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VISA Norfolk Academy JV Fleet Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 York High School York High School Falcons 1 18 18
2 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 38 38
3 Bruton High School Bruton High School Panthers 43 43
4 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 47 47
5 York High School York High School Falcons 2 48 48
6 Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 56 56
7 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 61 61
8 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 72 72
9 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 102 102
10 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 102 102
11 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 114 114
12 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 119 119
13 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 137 137
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
York High School York High School Falcons 1 1 1 5 1 1 1 1 2 1 4 18 Grayson Kelly '27
Tyler Compton '29
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 6 9 1 4 2 2 4 1 6 3 38 Grant Fernandez '27 [1-10]
Iro Catravas '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Soham Patel '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Bruton High School Bruton High School Panthers 3 2 2 7 8 5 2 6 3 5 43 Collin Mcpherson '24 [1-10]
Charles Rasback '27 [1-3, 6-10]
Raquel Theriault '25 [4-5]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 4 4 6 3 4 DNF 3 4 4 1 47 Mady Mcgee '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Margaret Poston '28 [3-4, 7-8, 10]
Emma Tartiere-Martinez '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Owen Peluso '26 [3-4, 7-8]
York High School York High School Falcons 2 7 5 3 5 5 3 6 3 5 6 48 Liam Burke '27
Jake Nemec '28
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 5 7 8 9 3 4 5 5 8 2 56 Felix Susta '27
Evan Britton '27
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 2 6 4 2 6 6 7 7 7 DNS 61 David Martin '26 [1-10]
Eraj Zaidi '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Shiza Zahir '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 9 8 7 6 9 7 8 9 2 7 72 Austin Ungvarsky '27 [1-10]
Corrine Todd '27 [1-3, 9]
Michael Wattenbarger '27 [4]
Leia Silverstein '23 [5]
Willow Johnson '27 [6]
Tristan Hart '23 [7]
Libby King '27 [8, 10]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 8 3 9 8 7 11 DNF DNS DNS DNS 102 Foard Hunter '27 [1-5]
Will Poynter '27 [6]
Gabby Crass '26 [7-10]
Gabby Crass '26 [1-6]
Foard Hunter '27 [7-10]
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 10 10 10 DNF DNF 10 9 8 9 8 102 Hunter Heckman '26 [1-10]
Sebastian Rodriguez '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Kelly Lee '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 12 12 12 11 DNS 9 10 10 10 DNF 114 Carlton Gill '26 [1-10]
Gabriel Shen '25 [1-2]
Jonathan Rutter '27 [3-4]
Alessandra Henesey '27 [5-7]
Tyler Sebring '27 [8-10]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 13 11 11 10 10 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS 119 Riddick Walton '26 [1-10]
Tyler Sebring '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Jonathan Rutter '27 [3-4, 7-10]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 11 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 137 Libby King '27
Willow Johnson '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (29 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bruton High SchoolBruton High School Panthers1111111111
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders6666666666
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers2222222222
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 18888888888
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 29999999999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 310101010101010101010
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 411111111111111111111
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 113131313131313131313
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 214141414141414141414
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 117171717171717171717
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 218181818181818181818
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons 13333333333
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons 24444444444
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bruton High School Bruton High School Panthers Collin Mcpherson '24 [1-10] Charles Rasback '27 [1-3, 6-10]
Raquel Theriault '25 [4-5]
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders Hunter Heckman '26 [1-10] Sebastian Rodriguez '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Kelly Lee '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers Felix Susta '27 Evan Britton '27
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 Mady Mcgee '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Margaret Poston '28 [3-4, 7-8, 10]		 Emma Tartiere-Martinez '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Owen Peluso '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 Grant Fernandez '27 [1-10] Iro Catravas '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Soham Patel '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 David Martin '26 [1-10] Eraj Zaidi '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Shiza Zahir '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 Foard Hunter '27 [1-5]
Will Poynter '27 [6]
Gabby Crass '26 [7-10]		 Gabby Crass '26 [1-6]
Foard Hunter '27 [7-10]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 Austin Ungvarsky '27 [1-10] Corrine Todd '27 [1-3, 9]
Michael Wattenbarger '27 [4]
Leia Silverstein '23 [5]
Willow Johnson '27 [6]
Tristan Hart '23 [7]
Libby King '27 [8, 10]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 Libby King '27 Willow Johnson '27
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 Carlton Gill '26 [1-10] Gabriel Shen '25 [1-2]
Jonathan Rutter '27 [3-4]
Alessandra Henesey '27 [5-7]
Tyler Sebring '27 [8-10]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 Riddick Walton '26 [1-10] Tyler Sebring '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Jonathan Rutter '27 [3-4, 7-10]
York High School York High School Falcons 1 Grayson Kelly '27 Tyler Compton '29
York High School York High School Falcons 2 Liam Burke '27 Jake Nemec '28

Conditions — 09/10/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1021.8 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.2 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From E (95°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover82% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1021.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.19 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.29 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →