Nor Cal 1 Silver

HostBerkeley
Date09/24/2022
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Miramonte High School	Matadors	10	10
2	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 2	12	12
3	San Domenico High School	Panthers	14	14
4	Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity	19	19
5	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	20	20
6	Stevenson School	Pirates 4	22	22
7	Stevenson School	Pirates 3	22	22
8	Piedmont High School	Varsity	33	33
9	Kehillah High School	Kehillah	36	36
10	Stevenson School	Pirates 1	37	37
11	International HS - SF	Jaguars	37	37
12	Palo Alto High	Vikings 2	43	43
13	Stevenson School	Pirates 2	47	47
14	The Urban School	Blues	48	48
15	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats	48	48
16	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	49	49
17	Marin Catholic	Wildcats	50	50
18	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets	52	52
19	Alameda High School	Hornets	53	53
20	Los Altos High	Eagles	55	55
21	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	58	58
22	Palo Alto High	Vikings 1	60	60
23	Campolindo High School	Cougars	62	62
24	San Ramon Valley High School	San Ramon Valley	63	63
25	Marin Academy	Wildcats	65	65
26	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	71	71
27	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 3	78	78
28	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	79	79
29	Amador Valley	Dons	79	79
30	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 1	81	81

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	TOT	Sailors
Miramonte High School	Matadors	7	1	2	10	Austin Teodorovic '24 Devin Stuffmann '26
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 2	2	9	1	12	Ryan Tonkovich '26 [1-3] Mila Kane '25 [1, 3] Suri Severaid '25 [2]
San Domenico High School	Panthers	5	4	5	14	Merritt Sellers '26 [1-3] Dylan Song '23 [1, 3] Praire Press '26 [2]
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity	10	5	4	19	Spencer Koontz '24 Arie Mcneil '25
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	1	2	17	20	Maya Urfer '25 [1-3] Emma Yashinsky '23 [1, 3] Lelio Maurillo '25 [2]
Stevenson School	Pirates 4	6	8	8	22	Tibet Kilic '24 Tim Zhao '24
Stevenson School	Pirates 3	8	3	11	22	Patrick O'Hara '27 Sarah Brewster '23
Piedmont High School	Varsity	11	10	12	33	Micaela Jorcino '24 Conor Kim '23
Kehillah High School	Kehillah	19	7	10	36	Alex Wullschleger '26 Maxwell Warren '27
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	3	DNF	3	37	Luc Dupreez '23 Sadie Marinerstein '24
International HS - SF	Jaguars	4	27	6	37	Brady Moore '23 [1-3] Charlotte Mcgeary '24 [1, 3] Ary Clark De Castilho '25 [2]
Palo Alto High	Vikings 2	12	17	14	43	Cal Currier '24 Jacob Moore '27
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	18	14	15	47	Abbie Zhang '24 Quinn Karm '23
The Urban School	Blues	13	13	22	48	Isaac Hoffman '25 [1-3] Jules Buckner '25 [1, 3] Oliver Yeaman '24 [2]
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats	15	26	7	48	Miles White '25 Donovan Shinn '26
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	14	11	24	49	Aleksandar Abrams '23 Lorelai Hartman '25
Marin Catholic	Wildcats	22	12	16	50	Luca Hines '24 Josefina Pallmann '24
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets	9	20	23	52	Cato Escamilla Geisler '23 Gabriela Almeida Gere '24
Alameda High School	Hornets	20	6	27	53	Logan Schwimmer '26 [1-3] John Maxey '23 [1-2] Sabine Lee '25 [3]
Los Altos High	Eagles	16	18	21	55	Nolan Theodore '26 Deniz Ozcan '26
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	25	24	9	58	Annika Burns '23 Reid Imwalle '26
Palo Alto High	Vikings 1	26	16	18	60	Maxwell Akash ("Kashi") Tuteja '25 Karthi Gottipati '25
Campolindo High School	Cougars	23	19	20	62	Liam Hearn '24 Sage Balducci '26
San Ramon Valley High School	San Ramon Valley	17	15	DNS	63	Elsa Hartley '24 Mikaela Hartley '25
Marin Academy	Wildcats	24	28	13	65	Colin Holzwarth '25 William Larson '25
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	21	22	28	71	Will Kizer '25 [1-3] Skye Crawford '25 [1, 3] Preston Tang '26 [2]
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 3	DNS	21	26	78	Jason Lester '24 Anya Godfrey '26
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	DNS	29	19	79	Julias Glasgow '24 Paula Castillo Hi Espino '23
Amador Valley	Dons	DNS	23	25	79	Sophia Stomhagen '24 [1, 3] Tobias Stomhagen '27 [2] Cole Parker '24 [1] Vinh Epstein '27 [2-3]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 1	27	25	29	81	Audrey Roomian '23 Natalie Tonkovich '24

