Falmouth High School, ME '24
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.12 | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 7–8 (47%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 | 1 | — | 7–8 |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (15 matches) the record is 7–8 against 6.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.1). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-04 | Southern Maine Team Race | crew | 0.23 | 0.28 | 7–8 | 6.9 | +0.06 | 0.0 | 58% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| SundaySeries 3 Dev | Skipper | B | 6 | 5.0 | — |
| Sunday Series 2 Dev | Skipper | A, B | 12 | 3.2 | — |
| Sunday Series Champs | Skipper | B | — | — | — |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern Maine Team Race | Crew | TR | 10 | 30% | — |
| NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Portland, ME | Skipper | A, B | 20 | 3.6 | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Casco Bay Open | Skipper | A, B | 12 | 7.6 | — |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Sunday Series #5 (Clipper Challenge) | Skipper | A, B | 8 | 2.0 | 0.97 |
| Clipper Challenge | Skipper | A, B | 20 | 8.0 | — |
| Casco Bay Open | Skipper | A, B | 12 | 4.7 | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Sunday Series #5 Yarmouth | Skipper | A, B | 12 | 4.5 | — |
| SailMaine Sunday Series #3 | Skipper | A, B | 32 | 5.2 | — |
| NESSA Great Oaks Quals | Skipper | A | 12 | 4.8 | — |
| Clipper Cup | Skipper | A, B | 48 | 6.2 | A -1.41 · B 0.55 |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Ranger Rally | Skipper | A, B | 24 | 7.3 | A -0.57 · B 2.35 |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Caper Fleet Race | Skipper | A, B | — | — | — |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Stags Leap Regatta | Skipper | A, B | 28 | 7.1 | -1.69 |
| Bulldog Classic | Skipper | A, B | 6 | 2.3 | 0.25 |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Latchstring JV | Skipper | A | — | — | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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