coroi '23
Brewster Academy Brewster Academy Bobcats 17 14 15 10 16 8 80 Phin Byrne '22
Aidan Rolfe '20
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 15 16 16 16 10 15 88 William Getchell '21 [1-6]
Danika Hluska '23 [1-3]
Nate Howell '22 [4-6]
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 2 16 17 12 15 17 13 90 Sofie Dowling '20
Matilda Allen '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 2 1 1 1 1 10 2 16 No Show
No Show
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 1 2 5 4 3 1 7 22 Nate Ingebritson '21
Louise Chaplin '20
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 1 3 2 3 12 3 1 24 Patrick Wahlig '23 [1-6]
Emma Cole '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Ben Wintersteen '23 [3-4]
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Eagles 10 4 2 4 4 9 33 Ella Beauregard '21
Andrea Gutierrez '20
Brewster Academy Brewster Academy Bobcats 5 7 10 5 2 6 35 Huanzhi Mao '21
Michael Bilodeau '22
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 1 9 3 9 7 5 3 36 Eleanor Donahue '21
Tia Soultanakis '22
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 4 10 7 2 11 8 42 Ethan Adshead '21 [1-6]
Meg Woolverton '22 [1-3]
No Show [4-6]
Champlain VUHS Champlain VUHS Varsity 11 6 8 9 7 5 46 Mikey Hayes '20
Ulrick Meyer '21
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 13 9 6 6 13 4 51 No Show
No Show
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 8 15 11 14 8 11 67 Eoin Murphy '22
Elliot Brown '22
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 2 7 11 5 15 14 16 68 Oliver Perry '23
Nicolas Paulo '21
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity 6 17 13 8 16 10 70 Francessca Chace '21
Clay Hatch '20
Burlington High School Burlington High School Seahorse 15 13 14 11 12 12 77 Mynard Higgins Pease '20
Greta Gibson '21
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 1 16 16 12 10 9 14 77 Adam Wendell-Pearson '20
Nick Petruccelli '23
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 14 14 17 16 6 13 80 Hannah Hills '25
Della Hahn '22
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Varsity 2 12 12 16 13 15 15 83 Sylvester Mays '22
Mia Sawyer '22
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 2 17 8 15 DNS DNS DNS 94 Ella Duncan '22 [1-6]
Bryce Butterfield '23 [1-2]
Clyde Spencer '23 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Boothbay RHSBoothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold113355
Brewster AcademyBrewster Academy Bobcats224466
Burlington High SchoolBurlington High School Seahorse335577
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers446688
Champlain VUHSChamplain VUHS Varsity557799
Cheverus High SchoolCheverus High School Varsity66881010
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 177991111
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 28810101212
Greely High School - MaineGreely High School - Maine Rangers9911111313
Lincoln AcademyLincoln Academy Eagles101012121414
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Varsity 1111113131515
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Varsity 2121214141616
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 1131315151717
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 21414161611
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern Maine1515171722
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 116161133
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 217172244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Boothbay RHSBoothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold224466
Brewster AcademyBrewster Academy Bobcats335577
Burlington High SchoolBurlington High School Seahorse446688
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers557799
Champlain VUHSChamplain VUHS Varsity66881010
Cheverus High SchoolCheverus High School Varsity77991111
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 18810101212
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 29911111313
Greely High School - MaineGreely High School - Maine Rangers101012121414
Lincoln AcademyLincoln Academy Eagles111113131515
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Varsity 1121214141616
Mt. Desert Island HSMt. Desert Island HS Varsity 2131315151717
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 11414161611
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs 21515171722
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern Maine16161133
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 117172244
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 2113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS Glory Blethen '21 No Show
SeaHawks Gold Hannah Hills '25 Della Hahn '22
Brewster Academy Brewster Academy Phin Byrne '22 Aidan Rolfe '20
Bobcats Huanzhi Mao '21 Michael Bilodeau '22
Burlington High School Burlington High School Julia Shannon-Grillo '20 Anna Huener '21
Seahorse Mynard Higgins Pease '20 Greta Gibson '21
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Aidan Brown '20 Migle Sarpiro '21
Capers Eoin Murphy '22 Elliot Brown '22
Champlain VUHS Champlain VUHS Isaac Goldman '20 Nigel Wormser '21
Varsity Mikey Hayes '20 Ulrick Meyer '21
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School William Keith '20 [1-6] Camden Hom '22 [1-4]
Michael Scannell '20 [5-6]
Varsity Francessca Chace '21 Clay Hatch '20
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Catherine Morrissette '20 Alex Mazelsky '20
Yachtsmen 1 Patrick Wahlig '23 [1-6] Emma Cole '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Ben Wintersteen '23 [3-4]
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME No Show No Show
Yachtsmen 2 No Show No Show
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine William Getchell '21 [1-6] Danika Hluska '23 [1-3]
Nate Howell '22 [4-6]
Rangers Ethan Adshead '21 [1-6] Meg Woolverton '22 [1-3]
No Show [4-6]
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Hamilton Barclay '23 Alton Coolidge '22
Eagles Ella Beauregard '21 Andrea Gutierrez '20
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Joe Minutolo '22 Addison Leclair '23
Varsity 1 Nate Ingebritson '21 Louise Chaplin '20
Mt. Desert Island HS Mt. Desert Island HS Sofie Dowling '20 Matilda Allen '20
Varsity 2 Sylvester Mays '22 Mia Sawyer '22
Portland High School Portland High School Eva Ermlich '22 Hazel Johnson '23
Bulldogs 1 Adam Wendell-Pearson '20 Nick Petruccelli '23
Portland High School Portland High School Kieran Elliott '21 Jack Taylor '23
Bulldogs 2 Ella Duncan '22 [1-6] Bryce Butterfield '23 [1-2]
Clyde Spencer '23 [3-6]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA No Show No Show
Southern Maine No Show No Show
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Wes Pratt '21 Nicolas Paulo '21
Clippers 1 Eleanor Donahue '21 Tia Soultanakis '22
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Daisy Brewer '23 Sabina Coroi '23
Clippers 2 Oliver Perry '23 Nicolas Paulo '21

Conditions — 10/19/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1014.5 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 8.9 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From NW (315°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1014.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Greely High School: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Greely High School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Greely High School: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →