Fall 2022 JV Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 12 6 18
2 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 12 15 27
3 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 7 21 28
4 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 15 21 36
5 DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 16 27 43
6 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 22 28 50
7 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 2 33 22 55
8 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 1 34 23 57
9 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 36 37 73
10 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 44 36 80
11 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 44 39 83
12 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 39 52 91
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 2 1 1 3 7 Emery Sularz '25
Oscar Wolniak '25
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 1 5 4 2 12 Santiago Benes '24
Nora Donahue '24
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 5 4 2 1 12 Nathan Finkelstein '26
Maddie Boulos '24
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 4 2 3 6 15 Andrew Stevens '26
Annie Miller '23
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 3 3 5 5 16 Charles Gallagher '25
Rebecca Lechota '26
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 6 6 6 4 22 Ava Davis '25
Sean Carroll '27
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 2 7 9 7 10 33 Christopher Sawicz '24 [1-4]
John Asoka '25 [1-2]
Eva Castrejon '24 [3-4]
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 1 10 7 8 9 34 Gracie Kiergan '26
Monica Anderson '23
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 8 10 11 7 36 Rohan Uppalapati '25
Aidan Elliot '23
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 11 8 12 8 39 Anton Johnston '27
Yixuan Liu '26
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 9 DNF 9 DNF 44 Bleu Strnad '26
Laura Koszeghy '26
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 12 11 10 11 44 Harrison Cartwright '26
Audrey Yen '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 1 2 2 1 6 Preston Levy '24
Bennett Waters '26
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 2 3 4 6 15 Lillian Lipford '24 [1-4]
Ellie Jarmel '26 [1-2]
Carl Rehbock '23 [3-4]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans OCS 1 5 2 21 Kira Mahoney '25
Laine Reshefsky '24
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 DNF 4 1 3 21 Ralph Zemaitis '25
Lion Birnecker '26
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 2 3 6 6 7 22 Olivia Gingue '26
Camila Benes '26
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 1 4 7 7 5 23 Molly Kiergan '26
Katherine Anderson '23
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 5 9 9 4 27 David Hand '25 [1-4]
Alexander Faber '28 [1-2]
Rebecca Lechota '26 [3-4]
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 6 5 8 9 28 Andrew Ter Louw '26
Ryder Mungo '24
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 8 8 10 10 36 Johnny Wallach '27
Kamraan Kadakia '26
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies DNF DNS 3 8 37 Anika Alavilli '26 [1-4]
Robert Whitford '25 [1-2]
Aidan Elliot '23 [3-4]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 7 10 11 11 39 Mary Kane '26
Elle Lawler '26
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 DNF DNS DNS DNS 52 Wyatt Elzaurdia '26
Mira Dale '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2022 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Varsity1133
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 12244
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 23355
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans4466
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts5577
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans6688
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers7799
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 1881010
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 2991515
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 110101616
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 2151511
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies161622

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Varsity2244
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 13355
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 24466
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans5577
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts6688
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans7799
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers881010
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 1991515
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 210101616
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 1151511
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 2161622
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies1133

Conditions — 10/22/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1009.0 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.5 kn
avg  ·  max 12.5 kn
Gusts to 24.9 kn
From S (183°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover3% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1009.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Evanston Township HS/Glenbrook South/Loyola Academy: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.83 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Evanston Township HS/Glenbrook South/Loyola Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Evanston Township HS/Glenbrook South/Loyola Academy: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →