Navigate

MDISA Gunston Fall '22 Bronze

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 6 6 12
2 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 33 17 50
3 Generals Generals Generals 49 MRP 27 76 MRP
4 The Tome School The Tome School Titans 63 19 82
5 Rams Rams Rams 43 MRP 40 83 MRP
6 Winston Churchill High School Winston Churchill High School Bulldogs 33 66 99
7 Gunston Gunston Herons 1 47 52 99
8 McLean High School McLean High School Highlanders 66 35 101
9 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 38 67 105
10 Appoquinimink High School Appoquinimink High School Jaguars 51 56 107
11 Ramblers Ramblers Ramblers 54 MRP 63 117 MRP
12 Gunston Gunston Herons 3 70 61 131
13 Gunston Gunston Herons 2 74 57 131
14 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 68 68 136
15 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 85 86 171
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Alex Baker '26
Maura Mcpartlin '25
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 3 2 15 9 2 2 33 Hartley Cooper '26
Saoirse Taylor '27
Winston Churchill High School Winston Churchill High School Bulldogs 4 4 9 6 4 6 33 Jack Sieg '24 [1-6]
Lila Gottenberg '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Luke Johnson '24 [3-4]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 6 8 6 5 10 3 38 Fiona O'Rourke '27 [1-6]
Sarah Ramson '26 [1-2]
Lincoln Ditchkofsky-Hartge '26 [3-4]
Carter Steiert '27 [5-6]
Rams Rams Rams 2 3 2 2 7 7 43 MRP
Gunston Gunston Herons 1 9 9 4 4 12 9 47 Cy Johnston '23 [1-6]
Gianni Figliozzi '26 [1-4]
Alix Allison '25 [5-6]
Generals Generals Generals 7 7 3 3 5 4 49 MRP
Appoquinimink High School Appoquinimink High School Jaguars 10 11 8 11 3 8 51 Lance Schrum '25
Aliana Schrum '26
Ramblers Ramblers Ramblers 5 5 5 8 6 5 54 MRP
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 12 10 7 12 9 13 63 Victor Schlecker '26 [1-6]
Gideon Garber '28 [1-4]
Ian Kyriakou '27 [5-6]
McLean High School McLean High School Highlanders 8 12 14 13 8 11 66 Malcolm Ritsch '28 [1-6]
Amory Smith '26 [1-4]
Emmett Nash '28 [5-6]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 15 15 10 7 11 10 68 Dylan Thomas '26
Emma Mountford '27
Gunston Gunston Herons 3 11 6 11 14 13 15 70 Logan Kille '25 [1-6]
Margaret Randolph '25 [1-4]
Trevor Janssen '25 [5-6]
Gunston Gunston Herons 2 13 13 12 10 14 12 74 Jed Cohen '26
Harrison Lavery '26
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 14 14 13 15 15 14 85 Alisha Donahue '25
Abigail Burritt '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Annie Sitzmann '26
Jack Lefever-Farino '25
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 2 2 3 3 4 3 17 Robert Norbury '24
Victor Kleppinger '25
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 3 3 4 5 2 2 19 Nathaniel Wyman '28
Emerson Stehl '26
Generals Generals Generals 4 4 2 2 11 4 27
McLean High School McLean High School Highlanders 6 5 8 4 5 7 35 Neve Ayvazian '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Emmett Nash '28 [3-4]
Emmett Nash '28 [1-2]
Sally Esquith '24 [3-6]
Rams Rams Rams 5 6 6 8 10 5 40
Gunston Gunston Herons 1 9 9 7 11 6 10 52 Grace Anne Philips '23 [1-6]
Yaxin Lin '23 [1-2]
Rowan Lutz '25 [3-4]
Celine Kumin '25 [5-6]
Appoquinimink High School Appoquinimink High School Jaguars 14 8 9 10 7 8 56 Holden Schrum '28
Alwin Dannenberg '24
Gunston Gunston Herons 2 8 11 10 7 9 12 57 Lilah Paddy '24 [1-4]
Julia Buchanan '23 [5-6]
Lucia Melchiorre '25 [1-2]
Sydney Dare '25 [3-4]
Annabelle Baker '26 [5-6]
Gunston Gunston Herons 3 7 12 15 15 3 9 61 Eli Moore '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Mariner Schut '24 [3-4]
Laim Thomas '23 [1-2]
Celine Denat '23 [3-4]
Justin Mccubbin '25 [5-6]
Ramblers Ramblers Ramblers 13 7 11 6 12 14 63
Winston Churchill High School Winston Churchill High School Bulldogs 11 15 13 13 8 6 66 Marco Pilotto '25 [1-6]
Erez Engler '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sebastian Yurcisin '25 [3-4]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 12 14 5 9 14 13 67 Lily Moss '25 [1-6]
Will Vaughn '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sophie Griggs '24 [3-4]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 10 10 12 12 13 11 68 Ella Aben '25
Harper Reagoso '25
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 15 13 14 14 15 15 86 Erin Lawlor '26
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Appoquinimink High SchoolAppoquinimink High School Jaguars16167788
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers17172233
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins223344
RamblersRamblers Ramblers101011111212
McLean High SchoolMcLean High School Highlanders9910101111
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres131314141515
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals111112121313
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks778899
RamsRams Rams121213131414
GunstonGunston Herons 1334455
GunstonGunston Herons 244551616
GunstonGunston Herons 355161677
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans141415151717
GeneralsGenerals Generals88991010
Winston Churchill High SchoolWinston Churchill High School Bulldogs1515171722

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Appoquinimink High SchoolAppoquinimink High School Jaguars131314141515
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers88991010
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins9910101111
RamblersRamblers Ramblers223344
McLean High SchoolMcLean High School Highlanders17172233
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres55161677
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals334455
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks141415151717
RamsRams Rams44551616
GunstonGunston Herons 1101011111212
GunstonGunston Herons 2111112121313
GunstonGunston Herons 3121213131414
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans16167788
GeneralsGenerals Generals1515171722
Winston Churchill High SchoolWinston Churchill High School Bulldogs778899
School / Team SkipperCrew
Appoquinimink High School Appoquinimink High School Lance Schrum '25 Aliana Schrum '26
Jaguars Holden Schrum '28 Alwin Dannenberg '24
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Dylan Thomas '26 Emma Mountford '27
Cavaliers Ella Aben '25 Harper Reagoso '25
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Alisha Donahue '25 Abigail Burritt '25
Bruins Erin Lawlor '26 No Show
Gunston Gunston Cy Johnston '23 [1-6] Gianni Figliozzi '26 [1-4]
Alix Allison '25 [5-6]
Herons 1 Grace Anne Philips '23 [1-6] Yaxin Lin '23 [1-2]
Rowan Lutz '25 [3-4]
Celine Kumin '25 [5-6]
Gunston Gunston Jed Cohen '26 Harrison Lavery '26
Herons 2 Lilah Paddy '24 [1-4]
Julia Buchanan '23 [5-6]		 Lucia Melchiorre '25 [1-2]
Sydney Dare '25 [3-4]
Annabelle Baker '26 [5-6]
Gunston Gunston Logan Kille '25 [1-6] Margaret Randolph '25 [1-4]
Trevor Janssen '25 [5-6]
Herons 3 Eli Moore '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Mariner Schut '24 [3-4]		 Laim Thomas '23 [1-2]
Celine Denat '23 [3-4]
Justin Mccubbin '25 [5-6]
McLean High School McLean High School Malcolm Ritsch '28 [1-6] Amory Smith '26 [1-4]
Emmett Nash '28 [5-6]
Highlanders Neve Ayvazian '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Emmett Nash '28 [3-4]		 Emmett Nash '28 [1-2]
Sally Esquith '24 [3-6]
Severn School Severn School Alex Baker '26 Maura Mcpartlin '25
Admirals Annie Sitzmann '26 Jack Lefever-Farino '25
South River High School South River High School Fiona O'Rourke '27 [1-6] Sarah Ramson '26 [1-2]
Lincoln Ditchkofsky-Hartge '26 [3-4]
Carter Steiert '27 [5-6]
Seahawks Lily Moss '25 [1-6] Will Vaughn '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sophie Griggs '24 [3-4]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Hartley Cooper '26 Saoirse Taylor '27
Sabres Robert Norbury '24 Victor Kleppinger '25
The Tome School The Tome School Victor Schlecker '26 [1-6] Gideon Garber '28 [1-4]
Ian Kyriakou '27 [5-6]
Titans Nathaniel Wyman '28 Emerson Stehl '26
Winston Churchill High School Winston Churchill High School Jack Sieg '24 [1-6] Lila Gottenberg '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Luke Johnson '24 [3-4]
Bulldogs Marco Pilotto '25 [1-6] Erez Engler '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sebastian Yurcisin '25 [3-4]

Conditions — 09/11/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 89%  ·  Pressure 1017.7 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From SE (146°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine2.4 hrs Humidity89% Pressure1017.7 hPa Rain0.76 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at The Gunston: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at The Gunston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at The Gunston, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →