Girls National Qualifier - MISSA

HostGrosse Pointe South
Date09/23/2023
TypeDistrict Champ Qualifier
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Jones College Prep	Eagles	40	16	56
2	Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Grizzlies	39	69	108
3	Culver Academies	Eagles	51	88	139
4	Minnetonka High School	Skippers	93	48	141
5	University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons	77	76	153
6	Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Wolfpack	45	109	154
7	New Trier HS	Trevian	70	90	160
8	Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue Devils	101	65	166
9	Oconomowoc High School	Raccoons	122	104	226
10	Wayzata High School	Navy	131	108	239

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	TOT	Sailors
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Grizzlies	2	3	2	4	5	3	1	3	2	7	1	2	2	2	39	Deana Fedulova '24 Juliette Latva '25
Jones College Prep	Eagles	5	1	3	1	7	4	2	1	1	3	7	1	1	3	40	Nissa Berman '26 [1-14] Georgia Beal '24 [1-4, 7-14] Sana Clarke '26 [5-6]
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Wolfpack	7	6	1	2	2	1	3	2	3	4	3	7	3	1	45	Avery Baldwin '25 Whitney Koif '25
Culver Academies	Eagles	3	2	5	3	1	7	4	4	5	1	2	3	5	6	51	Annie Samis '25 [1-14] Saufong (Irene) Lin '25 [1-4, 9-10] Lily Malin '26 [5-8, 11-14]
New Trier HS	Trevian	1	5	8	7	3	2	9	5	6	2	6	4	8	4	70	Aiala Angueira Salbidegoitia '26 Lucy Elvart '24
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons	4	7	7	9	4	5	5	6	4	5	4	6	4	7	77	Lydia Frost '25 Illana Umanskiy '25
Minnetonka High School	Skippers	8	9	6	6	8	6	6	7	7	6	8	5	6	5	93	Evy Engebretson '24 [1-14] Amelia Sulciner '24 [1-6, 11-12] Parker Laing '24 [7-10, 13-14]
Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue Devils	6	4	4	8	6	9	10	8	10	8	5	8	7	8	101	Evelyn Young '24 Annabelle Kraydich '26
Oconomowoc High School	Raccoons	9	8	9	5	10	10	7	BKD	9	9	9	9	9	10	122	Kaeli Bohman '24 [1-14] Kaylie Rominski '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14] Christa Veum '27 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Wayzata High School	Navy	10	10	10	10	9	8	8	9	8	10	10	10	10	9	131	Alyson Liu '24 Harper Gordon '26

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	TOT	Sailors
Jones College Prep	Eagles	1	1	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	16	Grace Renz '26 [1-14] Orla Gilroy '25 [1-4, 7-10] Meredith White '24 [5-6, 11-14]
Minnetonka High School	Skippers	3	4	10	2	1	3	3	5	3	2	2	2	3	5	48	Sofia Sigel '24 [1-14] Lucy Zinn '24 [1-6, 9-12] Gwen Nechas '24 [7-8, 13-14]
Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue Devils	6	2	1	8	3	2	6	8	4	7	5	5	2	6	65	Courtney Cowan '27 Ana Kozak '27
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Grizzlies	10	7	4	4	4	4	10	4	2	3	6	3	6	2	69	Lake Linebaugh '26 Lucia Duffy '25
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons	2	3	9	5	5	OCS	2	3	9	9	3	4	4	7	76	Sophie Li '26 Clara Blucher '26
Culver Academies	Eagles	4	6	3	3	7	7	5	6	8	6	10	7	8	8	88	Naixin (Angela) Tang '24 [1-14] Oleksandra Smovska '25 [1-8] Madelyn Martin '25 [9-10] Saufong (Irene) Lin '25 [11-14]
New Trier HS	Trevian	5	5	5	9	10	8	7	2	6	5	7	10	7	4	90	Olivia Gingue '26 [1-14] Tara Hecht '25 [1-6, 13-14] Nora Donahue '24 [7-10] Camila Benes '26 [11-12]
Oconomowoc High School	Raccoons	8	8	6	6	8	5	9	10	7	DSQ	9	9	5	3	104	Bri Bohman '24 Lucy Carlson '27
Wayzata High School	Navy	7	10	8	7	9	9	8	9	5	8	4	6	9	9	108	Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25 Harper Lundeen-Hetland '27
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Wolfpack	9	9	7	10	6	6	4	7	DSQ	4	8	8	10	10	109	Sofia Sandoval '25 [1-14] Isabel Viere '25 [1-5, 11-14] Frankie Ryba '27 [6-10]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.340+0.34

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A	12A	13A	14A
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons	8	8	10	10	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Culver Academies Eagles	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	1	1	3	3
Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	2	2	4	4
Jones College Prep Eagles	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	1	1	3	3	5	5
Minnetonka High School Skippers	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	2	2	4	4	6	6
New Trier HS Trevian	5	5	7	7	9	9	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
Oconomowoc High School Raccoons	6	6	8	8	10	10	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack	7	7	9	9	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies	9	9	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	1	1
Wayzata High School Navy	10	10	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	2	2

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B	11B	12B	13B	14B
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons	9	9	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	1	1
Culver Academies Eagles	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	2	2	4	4
Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	1	1	3	3	5	5
Jones College Prep Eagles	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	2	2	4	4	6	6
Minnetonka High School Skippers	5	5	7	7	9	9	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
New Trier HS Trevian	6	6	8	8	10	10	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Oconomowoc High School Raccoons	7	7	9	9	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack	8	8	10	10	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies	10	10	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	2	2
Wayzata High School Navy	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	1	1	3	3

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Culver Academies	Annie Samis '25 [1-14]	Saufong (Irene) Lin '25 [1-4, 9-10] Lily Malin '26 [5-8, 11-14]
Eagles	Naixin (Angela) Tang '24 [1-14]	Oleksandra Smovska '25 [1-8] Madelyn Martin '25 [9-10] Saufong (Irene) Lin '25 [11-14]
Grosse Pointe South High School	Evelyn Young '24	Annabelle Kraydich '26
Blue Devils	Courtney Cowan '27	Ana Kozak '27
Jones College Prep	Nissa Berman '26 [1-14]	Georgia Beal '24 [1-4, 7-14] Sana Clarke '26 [5-6]
Eagles	Grace Renz '26 [1-14]	Orla Gilroy '25 [1-4, 7-10] Meredith White '24 [5-6, 11-14]
Minnetonka High School	Evy Engebretson '24 [1-14]	Amelia Sulciner '24 [1-6, 11-12] Parker Laing '24 [7-10, 13-14]
Skippers	Sofia Sigel '24 [1-14]	Lucy Zinn '24 [1-6, 9-12] Gwen Nechas '24 [7-8, 13-14]
New Trier HS	Aiala Angueira Salbidegoitia '26	Lucy Elvart '24
Trevian	Olivia Gingue '26 [1-14]	Tara Hecht '25 [1-6, 13-14] Nora Donahue '24 [7-10] Camila Benes '26 [11-12]
Oconomowoc High School	Kaeli Bohman '24 [1-14]	Kaylie Rominski '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14] Christa Veum '27 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Raccoons	Bri Bohman '24	Lucy Carlson '27
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Avery Baldwin '25	Whitney Koif '25
Wolfpack	Sofia Sandoval '25 [1-14]	Isabel Viere '25 [1-5, 11-14] Frankie Ryba '27 [6-10]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Lydia Frost '25	Illana Umanskiy '25
Maroons	Sophie Li '26	Clara Blucher '26
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Deana Fedulova '24	Juliette Latva '25
Grizzlies	Lake Linebaugh '26	Lucia Duffy '25
Wayzata High School	Alyson Liu '24	Harper Gordon '26
Navy	Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25	Harper Lundeen-Hetland '27

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Girls National Qualifier - MISSA

Division A

Division B

From the notes