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.150+0.15

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A
Alameda High School Hornets	52	52	52
Amador Valley Dons	46	46	46
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets	61	61	61
Campolindo High School Cougars	48	48	48
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 1	8	8	8
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 2	9	9	9
Design Tech High School d.tech 1	35	35	35
Design Tech High School d.tech 2	36	36	36
International HS - SF Jaguars	7	7	7
Kehillah High School Kehillah	40	40	40
Los Altos High Eagles	37	37	37
Marin Academy Wildcats	64	64	64
Marin Catholic Wildcats	139	139	139
Miramonte High School Matadors	47	47	47
Pacific Collegiate School Varsity	108	108	108
Palo Alto High Vikings 1	38	38	38
Palo Alto High Vikings 2	39	39	39
Piedmont High School Varsity	45	45	45
San Domenico High School Panthers	15	15	15
San Ramon Valley High School San Ramon Valley	43	43	43
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats	4	4	4
Stevenson School Pirates 1	197	197	197
Stevenson School Pirates 2	199	199	199
Stevenson School Pirates 3	198	198	198
Stevenson School Pirates 4	98	98	98
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	76	76	76
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	140	140	140
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 3	133	133	133
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	83	83	83
The Urban School Blues	5	5	5

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Alameda High School	Hornets	Logan Schwimmer '26 [1-3]	John Maxey '23 [1-2] Sabine Lee '25 [3]
Amador Valley	Dons	Sophia Stomhagen '24 [1, 3] Tobias Stomhagen '27 [2]	Cole Parker '24 [1] Vinh Epstein '27 [2-3]
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets	Cato Escamilla Geisler '23	Gabriela Almeida Gere '24
Campolindo High School	Cougars	Liam Hearn '24	Sage Balducci '26
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 1	Audrey Roomian '23	Natalie Tonkovich '24
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 2	Ryan Tonkovich '26 [1-3]	Mila Kane '25 [1, 3] Suri Severaid '25 [2]
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	Will Kizer '25 [1-3]	Skye Crawford '25 [1, 3] Preston Tang '26 [2]
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	Aleksandar Abrams '23	Lorelai Hartman '25
International HS - SF	Jaguars	Brady Moore '23 [1-3]	Charlotte Mcgeary '24 [1, 3] Ary Clark De Castilho '25 [2]
Kehillah High School	Kehillah	Alex Wullschleger '26	Maxwell Warren '27
Los Altos High	Eagles	Nolan Theodore '26	Deniz Ozcan '26
Marin Academy	Wildcats	Colin Holzwarth '25	William Larson '25
Marin Catholic	Wildcats	Luca Hines '24	Josefina Pallmann '24
Miramonte High School	Matadors	Austin Teodorovic '24	Devin Stuffmann '26
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity	Spencer Koontz '24	Arie Mcneil '25
Palo Alto High	Vikings 1	Maxwell Akash ("Kashi") Tuteja '25	Karthi Gottipati '25
Palo Alto High	Vikings 2	Cal Currier '24	Jacob Moore '27
Piedmont High School	Varsity	Micaela Jorcino '24	Conor Kim '23
San Domenico High School	Panthers	Merritt Sellers '26 [1-3]	Dylan Song '23 [1, 3] Praire Press '26 [2]
San Ramon Valley High School	San Ramon Valley	Elsa Hartley '24	Mikaela Hartley '25
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats	Miles White '25	Donovan Shinn '26
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	Luc Dupreez '23	Sadie Marinerstein '24
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	Abbie Zhang '24	Quinn Karm '23
Stevenson School	Pirates 3	Patrick O'Hara '27	Sarah Brewster '23
Stevenson School	Pirates 4	Tibet Kilic '24	Tim Zhao '24
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	Julias Glasgow '24	Paula Castillo Hi Espino '23
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	Annika Burns '23	Reid Imwalle '26
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 3	Jason Lester '24	Anya Godfrey '26
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	Maya Urfer '25 [1-3]	Emma Yashinsky '23 [1, 3] Lelio Maurillo '25 [2]
The Urban School	Blues	Isaac Hoffman '25 [1-3]	Jules Buckner '25 [1, 3] Oliver Yeaman '24 [2]

Conditions — 09/24/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky

Humidity 53% · Pressure 1016.6 hPa

Temperature

75°F

↑ 81°F ↓ 62°F

Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

4.0 kn

avg · max 6.7 kn

Gusts to 16.7 kn

From W (272°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover3% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1016.6 hPa

What this breeze does at Berkeley — from fleet racing

Breeze: W about 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In fleet races at Berkeley in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.05)

Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkeley by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled fleet-race days at Berkeley).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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