Yeah Buoy! Regatta 2022

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 34 7 41
2 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 26 24 50
3 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 35 28 63
4 Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 47 31 78
5 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 27 52 79
6 Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 16 64 80
7 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 38 51 89
8 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 49 47 96
9 Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 32 66 98
10 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 1 57 43 100
11 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 57 45 102
12 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 2 63 41 104
13 DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 66 48 114
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 2 8 1 2 2 1 16 Elliot Yoder '25
Jack Hughes '25
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 2 7 10 1 5 26 Eva Decastro '24
Harper Jamison '24
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 6 1 5 5 8 2 27 Kira Mahoney '25
Laine Reshefsky '24
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 5 DNS 2 1 6 4 32 Logan Filar '25
Luke Filar '27
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 12 6 3 6 4 3 34 Santiago Benes '24 [1-6]
Maddie Boulos '24 [1-4]
Carl Rehbock '23 [5-6]
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 8 5 8 3 3 8 35 Lily Brandt '23
Gavin Parsons '24
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 10 3 4 9 5 7 38 Alec Ranker '24
Andrew Ter Louw '26
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 11 4 11 4 7 10 47 Daniel Hardy '23 [1-6]
Julia Overmyer '23 [1-2]
Matthew Zeh '23 [3-4]
Margie Deneen '25 [5-6]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 13 7 6 7 10 6 49 Preston Levy '24
David Szymanski '24
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 1 4 12 10 11 11 9 57 Sam Beattie '24
John Asoka '25
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 9 10 9 8 9 12 57 Rohan Uppalapati '25
Edwin Wainwright '26
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 2 7 9 12 12 12 11 63 Jack Stenander '26
Rj Montplaisir '26
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 3 11 13 13 13 13 66 David Hand '25 [1-6]
Alexander Faber '28 [1]
Rebecca Lechota '26 [2-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 7 Evan O'Connor '23
Emil Body-Goldberg '23
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 3 2 8 8 1 2 24 Finn Mcdaniel '24
Annie Miller '23
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 2 4 6 6 6 4 28 Merritt Woolridge '23
Gretchen Nevel '23
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 8 3 5 4 4 7 31 Nicky Dicosola '26 [1-6]
Thaddeus Turek '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Kevin Johnson '26 [3-4]
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 2 13 13 2 2 8 3 41 Finn Connolly '26
Eva Castrejon '24
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 1 6 7 7 12 5 6 43 Christopher Sawicz '24
Whitney Koif '25
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 10 5 3 3 12 12 45 Anika Alavilli '26
Ashrith Alavilli '23
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 4 8 9 7 10 9 47 Willem Vandervoort '26
Bennett Waters '26
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 12 6 10 5 7 8 48 Ivy Frater '25
Zoe Pileggi '25
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 7 9 4 9 11 11 51 Ava Davis '25
Charlie Gish '24
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 5 12 13 DNS 3 5 52 Sarah Nijensohn '24
Hannah Danziger '26
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 11 11 12 11 9 10 64 Cassidy Miley '24
Dillon Klemm '23
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Vikings 9 10 11 10 13 13 66 George Atwell '26
Isabella Dereszkiewicz '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2022 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers113366
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Varsity225577
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits336688
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars557799
Gibraltar High SchoolGibraltar High School Vikings66881010
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts77991111
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity8810101212
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans9911111313
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 1101012121414
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 21111131311
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 11212141422
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 213131133
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies14142255

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers225577
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Varsity336688
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits557799
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars66881010
Gibraltar High SchoolGibraltar High School Vikings77991111
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts8810101212
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity9911111313
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans101012121414
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 11111131311
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 21212141422
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 113131133
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 214142255
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies113366
School / Team SkipperCrew
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Lily Brandt '23 Gavin Parsons '24
Trailblazers Merritt Woolridge '23 Gretchen Nevel '23
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep David Hand '25 [1-6] Alexander Faber '28 [1]
Rebecca Lechota '26 [2-6]
Varsity Ivy Frater '25 Zoe Pileggi '25
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Eva Decastro '24 Harper Jamison '24
Wildkits Finn Mcdaniel '24 Annie Miller '23
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Daniel Hardy '23 [1-6] Julia Overmyer '23 [1-2]
Matthew Zeh '23 [3-4]
Margie Deneen '25 [5-6]
Friars Nicky Dicosola '26 [1-6] Thaddeus Turek '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Kevin Johnson '26 [3-4]
Gibraltar High School Gibraltar High School Logan Filar '25 Luke Filar '27
Vikings George Atwell '26 Isabella Dereszkiewicz '26
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Alec Ranker '24 Andrew Ter Louw '26
Scouts Ava Davis '25 Charlie Gish '24
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Elliot Yoder '25 Jack Hughes '25
Varsity Cassidy Miley '24 Dillon Klemm '23
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Kira Mahoney '25 Laine Reshefsky '24
Romans Sarah Nijensohn '24 Hannah Danziger '26
New Trier HS New Trier HS Santiago Benes '24 [1-6] Maddie Boulos '24 [1-4]
Carl Rehbock '23 [5-6]
Trevian 1 Evan O'Connor '23 Emil Body-Goldberg '23
New Trier HS New Trier HS Preston Levy '24 David Szymanski '24
Trevian 2 Willem Vandervoort '26 Bennett Waters '26
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Sam Beattie '24 John Asoka '25
Wolfpack 1 Christopher Sawicz '24 Whitney Koif '25
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Jack Stenander '26 Rj Montplaisir '26
Wolfpack 2 Finn Connolly '26 Eva Castrejon '24
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Rohan Uppalapati '25 Edwin Wainwright '26
Grizzlies Anika Alavilli '26 Ashrith Alavilli '23

Conditions — 10/16/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1013.9 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.4 kn
avg  ·  max 15.9 kn
Gusts to 23.3 kn
From WNW (290°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine6.4 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1013.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lyons Township/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lyons Township/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lyons Township/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →